Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Somerset ne Northamptonshire ke against last three meetings jeeti hain. Most recent clash mein Somerset ne target chase karke 30 balls remaining ke saath 7 wickets se win kiya. Defining feature yahi tha ki Somerset ne chase ko kitni comfortably control kiya, seven wickets in hand ke saath finish kiya. Overall pattern one-way hai: last three head-to-heads mein Northamptonshire 0-3 hai.

SOSomerset 165/3

NONorthamptonshire 162/8

2026-07-10 · SOM won by 7 wickets (with 30 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 118/10

SOSomerset 223/4

2026-07-05 · SOM won by 105 runs

NONorthamptonshire 198/5

SOSomerset 215/3

2024-09-05 · SOM won by 17 runs

Northamptonshire

Northamptonshire 10W-3L ke saath +0.666 net run rate par hain. Unke last three games mein swing dikha: pehle 5-wicket defeat, phir response mein win jahan unhone chase 14 balls remaining ke saath complete kiya—yeh dikhata hai ki loss ke baad woh jaldi reset kar lete hain.

NONorthamptonshire 153/2

GLGloucestershire 152/10

2026-07-15 · NOR won by 8 wickets (with 14 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 153/10

WAWarwickshire 154/5

2026-07-12 · WAR won by 5 wickets (with 10 balls remaining)

NONorthamptonshire 162/8

SOSomerset 165/3

2026-07-10 · SOM won by 7 wickets (with 30 balls remaining)

Somerset

Somerset 8W-5L ke saath +0.404 net run rate par hain. Woh three-match winning run par aa rahe hain, jiska highlight 2-wicket win hai 1 ball remaining ke saath, aur saath hi ek 78-run win bhi—jo dikhata hai ki woh tight games bhi aur one-sided games bhi jeet sakte hain.

SOSomerset 165/8

YOYorkshire 161/9

2026-07-15 · SOM won by 2 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

SOSomerset 194/7

WOWorcestershire 116/10

2026-07-12 · SOM won by 78 runs

SOSomerset 165/3

NONorthamptonshire 162/8

2026-07-10 · SOM won by 7 wickets (with 30 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

Models split hain: ML Northamptonshire ko 51% lean karta hai, but baaki models Somerset ko favour karte hain, aur model average Somerset 59% par hai. Bookmakers bhi Somerset ke side hain, SOM ko 58% (1.65) aur NOR ko 42% (2.20) price kar rahe hain. Key stats narrowly Somerset ko 4-3 se favour karte hain, mainly unke perfect last-three form aur recent head-to-heads mein 3-0 edge ki wajah se. Northamptonshire ka counterweight unka stronger net run rate hai, but unhe recent matchup trend ko flip karna hoga.

Willey snaps the chase shut

David Willey turned a drifting defence into a firm grip, breaking Somerset’s momentum just as the chase threatened to run away. Somerset were ahead early and had a platform, but Northamptonshire kept taking wickets at the right moments and closed out a 17-run win, despite being bowled out for 143 with four balls left.

Middle-overs squeeze decides it

The match pivoted after the powerplay. Somerset flew to 52/3, but then managed only 48/2 in the middle overs at 4.8 an over, turning a manageable chase into a scramble. That slowdown meant the asking rate spiked, and when wickets fell at the back end, the required rate never came back down. Northamptonshire’s own innings showed the same pattern in reverse: after 39/3 in the powerplay, they surged through the middle before collapsing late.

Ball brilliant, Lynn and Smeed trade blows

Ball was outstanding up front and at the death, returning 4/17 to trigger Northamptonshire’s late slide, while Riley Meredith’s 3/21 kept the total within reach. Northamptonshire’s best batting came through Chris Lynn’s 39 off 26 in a 64-run stand with Saif Zaib that rebuilt the innings. In reply, Will Smeed’s 49 off 35 set the tone, but Tom Kohler-Cadmore’s 29 off 37 underlined how the chase got stuck when it mattered.

Pre-match form meets match pressure

Somerset arrived with the better recent form and head-to-head trend, and their new-ball intent reflected that. But this game punished the softer middle phase: the chase demanded boundary options, and Northamptonshire’s bowlers forced them into low-risk accumulation that didn’t keep pace. Even with a stronger death-overs profile on paper, Somerset entered the final stretch needing too much after the middle-overs drag.