

Match Prediction
RR are outside the playoff places after losing both of their last two matches, having played only twice in more than two weeks. If Royal Challengers Bengaluru beat Punjab Kings and RR beat DC, RR will be back in the top four. DC’s playoff hopes are described as very slim, and if Axar Patel’s men lose on Sunday, they will be out of the playoffs race.
Toss & Conditions
Big runs are expected on the pitch set to be used, with first-innings totals crossing 180 in four of the last five matches on this surface. Three of the last four games here have been won by the side batting first, with the only sub-180 first innings in that span coming when DC were bowled out for 75 against RCB last month.
Head-to-Head
DC have won the last three meetings against RR. In the most recent meeting earlier this month, DC chased down RR’s 225/6 to win by seven wickets with five balls remaining. The match was defined by DC completing a successful 226 chase. Across these three games, the pattern has been one-way, with DC winning every time.
Delhi Capitals
DC are 8th in the IPL regular season with 10 points and a 5W-7L record. Their last three results read as two losses followed by a three-wicket win, with the latest win coming in a chase where they got home with six balls remaining. The recent sequence shows them alternating between being beaten comfortably and pulling off a tight finish.
Rajasthan Royals
RR are 5th in the IPL regular season with 12 points and a 6W-5L record. Their last three results include a 77-run loss to Gujarat Titans and a seven-wicket loss to DC, with their lone win in that stretch coming via a chase finished with four balls remaining. The recent run includes two heavy defeats around one successful chase.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- Riyan Parag is back batting in the nets after a hamstring niggle ruled him out of RR’s last game.
- Yashasvi Jaiswal’s returns have dropped from 183 runs at an average of 91.50 in his first four innings to 132 runs at an average of 18.90 in his last seven innings.
- In the reverse fixture earlier this month, Jaiswal hit a first-ball six off Mitchell Starc, but Starc dismissed him before the over ended.
- DC have scored at 11.4 runs per over in the death overs, the second-best rate in the league, with David Miller (strike rate 230) and Ashutosh Sharma (strike rate 219) highlighted as key.
- Jofra Archer has dismissed David Miller twice in five T20 innings, conceding 19 runs at a strike rate of 90.
Key Stats
Verdict
Models are split, leaning RR at 52% on average, with individual calls ranging from DC 54% to RR 60%. Bookmakers also lean RR, pricing RR at 54% (1.77) vs DC at 46% (2.07). Key stats favour RR 4-2 overall, while the last-three head-to-heads favour DC. The outcome is likely to hinge on whether RR’s season edges translate despite DC’s recent dominance in this matchup and the pitch trend toward big first-innings totals.
Starc swings it back DC’s way
Mitchell Starc’s late burst was the pivot in a match that threatened to run away from Delhi Capitals. Rajasthan Royals looked set for 210-plus after a flying start and a punchy middle, but Starc’s strikes yanked the innings off course and left DC chasing a target they could attack. Delhi still had to absorb a couple of wobbles, yet Lokesh Rahul’s calm control ensured they crossed the line by 5 wickets with four balls to spare.
Death-overs squeeze seals chase
The decisive phase came right at the end of RR’s innings. After racing to 171/5 through 16 overs, RR managed only 22 runs while losing three wickets in the death overs (17–20), a dramatic slowdown from their earlier tempo. That dip mattered because DC’s chase was built on momentum: 72/0 in the powerplay gave them margin for error when three wickets fell in the middle overs and the rate briefly climbed.
Rahul anchors, Starc ends it
Rahul’s 56 off 42 was the chase’s spine, especially after the 104-run opening stand with Abhishek Porel set the platform. When RR clawed back with three middle-overs wickets, Rahul’s tempo management kept DC within one good over of control. Starc, though, was the difference-maker: his 4/40 repeatedly broke RR’s rhythm, and the squeeze he sparked at the back end proved the gap between 193 and something far bigger.
Pre-match edges didn’t finish it
The numbers beforehand leaned RR: better season metrics, a touch more away form, and a sense that big first-innings totals would rule. Instead, the match hinged on execution under pressure. RR’s advantage with the bat didn’t translate when the finishing overs demanded clean hitting and smart risk, while DC’s much-discussed head-to-head confidence showed in how they kept chasing the game rather than panicking after the middle-overs stutter.
PBPunjab Kings
210/5
DCDelhi Capitals
216/7
DCDelhi Capitals
142/8
KKKolkata Knight Riders
147/2
DCDelhi Capitals
155/7
CSChennai Super Kings
159/2
RRRajasthan Royals
225/6
DCDelhi Capitals
226/3
DCDelhi Capitals
75/10
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
77/1
DCDelhi Capitals
264/2
PBPunjab Kings
265/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
242/2
DCDelhi Capitals
195/9
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
175/8
DCDelhi Capitals
179/4
CSChennai Super Kings
212/1
DCDelhi Capitals
189/10
DCDelhi Capitals
209/8
GTGujarat Titans
210/4
DC6
RR4
RRRajasthan Royals
225/6
DCDelhi Capitals
226/3
DCDelhi Capitals
188/5
RRRajasthan Royals
188/4
DCDelhi Capitals
221/8
RRRajasthan Royals
201/8
RRRajasthan Royals
185/5
DCDelhi Capitals
173/5
RRRajasthan Royals
199/4
DCDelhi Capitals
142/9
RRRajasthan Royals
160/6
DCDelhi Capitals
161/2
DCDelhi Capitals
207/8
RRRajasthan Royals
222/2
DCDelhi Capitals
154/6
RRRajasthan Royals
121/6
RRRajasthan Royals
150/7
DCDelhi Capitals
147/8
DCDelhi Capitals
161/7
RRRajasthan Royals
148/8
RRRajasthan Royals
152/10
GTGujarat Titans
229/4
RRRajasthan Royals
225/6
DCDelhi Capitals
226/3
PBPunjab Kings
222/4
RRRajasthan Royals
228/4
RRRajasthan Royals
228/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
229/5
LSLucknow Super Giants
119/10
RRRajasthan Royals
159/6
KKKolkata Knight Riders
161/6
RRRajasthan Royals
155/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
216/6
RRRajasthan Royals
159/10
RRRajasthan Royals
202/4
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
201/8
RRRajasthan Royals
150/3
MIMumbai Indians
123/9
GTGujarat Titans
204/8
RRRajasthan Royals
210/6
RCB
12
8-4
16
GT
13
8-5
16
SRH
12
7-5
14
PBKS
12
6-5
13
RR
11
6-5
12
CSK
12
6-6
12
KKR
12
5-6
11
DC
12
5-7
10
MI
12
4-8
8
LSG
12
4-8
8
RCB
12
8
4
—
+1.034
16
GT
13
8
5
—
+0.400
16
SRH
12
7
5
—
+0.331
14
PBKS
12
6
5
1
+0.355
13
RR
11
6
5
—
+0.082
12
CSK
12
6
6
—
+0.027
12
KKR
12
5
6
1
-0.038
11
DC
12
5
7
—
-0.993
10
MI
12
4
8
—
-0.504
8
LSG
12
4
8
—
-0.633
8
RCBWLLWW
GTWWWWL
SRHWWLWL
PBKSLLLLL
RRWLWLL
CSKLWWWL
KKRWWWLW
DCLWLLW
MILLWLW
LSGLLWLW
