Match Prediction
Northamptonshire 10W-3L record aur +0.666 net run rate ke saath aate hain. Unka latest result Somerset ke against 17-run win tha, jab wo 143 pe bowled out ho gaye the. Hampshire 9W-4L aur +0.587 net run rate pe hain aur apne last three matches jeet chuke hain. Most recent head-to-head Hampshire ke favour mein gaya tha D/L method se, 14 balls remaining ke saath.
Toss & Conditions
The semi-final at Edgbaston was played on a grippy surface that Somerset’s seam attack exploited as Northamptonshire were bowled out for 143. The same match also featured a low-scoring chase where Northamptonshire’s bowlers delivered thrifty middle-overs spells and defended 143.
Head-to-Head
Last one meeting ko dekhein to Hampshire 1-0 se lead karte hain. Most recent clash D/L method se decide hua tha, jahan Hampshire ne chase 14 balls remaining ke saath complete kiya. Northamptonshire ne 158 for 7 banaye the, but Hampshire ka chase D/L target se kaafi aage tha, isliye result seal ho gaya. Sirf ek recent data point hone ki wajah se head-to-head trend basically usi single Hampshire win tak limited hai.
Northamptonshire
Northamptonshire ka record 10W-3L hai aur +0.666 net run rate. Unke last three results mein back-to-back wins hain, sabse recent Somerset ke against 17-run victory, jab wo 143 pe dismissed ho gaye the. Is sequence mein ek five-wicket defeat bhi hai jahan opposition ne chase 10 balls remaining ke saath finish kiya.
NONorthamptonshire
143/10
SOSomerset
126/9
NONorthamptonshire
153/2
GLGloucestershire
152/10
NONorthamptonshire
153/10
WAWarwickshire
154/5
Hampshire
Hampshire ka record 9W-4L hai aur +0.587 net run rate. Wo three-match winning run pe hain, jisme Essex ke against 75-run win aur Nottinghamshire ke against 27-run win include hai. Unki streak mein Sussex ke against four-wicket chase win bhi hai, one ball remaining ke saath.
HAHampshire
187/3
NONottinghamshire
160/10
HAHampshire
211/3
ESEssex
136/9
HAHampshire
190/6
SUSussex
186/5
Playing XI
News & Facts
- Northamptonshire were bowled out for 143 in the semi-final, with Jake Ball taking 4 for 17 (joint-best figures in a Blast semi).
- David Willey took 3 for 17 and completed a relay catch at long-on to help dismiss Craig Overton in Somerset’s chase.
- Somerset slipped to 12 for 3 in the third over of the chase before Will Smeed hit 28 off Luke Procter’s final powerplay over.
- Luke Procter played in the semi-final in place of George Scrimshaw.
- Confirmed Northamptonshire XI: Ricardo Vasconcelos, Chris Lynn, Nathan McSweeney, David Willey, Saif Zaib, Louis Kimber, Calvin Harrison, Lewis McManus, James Sales, Luke Procter, Ben Sanderson; Confirmed Hampshire XI: Toby Albert, James Vince, Joe Weatherley, Ben Mayes, Tristan Stubbs, Hilton Cartwright, James Fuller, Scott Currie, Liam Dawson, Chris Wood, Sonny Baker.
Key Stats
Verdict
Models split hain: ML model Northamptonshire ko 55% pe favour karta hai, but model average Hampshire ko 51% to 49% se lean karta hai. Bookmakers ML lean se diverge kar rahe hain, Hampshire ko 59% (1.60) aur Northamptonshire ko 41% (2.25) pe price kar rahe hain. Key stats overall 3-3 level hain, jahan Northamptonshire NRR aur Elo mein aage hai, while Hampshire last head-to-head lead karta hai aur death-overs economy mein edge hai. Decision points ye hain ki kya Hampshire ka recent win streak aur late-overs numbers hold karte hain, ya Northamptonshire ka marginal NRR/Elo edge phases ke across control mein translate hota hai.
Vasconcelos sets, Baker strikes back
Ricardo Vasconcelos owned the night with a commanding 88 off 59, but Northamptonshire still had to earn their 14-run win the hard way. After cruising through the middle overs, they were jolted by Sonny Baker’s five-for, sliding from a position of comfort into 169 all out in 19.5. Hampshire’s reply threatened to catch fire late, yet wickets kept arriving just as the chase asked for one clean over to flip the script.
Powerplay deficit shaped chase
The match was effectively framed in the first six overs of each innings. Northamptonshire’s 61/1 powerplay (10.2 rpo) gave them early control and allowed Vasconcelos to bat with freedom, while Hampshire stumbled to 40/2 at 6.7. That 21-run gap mattered when the finish tightened: Hampshire were actually close in the middle (89/3 at 8.9), but entering the last phase behind the rate meant every dot ball and dismissal was amplified.
Vasconcelos anchors, Sales closes
Vasconcelos’ 69-run stand with Lewis McManus was the innings’ backbone, absorbing the new ball and then accelerating through the middle. Baker (5/21) was the standout bowler, ripping through the back end to keep Hampshire alive. In the chase, Joe Weatherley’s 75 off 53 and Liam Dawson’s 35 off 18 briefly reignited belief, but James Sales’ 3/25 punctured the push, and Hampshire’s last-overs wickets ensured the target stayed out of reach.
Pre-match death-overs edge didn’t land
Hampshire came in with momentum and stronger late-overs numbers on paper, but the game never reached a clean “death-overs chase” for them. The early damage forced risk earlier than planned, and Northamptonshire’s slight overall edge translated into better control of the key moments. Even Baker’s spell couldn’t fully cash in because Hampshire’s own powerplay left too much to do, turning the last four overs into a scramble rather than a launch.
NONorthamptonshire
143/10
SOSomerset
126/9
NONorthamptonshire
153/2
GLGloucestershire
152/10
NONorthamptonshire
153/10
WAWarwickshire
154/5
SOSomerset
165/3
NONorthamptonshire
162/8
GLGlamorgan
164/10
NONorthamptonshire
217/7
NONorthamptonshire
118/10
SOSomerset
223/4
GLGloucestershire
184/2
NONorthamptonshire
187/2
NONorthamptonshire
238/6
ESEssex
108/10
NONorthamptonshire
162/4
WOWorcestershire
154/5
DUDurham
138/8
NONorthamptonshire
145/9
NO0
HA1
HAHampshire
187/3
NONottinghamshire
160/10
HAHampshire
211/3
ESEssex
136/9
SUSussex
186/5
HAHampshire
190/6
ESEssex
134/3
HAHampshire
130/10
HAHampshire
159/4
MIMiddlesex
162/5
HAHampshire
190/3
KEKent
171/10
KEKent
181/3
HAHampshire
176/6
HAHampshire
155/8
YOYorkshire
150/10
SUSurrey
210/7
HAHampshire
215/5
HAHampshire
173/6
SUSussex
144/10