Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Warwickshire W have won the last two meetings against The Blaze W. In the most recent clash last season, Warwickshire defended their total and won by 20 runs after bowling The Blaze out. That match was defined by Warwickshire keeping control through the innings and finishing the job by taking all 10 wickets. The earlier meeting last season followed the same script, with Warwickshire again winning by runs.

TBThe Blaze W 143/10

WAWarwickshire W 163/8

2025-07-27 · WAR-W won by 20 runs

WAWarwickshire W 172/6

TBThe Blaze W 147/8

2025-06-20 · WAR-W won by 25 runs

TBThe Blaze W 160/4

WAWarwickshire W 160/8

2025-05-30 · Match tied

Warwickshire W

Warwickshire W are 9th in the Regular Season with 0 points and a 0W-2L record. Their start has been defined by narrow margins going against them, with opponents chasing down targets in both games. The clearest snapshot is the latest loss to Somerset W, where Warwickshire’s 166/9 still wasn’t enough as Somerset won with 10 balls remaining.

WAWarwickshire W 166/9

SOSomerset W 167/3

2026-05-24 · SOM-W won by 7 wickets (with 10 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire W 164/8

ESEssex W 166/3

2026-05-22 · ESS-W won by 7 wickets (with 34 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire W 153/9

SUSurrey W 154/5

2025-07-27 · SUR-W won by 5 wickets (with 20 balls remaining)

The Blaze W

The Blaze W are 2nd in the Regular Season with 8 points and are currently inside the playoff zone. They are 2W-0L, and both wins have come via successful chases under pressure. Their most telling result is the latest away win over Lancashire W, sealed with 3 balls remaining in a three-wicket finish.

TBThe Blaze W 163/7

LALancashire W 162/5

2026-05-25 · TB-W won by 3 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 181/6

YOYorkshire W 179/5

2026-05-22 · TB-Women won by 4 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 143/10

WAWarwickshire W 163/8

2025-07-27 · WAR-W won by 20 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour The Blaze W, with an average win probability of 66% (range 59–74%). Bookmakers align with that lean, pricing The Blaze W at 59% (1.58) vs Warwickshire W at 41% (2.22). Key stats narrowly favour The Blaze 4–3, driven by their stronger season start and overall rating edge, while Warwickshire’s main counterweight is a clean 2-0 in the last two H2Hs. The match likely turns on whether Warwickshire can convert competitive totals into defended wins, or whether The Blaze’s chase game holds again.

Ballinger snaps the momentum

Grace Ballinger’s spell arrived right on the hinge of the game, breaking up Warwickshire W’s bright start and setting The Blaze W up for a chase they finished with 4 balls to spare. Warwickshire looked set after a fluent 90-run opening stand between Abigail Freeborn and Meg Austin, but once the first wicket fell the innings never regained that early rhythm. The Blaze stayed calm through the final overs to reach 159/6 in 19.2.

Middle overs chokehold

The match was decided in the middle phase, where Warwickshire’s 60/0 powerplay was followed by a stalling 76/4 across overs 7–16. Ballinger (3/24) and Lucy Higham (2/16) took pace off and hit hard lengths, forcing Warwickshire into riskier options; the death overs then produced only 22/4 at 5.5 an over. That left a par-plus total on paper, but one that lacked the late surge that often makes chases unravel.

Kelly and Knott set it up

Marie Kelly’s 45 off 32 was the chase’s engine, keeping boundaries coming without reckless swings, and her 61-run partnership with Charli Knott gave The Blaze their decisive platform. Warwickshire did apply late pressure through Amuruthaa Surenkumar’s 2/19, including a tight spell that forced a brief stutter, but the damage had been done earlier. For Warwickshire, Freeborn’s 57 and Austin’s 42 were the standout efforts—yet the lack of support after their 90-run stand proved costly.

Chase game holds again

Pre-match, The Blaze’s edge was built around better recent form and a stronger all-round profile, and that showed in how they managed the “messy” parts of the contest. Warwickshire’s recent head-to-head advantage briefly looked relevant when their openers dominated the powerplay, but The Blaze’s bowlers dragged the game back into their preferred tempo. In the chase, they didn’t need a perfect finish—just enough control through the middle to keep the required rate from spiking.