Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

London Spirit W have won all of the last three meetings against MI London W. In the most recent clash last season, Spirit chased down the target for an 8-wicket win with 38 balls remaining. The defining detail was how comfortably Spirit’s chase played out, finishing with a large chunk of deliveries unused. Across this matchup, the pattern has been consistent: Spirit have repeatedly found a way to win, twice by 8 wickets and once by 17 runs.

MIMI London W 108/8

LSLondon Spirit W 112/2

2025-08-25 · LS-W won by 8 wickets (with 38 balls remaining)

LSLondon Spirit W 176/5

MIMI London W 159/4

2025-08-05 · LS-W won by 17 runs

MIMI London W 113/9

LSLondon Spirit W 116/2

2024-08-17 · LS-W won by 8 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

MI London W

MIL-W are 8th in the THW regular season with 0 points and a 0W-3L record. Their last three games have all been defeats, including a 1-run loss to Southern Brave W that underlined how little margin they have right now. The slide also includes a 60-run defeat to Welsh Fire W, leaving them searching for a complete performance.

MIMI London W 125/3

SBSouthern Brave W 126/7

2026-07-27 · SB-W won by 1 run

MIMI London W 117/10

WFWelsh Fire W 177/4

2026-07-25 · WF-W won by 60 runs

MIMI London W 107/8

SLSunrisers Leeds W 109/3

2026-07-21 · SL-W won by 7 wickets (with 31 balls remaining)

London Spirit W

LS-W are 6th in the THW regular season with 4 points and a 1W-1L record. Their latest result was a 5-wicket win over Trent Rockets W, sealed with 3 balls remaining, showing they can close tight chases. That came after a heavy setback when they were bowled out for 80 and lost by 7 wickets to Manchester Super Giants W.

LSLondon Spirit W 146/5

TRTrent Rockets W 142/6

2026-07-26 · LS-W won by 5 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

LSLondon Spirit W 80/10

MSManchester Super Giants W 86/3

2026-07-23 · MSG-W won by 7 wickets (with 41 balls remaining)

LSLondon Spirit W 172/9

SLSunrisers Leeds W 214/5

2025-08-30 · Northern Superchargers W won by 42 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour LS-W, with an average win probability of 64% (range 63–67%). Bookmakers also lean LS-W, pricing them at 56% (1.70) vs MIL-W at 44% (2.15). Key stats favour LS-W 6-1, driven by their edge in points, NRR, Elo, recent form, and a clean 3-0 head-to-head run. The match likely turns on whether MIL-W can halt a 0W-3L start and finally break Spirit’s recent dominance in this fixture.

Jones holds nerve, still level

Amy Ellen Jones’ 50 off 36 looked like it would be the difference, but the chase ended with the scores locked and no winner. London Spirit matched MI London’s 151, only for the final exchanges to turn into a tug-of-war: boundaries to keep the chase alive, then a last-ball scramble that couldn’t push them past. The match finished tied, a rare outcome after both sides had taken turns to look in control.

MI London’s late-overs rescue

The game swung hardest at the back end of MI London’s innings. They were 99/4 after the middle overs, having crawled through a 71/4 mid-phase, before exploding for 52 without loss at the death. That surge flipped a below-par platform into a competitive 151 and ensured Spirit couldn’t coast. The contrast was stark: MI London scored at 13 an over late, while Spirit managed only 26/1 in their own death overs, where the chase stalled just enough to force the tie.

Kerr and Jones set the tone

Amelia Kerr’s 49 off 32 anchored MI London’s recovery and powered the late push, especially after wickets in the middle overs threatened to cap the total. Jones’ half-century was the chase’s spine, absorbing pressure and keeping the asking rate manageable. Around them, Marizanne Kapp’s 2/24 helped hold MI London back early, while MI London’s wickets through Kirstie Gordon and Hayley Matthews ensured the chase kept shedding momentum at key moments — just enough for 151 to be matched, not beaten.

Pre-match edge, on-field squeeze

Spirit came in favoured on form and recent head-to-head momentum, but the match didn’t follow a clean script because MI London’s best cricket arrived under pressure. Their early stability and late acceleration neutralised Spirit’s expected control, and once the chase reached the final stretch, it became a contest of execution rather than pedigree. Spirit’s middle-overs scoring kept them on track, yet MI London’s tighter finish meant the chase never got the one clean over it needed.