Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Northamptonshire lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, NOR overhauled Gloucestershire’s 184/2 with an 8-wicket chase finished with 16 balls remaining, turning a big GLO total into a comfortable pursuit. That result was defined by NOR getting the job done with wickets in hand and time to spare. The pattern across these three games is mixed, but NOR have had the edge in the two latest results.

GLGloucestershire 184/2

NONorthamptonshire 187/2

2026-07-01 · NOR won by 8 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 166/3

GLGloucestershire 164/9

2026-05-29 · NOR

GLGloucestershire 114/3

NONorthamptonshire 113/10

2020-10-01 · GLO won by 7 wickets (With 49 balls remaining)

Northamptonshire

Northamptonshire are 9W-3L with a +0.621 net run rate. The recent feel is a wobble: they have lost two of their last three, both coming while defending totals. Their most telling recent result is the latest defeat, where they couldn’t protect 153 all out and were beaten with 10 balls still unused.

NONorthamptonshire 153/10

WAWarwickshire 154/5

2026-07-12 · WAR won by 5 wickets (with 10 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 162/8

SOSomerset 165/3

2026-07-10 · SOM won by 7 wickets (with 30 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 217/7

GLGlamorgan 164/10

2026-07-08 · NOR won by 53 runs

Gloucestershire

Gloucestershire are 7W-5L with a +0.167 net run rate. Their last three matches show inconsistency, with two losses split by a tight chase that ended in a 2-wicket win with 6 balls remaining. The most telling recent result is the latest loss, where they were beaten by 50 runs after conceding 235/7.

GLGloucestershire 185/10

GLGlamorgan 235/7

2026-07-12 · GLA won by 50 runs

GLGloucestershire 182/8

WOWorcestershire 181/5

2026-07-10 · GLO won by 2 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

GLGloucestershire 173/6

WAWarwickshire 203/5

2026-07-05 · WAR won by 30 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models are in consensus for Northamptonshire, with the average projection at 60% for NOR. Bookmakers agree, pricing NOR at 58% (1.65) vs GLO at 42% (2.20). Key stats lean NOR 4-1 overall, built around advantages in net run rate, Elo, and the last-three H2H edge. The swing factor is whether NOR’s recent struggles defending totals continue, or whether GLO’s scoring threat can force another chase scenario.

Sanderson snaps the chase open

Ben Sanderson turned the match with a spell that never let Gloucestershire settle, and Northamptonshire rode that control to an eight-wicket win with 14 balls to spare. Even with Ben Charlesworth counterpunching, the innings kept losing shape, and once the target was capped at 152, the chase always looked manageable. Northamptonshire’s top order stayed calm through the only sticky patch and then sprinted home.

Death overs choke Gloucestershire

The decisive phase was Gloucestershire’s finish: 26/4 at the death after being well-placed through the middle. Charlesworth and Jack Taylor’s 74-run stand gave them momentum, but Northamptonshire’s pace and hard lengths shut down the boundary options late. Sanderson’s four-over burst (4/20) meant Gloucestershire were forced into riskier shots, and the last four overs produced wickets instead of acceleration.

Willey and Vasconcelos finish it

David Willey’s 47 off 33 gave the chase authority in the powerplay (48/0), keeping the asking rate in check without taking reckless risks. Ricardo Vasconcelos then anchored the key passage, and his 78-run partnership with McSweeney absorbed the only hint of pressure after two middle-overs wickets. Sanderson was the match-winner, but Willey and Vasconcelos ensured the advantage became points.

Pre-match edge becomes on-field control

The pre-game lean towards Northamptonshire was built on overall strength, but it was expressed in the simplest T20 currency: controlling phases. Gloucestershire’s scoring threat showed up early at 49/3 in the powerplay and through Charlesworth’s striking, yet Northamptonshire’s bowlers didn’t leak at the back end, where they’d been vulnerable recently. With the target kept modest, Northamptonshire could bat in gears rather than chase a miracle.