Match Prediction
Trent Rockets W come in with a 7W-1L record and a +1.550 net run rate. Sunrisers Leeds W are 6W-3L with a +1.201 net run rate. Both teams have won their last three matches, so this matchup tests whether TR-W’s season-long edge holds against SL-W’s recent momentum.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Across the last three meetings, Trent Rockets W lead 2-1. The most recent clash finished with TR-W defending a small margin, winning by 5 runs after SL-W fell just short in the chase. That game was decided by fine margins, with SL-W still five down at the finish despite getting close. The pattern is mixed: TR-W have two wins, but SL-W also have an 8-wicket win with 21 balls remaining in this matchup.
Trent Rockets W
Trent Rockets W are 7W-1L with a +1.550 net run rate. They are on a three-match winning run, and the tone has ranged from a 9-wicket win with 18 balls remaining to a last-game escape that went down to 2 balls remaining. That ability to win both comfortably and under pressure has defined their recent stretch.
Sunrisers Leeds W
Sunrisers Leeds W are 6W-3L with a +1.201 net run rate. They have also won their last three, mixing a 41-run win with two chases finished with 26 and 11 balls remaining. The recent trend is controlled wins rather than late scrambles.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Trent Rockets W, with TR-W averaging 54% across the set. Bookmakers agree, pricing TR-W at 58% (1.65) vs SL-W at 42% (2.25). Key stats lean TR-W 3-2 overall, driven by their stronger net run rate and a 2-1 edge in the last three head-to-heads. The swing factor is whether SL-W’s Elo edge and stronger recent player-form rating can flip a matchup where TR-W have repeatedly found ways to close tight games.
Adams sparks another Sunrisers slide
Georgia Adams set the tone with a miserly opening spell and Sunrisers Leeds W never recovered, bowled out for 91 before Trent Rockets W cantered home by eight wickets with 46 balls remaining. There were flickers of resistance through Annabel Sutherland, but every time Sunrisers tried to rebuild, Rockets found a wicket and kept the chase comfortably within reach.
Powerplay damage decided it
The match was effectively won in the first phase of Sunrisers’ innings. They limped to 24/3 in the powerplay, losing both momentum and shape against tight lengths and smart changes of pace. Even the best stand they managed — 32 between Sutherland and Deepti Sharma — only steadied the innings rather than accelerating it, and the squeeze showed late as the last four overs produced just seven runs for two wickets.
Dunkley Brown finishes the job
Dunkley Brown’s 41 off 23 ensured there was no late drama, turning a modest target into a sprint. Her 66-run partnership with Beth Mooney (31 off 21) broke any remaining tension, with the chase effectively sealed by the time the middle overs began. Adams’ 2 for 9 was the standout spell, setting up a total that never looked defensible.
Pre-match edge became on-field control
Trent’s pre-game advantage was built around form and the ability to close games, and it showed in how ruthlessly they controlled the key moments. Sunrisers arrived with confidence and a slight ratings edge, but their stronger recent batting form never got a platform: early wickets forced them into low-risk accumulation, and Rockets’ bowlers kept the run rate pinned through the middle overs. Once the target stayed under 100, Trent’s deeper batting made it a straightforward chase.
TRTrent Rockets W
118/7
SBSouthern Brave W
117/5
MIMI London W
121/5
TRTrent Rockets W
125/1
TRTrent Rockets W
124/4
BPBirmingham Phoenix W
122/7
TRTrent Rockets W
139/7
SLSunrisers Leeds W
134/5
MSManchester Super Giants W
122/10
TRTrent Rockets W
153/8
WFWelsh Fire W
129/3
TRTrent Rockets W
132/2
TRTrent Rockets W
142/6
LSLondon Spirit W
146/5
BPBirmingham Phoenix W
64/10
TRTrent Rockets W
68/1
TRTrent Rockets W
126/7
BPBirmingham Phoenix W
123/6
WFWelsh Fire W
122/9
TRTrent Rockets W
145/6
TR2
SL3
SLSunrisers Leeds W
116/5
SBSouthern Brave W
114/7
MSManchester Super Giants W
125/8
SLSunrisers Leeds W
166/4
SLSunrisers Leeds W
122/4
WFWelsh Fire W
121/8
BPBirmingham Phoenix W
107/9
SLSunrisers Leeds W
111/1
SLSunrisers Leeds W
142/5
LSLondon Spirit W
136/7
TRTrent Rockets W
139/7
SLSunrisers Leeds W
134/5
SLSunrisers Leeds W
142/4
MSManchester Super Giants W
147/6
SLSunrisers Leeds W
116/10
SBSouthern Brave W
117/5
MIMI London W
107/8
SLSunrisers Leeds W
109/3
SBSouthern Brave W
115/6
SLSunrisers Leeds W
119/3