

Match Prediction
India face New Zealand in the T20 World Cup final in Ahmedabad. India have not lost a series or tournament since August 2023 and have added new players like Abhishek Sharma, Tilak Varma, and Varun Chakravarthy. New Zealand have reached six ICC semi-finals since 2019 and four finals, the most after India. Both teams meet again at the venue where India lost the 2023 ODI World Cup final.
Toss & Conditions
The final will be played on a mixed red and black soil surface at Narendra Modi Stadium. The pitch offers good pace and bounce with minimal turn, favoring seamers, and has a 5-3 record for chasing sides since 2024.
Head-to-Head
In the last three meetings, India won twice and New Zealand once.
New Zealand
New Zealand have a 6W-4L record with an NRR of +0.609. They won two of their last three matches, including victories over South Africa and Sri Lanka.
India
India hold an 8W-2L record with an NRR of +1.000. They have won their last three matches against England, West Indies, and Zimbabwe.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- Since 2019, New Zealand are 2-2 against India in ICC tournament knockouts.
- New Zealand won the 2019 ODI World Cup semi-final and 2021 World Test Championship final, but lost the 2023 ODI World Cup semi-final and 2025 Champions Trophy final.
- India’s semi-final win over England was the first successful defense in a T20 World Cup knockout night match since 2014.
- Rachin has taken 11 wickets in this tournament; only Trent Boult has more for New Zealand with 13.
- Varun Chakravarthy has taken at least one wicket in his last 21 T20Is.
Key Stats
Verdict
Model projection gives New Zealand 38% and India 62%. Elo difference of -96.3 and a 0.39 higher NRR favor India. Bookmakers list New Zealand at 30% (odds 3.16), confirming India as statistical favorites.
SASouth Africa
169/8
NZNew Zealand
173/1
ENEngland
161/6
NZNew Zealand
159/7
NZNew Zealand
168/7
SLSri Lanka
107/8
CACanada
173/4
NZNew Zealand
176/2
NZNew Zealand
175/7
SASouth Africa
178/3
NZNew Zealand
175/0
UAUnited Arab Emirates
173/6
AFAfghanistan
182/6
NZNew Zealand
183/5
NZNew Zealand
208/7
USUnited States of America
201/8
INIndia
271/5
NZNew Zealand
225/10
INIndia
165/10
NZNew Zealand
215/7
NZ2
IN7
INIndia
271/5
NZNew Zealand
225/10
INIndia
165/10
NZNew Zealand
215/7
INIndia
155/2
NZNew Zealand
153/9
INIndia
209/3
NZNew Zealand
208/6
INIndia
238/7
NZNew Zealand
190/7
INIndia
234/4
NZNew Zealand
66/10
INIndia
101/4
NZNew Zealand
99/8
INIndia
155/9
NZNew Zealand
176/6
NZNew Zealand
160/10
INIndia
75/4
NZNew Zealand
126/10
INIndia
191/6
ENEngland
246/7
INIndia
253/7
INIndia
199/5
WIWest Indies
195/4
INIndia
256/4
ZIZimbabwe
184/6
INIndia
111/10
SASouth Africa
187/7
INIndia
193/6
NLNetherlands
176/7
INIndia
175/7
PAPakistan
114/10
INIndia
209/9
NANamibia
116/10
INIndia
161/9
USUnited States of America
132/8
INIndia
240/4
SASouth Africa
210/6
INIndia
271/5
NZNew Zealand
225/10
