Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Last three meetings me Nottinghamshire 2-1 se lead karte hain. Most recent match me Nottinghamshire ne Warwickshire ka total 0 balls remaining ke saath chase karke 6 wickets se jeeta, matlab proper last-ball finish. Wo game basically isi cheez se define hua ki Nottinghamshire final delivery tak gayi chase me bhi line cross kar gayi. Last three me results swing hue hain, but Nottinghamshire ne back-to-back wins ke saath edge le liya hai.

WAWarwickshire 206/7

NONottinghamshire 212/4

2025-06-14 · NOT won by 6 wickets (with 0 ball remaining)

NONottinghamshire 229/3

WAWarwickshire 226/5

2025-05-30 · NOT won by 7 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

NONottinghamshire 57/10

WAWarwickshire 61/1

2024-07-07 · WAR won by 9 wickets (with 88 balls remaining)

Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire regular season me 15th par hain, 1W-3L start se 4 points aur -0.923 NRR ke saath. Unka latest outing ek chase tha jahan unhone 6 wickets se jeeta aur 16 balls remaining the—unke do prior defeats ke comparison me kaafi cleaner finish. Recent pattern mixed hai, but last result dikhata hai ki wo chase ko close kar sakte hain bina final over tak le jaaye.

NONottinghamshire 157/4

DUDurham 156/8

2026-05-31 · NOT won by 6 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

NONottinghamshire 211/6

DEDerbyshire 234/4

2026-05-29 · DER won by 23 runs

NONottinghamshire 172/9

LALancashire 208/4

2026-05-25 · LAN won by 36 runs

Warwickshire

Warwickshire 18th par 0 points ke saath hain—0W-4L aur -1.043 NRR. Unhone apne last three matches lose kiye hain, aur latest defeat tab aayi jab wo total defend kar rahe the jo 4 balls remaining ke saath chase ho gaya. Trend consistent hai: positions competitive banate hain, but games finish nahi kar paa rahe.

WAWarwickshire 208/7

NONorthamptonshire 209/4

2026-05-31 · NOR won by 6 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire 141/10

WOWorcestershire 142/4

2026-05-29 · WOR won by 6 wickets (with 7 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire 189/5

SOSomerset 193/3

2026-05-24 · SOM won by 7 wickets (with 10 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models Nottinghamshire ke favour me consensus me hain, average probability NOT ke liye 60% hai. Bookmakers bhi agree kar rahe hain: Nottinghamshire 57% (1.65) vs Warwickshire 43% (2.15). Key stats Nottinghamshire ko 5-2 overall lean karte hain, mainly standings edge aur better recent H2H record ki wajah se. Swing factor ye hai ki kya WAR finally tight finishes close kar paayega jo baar-baar unke against ja rahe hain.

Haynes’ powerplay blitz sets it up

Jack Haynes’ 17-ball 36 gave Nottinghamshire the head start that ultimately carried them through a nervy finish, even as the chase threatened to unravel. After restricting Warwickshire to 139 all out, Notts looked in complete control early, then had to scrap deep into the 20th over before getting home by three wickets with one ball remaining.

Yates turns the middle overs

The game swung hard in the middle phase of the chase. Nottinghamshire stormed to 67/1 in the powerplay, but from there Warwickshire’s bowling squeezed and struck, dragging the hosts to 121/7 across the middle overs (54/6 at 5.4 an over). Robert Yates was the catalyst: his 4/22 repeatedly hit the stumps and forced miscues, turning a cruise into a chase that demanded calm in the final two overs.

Haynes starts, Ali finishes job

Haynes’ early striking created breathing room that mattered once wickets fell in clusters. Mohammad Ali’s 3/27 was just as important in shaping a chaseable target, breaking Warwickshire’s momentum as they tried to accelerate after a steady start. Yates was the standout on the day, yet Nottinghamshire’s composure at the death — 22/0 after the wobble — ensured his spell didn’t steal the points.

Pre-match edge, match-day stress

Nottinghamshire came in rated slightly ahead on form and recent head-to-heads, and the powerplay showed why: they scored faster and cleaner up top than Warwickshire managed. But the expected late-innings comfort never arrived because Warwickshire’s best work came exactly where Notts can be vulnerable — the middle overs — and it kept the finish tight. Warwickshire, winless in their last three, still pushed the game to the last ball, but couldn’t land the final blow.