

Match Prediction
Surrey is round ki shuruaat T20B Regular Season me 4th spot par kar rahe hain—12 points, 3W-2L record aur +0.679 NRR ke saath. Hampshire 2nd par hain—16 points, 4W-1L record aur +0.971 NRR. Ye dono sides recently isi stage par mile the, jahan Hampshire ne tight finish me win nikala. Yahan ek aur result early campaign me top-four picture ko reshape kar sakta hai.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Last three meetings me overall Hampshire 2-1 se lead karta hai. Most recent clash me Hampshire ne 5 wickets se win kiya, 5 balls remaining ke saath—Surrey ne 174/8 post kiya tha aur Hampshire ne 177/5 se reply diya. Match ka decision is baat se hua ki Hampshire ne chase ko kaafi intact rakha aur balls in hand ke saath line cross kar li. Bigger pattern narrow margins ka hai: is run me Surrey ki ek big win hai, but Hampshire ne last three me se do jeete hain.
Surrey
Surrey T20B Regular Season me 4th par hai—12 points (3W-2L) aur +0.679 NRR. Unke last three matches me swing aaya hai: ek clean 8-wicket win 35 balls remaining ke saath, aur do defeats—jisme recent close loss Hampshire ke against 5 balls left par bhi hai. Ab immediate question ye hai ki latest win ek proper reset hai ya phir uneven stretch me bas ek short spike.
Hampshire
Hampshire T20B Regular Season me 2nd par hai—16 points (4W-1L) aur +0.971 NRR. Wo three-match winning run ke saath aa rahe hain, jiska highlight Sussex ke against 29-run win hai, 173/6 defend karne ke baad. Trend bilkul clear hai: Hampshire games ko close out kar raha hai—chases me bhi aur defenses me bhi.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
Models split hain: matchline Surrey ki taraf lean karta hai, but combined model average Hampshire ko 56% favour karta hai (Surrey 44%). Bookmakers is lean se diverge kar rahe hain—Surrey ko 58% (1.65) aur Hampshire ko 42% (2.20) price kiya hai. Key stats overall Hampshire ke favour me 6-2 hain; unka stronger recent run aur most headline indicators me edge baseline set karta hai, jabki Surrey ka path ye hai ki apni recent big win ko back-to-back control performances me convert kare.
Currie and Wood slam the door
Surrey seemed to have the chase in their pocket when Daniel Lawrence and Will Jacks were in full flow, but Hampshire kept finding ways to slow the surge and then close it out. With 211 required, Surrey finished on 210/7 as Hampshire defended 215/5 by 5 runs, turning a chase that had briefly looked like a stroll into a finish decided by composure under pressure.
Middle-overs squeeze flips chase
The decisive stretch came after Surrey’s early wobble (52/3 in the powerplay) had been erased by that 88-run partnership. Once Hampshire broke through, they won the game in the next phase: Surrey’s middle overs still ran at 10.6, but the key was the wickets and the forced recalibration. Currie’s control (2/24) and Wood’s timely strikes (3/32) meant Surrey entered the last five needing a clean launch — and Hampshire’s bowlers kept just enough balls out of the arc to make the final overs a scramble rather than a procession.
Lawrence-Jacks nearly steal it
Lawrence’s 96 at a strike rate of 200 was the innings of the night, and Jacks’ 71 kept Surrey ahead of the rate for long stretches, including the period when the chase felt inevitable. For Hampshire, Wood’s 3-for provided the cutting edge, while Currie’s four overs were the pressure valve that stopped Surrey from lining up a clean finish. Joe Weatherley’s brisk 43 ensured Hampshire had enough in the bank when the game tightened late.
Pre-match lean met match reality
The pre-match read was that Hampshire’s recent momentum and slightly tighter new-ball numbers could matter, and their powerplay set that tone immediately: 55/0 gave them a platform Surrey never quite matched. Surrey’s route was always about controlling phases after a big win, but losing three in the first six overs handed Hampshire the initiative. Even with Lawrence and Jacks nearly stealing it, Hampshire’s steadier innings shape — and fewer panic moments — proved the difference.
SUSurrey
134/2
MIMiddlesex
129/7
SUSurrey
116/10
KEKent
118/2
HAHampshire
177/5
SUSurrey
174/8
MIMiddlesex
143/8
SUSurrey
144/4
SUSurrey
213/6
LALancashire
154/10
SUSurrey
147/6
NONorthamptonshire
154/4
SUSussex
197/7
SUSurrey
204/5
MIMiddlesex
181/6
SUSurrey
189/9
SUSurrey
201/6
SOSomerset
134/10
SUSurrey
224/4
GLGlamorgan
222/6
SU7
HA3
HAHampshire
177/5
SUSurrey
174/8
HAHampshire
124/10
SUSurrey
193/6
SUSurrey
141/7
HAHampshire
63/0
SUSurrey
188/5
HAHampshire
183/10
HAHampshire
162/9
SUSurrey
163/5
SUSurrey
124/10
HAHampshire
125/1
HAHampshire
156/4
SUSurrey
157/4
HAHampshire
151/7
SUSurrey
152/6
SUSurrey
228/4
HAHampshire
156/10
HAHampshire
126/8
SUSurrey
146/7
HAHampshire
173/6
SUSussex
144/10
MIMiddlesex
126/7
HAHampshire
130/2
HAHampshire
177/5
SUSurrey
174/8
HAHampshire
200/4
ESEssex
170/7
SOSomerset
160/3
HAHampshire
158/10
SOSomerset
195/4
HAHampshire
194/6
NONorthamptonshire
158/7
HAHampshire
155/4
DUDurham
195/6
HAHampshire
221/8
ESEssex
222/6
HAHampshire
220/6
HAHampshire
171/4
SUSussex
167/7
NOR
4
4-0
16
HAM
5
4-1
16
GLO
4
3-1
12
SUR
5
3-2
12
KEN
4
3-1
12
YOR
4
3-1
12
DER
5
2-3
8
ESS
4
2-2
8
SOM
3
2-1
8
DUR
4
2-2
8
WOR
3
2-1
8
GLA
3
1-2
4
LAN
3
1-2
4
SUS
4
1-3
4
NOT
4
1-3
4
MID
5
1-4
4
LEI
4
1-3
4
WAR
4
0-4
0
NOR
4
4
0
—
+1.848
16
HAM
5
4
1
—
+0.971
16
GLO
4
3
1
—
+0.940
12
SUR
5
3
2
—
+0.679
12
KEN
4
3
1
—
+0.571
12
YOR
4
3
1
—
+0.527
12
DER
5
2
3
—
+0.856
8
ESS
4
2
2
—
+0.005
8
SOM
3
2
1
—
-0.111
8
DUR
4
2
2
—
-0.309
8
WOR
3
2
1
—
-1.211
8
GLA
3
1
2
—
+0.943
4
LAN
3
1
2
—
-0.375
4
SUS
4
1
3
—
-0.498
4
NOT
4
1
3
—
-0.923
4
MID
5
1
4
—
-1.288
4
LEI
4
1
3
—
-2.007
4
WAR
4
0
4
—
-1.043
0
NORWWWW
HAMLWWWW
GLOWWLW
SURWWLLW
KENWWLW
YORWWWL
DERLLWWL
ESSLLWW
SOMWWL
DURWWLL
WORWLW
GLALLW
LANLWL
SUSWLLL
NOTLLLW
MIDLLWLL
LEILLLW
WARLLLL
