Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

The last two meetings are split 1-1. In the most recent match, Glamorgan won by 7 wickets with 24 balls remaining. That game turned on Northamptonshire being bowled out for 98, leaving Glamorgan a small chase that they finished early. The previous meeting went the other way, with Northamptonshire winning by 4 wickets with 4 balls remaining, so the recent pattern is tight and unpredictable.

GLGlamorgan 99/3

NONorthamptonshire 98/10

2020-09-13 · GLA won by 7 wickets (With 24 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 161/6

GLGlamorgan 160/7

2020-09-03 · NOR won by 4 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

Northamptonshire

This is Northamptonshire’s first match of the season. Their last three listed matches show mixed results, including a 7-run win over Surrey followed by a D/L defeat to Hampshire. The clearest recent signal is that Hampshire chased down Northamptonshire’s 158/7 with 14 balls remaining under the D/L method.

NONorthamptonshire 158/7

HAHampshire 155/4

2025-09-13 · HAM won by 6 wickets (with 14 balls remaining) (D/L method)

NONorthamptonshire 154/4

SUSurrey 147/6

2025-09-03 · NOR won by 7 runs

NONorthamptonshire 203/5

DUDurham 204/1

2025-07-18 · DUR won by 9 wickets (with 21 balls remaining)

Glamorgan

This is Glamorgan’s first match of the season. Their last three listed matches include a 52-run win over Middlesex, but also defeats to Gloucestershire and Surrey. The most telling recent result is the Middlesex game, where Glamorgan made 184/9 and then bowled Middlesex out for 132.

GLGlamorgan 184/9

MIMiddlesex 132/10

2025-07-18 · GLA won by 52 runs

GLGlamorgan 135/10

GLGloucestershire 175/6

2025-07-13 · GLO won by 40 runs

GLGlamorgan 222/6

SUSurrey 224/4

2025-07-11 · SUR won by 6 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split, but the average leans Northamptonshire at 52% vs 48%. Bookmakers also favour Northamptonshire, pricing them at 60% (1.57) vs Glamorgan at 40% (2.30). Key stats edge Northamptonshire 2-1 overall, with an Elo advantage and a better death-overs economy. Glamorgan’s counterweight is the modelled matchup edge and greater experience versus Northamptonshire, which could swing key phases.

Scrimshaw closes the door

George Scrimshaw turned the finish with a burst at the back end, and Northamptonshire clung on to win by three runs in a chase that swung twice in the last quarter. Glamorgan had momentum through Daniel Douthwaite’s clean striking, but once the set batter was removed in the closing overs, the equation tightened quickly. Northamptonshire’s bowlers held their nerve under pressure, forcing Glamorgan to settle for ones when boundaries were the only currency.

Northants’ last five overs

The match was effectively built in Northamptonshire’s death overs with the bat: 47 runs in the final five, at 11.8 an over, after a steady rather than explosive first 15. Justin Broad’s 38 off 25 gave them lift, but it was the timing of the acceleration that mattered most, ensuring Farooqi’s 4/34 didn’t leave them short. Glamorgan’s reply was strong early at 50/2 in the powerplay, yet they were dragged into a mid-innings wobble—72/5—before the late push.

Douthwaite shines, Broad sets up

Douthwaite was the standout across disciplines, top-scoring with 51 off 34 and then bowling 2/18 to keep Northamptonshire honest. His 62-run partnership with Mason Crane briefly put Glamorgan ahead of the chase. For Northamptonshire, Broad’s tempo-setting 38 ensured a defendable total, and Scrimshaw’s 3/33 delivered the key breakthroughs when Glamorgan were lining up the finish.

Fine margins beat matchups

Pre-game numbers hinted at a tight contest, and it played out that way: Glamorgan’s batting matchups and experience kept them in the chase, while Northamptonshire’s slightly better control at the death became the separator. Glamorgan’s middle-overs slide blunted the advantage of that fast start, leaving too much for the last five even with a set hitter. In a game decided by three, one extra boundary in that middle phase would have flipped it.