Toss & Conditions

Surface ko grippy bataya gaya tha jahan seamers ne conditions ka full fayda uthaya, aur match low-scoring raha jisme dono sides bowled out ho gayi ya restrict kar di gayi. Chase ka flow early wickets aur middle-overs mein tight bowling se set hua, jo dikhata hai ki conditions mein free scoring se zyada control ko reward mila.

Head-to-Head

Hampshire aur Nottinghamshire ke beech last do meetings 1-1 se split hain. Sabse recent meeting mein Hampshire ne tight finish mein 2 runs se jeet nikali, jab chase bilkul last margin tak gaya. Game ka theme yehi tha ki dono sides mein kitna kam gap tha—result chase ke end mein ek chhote se swing se decide ho gaya. In do matches ko dekho to pattern mixed hai, one-sided bilkul nahi.

NONottinghamshire 123/10

HAHampshire 125/9

2021-08-25 · HAM won by 2 runs

HAHampshire 146/10

NONottinghamshire 169/7

2017-09-02 · NOT won by 23 runs

Hampshire

Hampshire 9W-4L par hai, net run rate +0.587 ke saath. Unke last three results mein do wins aur ek loss hai, aur end Essex ke against 75-run win se hua. Wo latest performance ek clear margin win tha, last-over escape type nahi.

HAHampshire 211/3

ESEssex 136/9

2026-07-15 · HAM won by 75 runs

HAHampshire 190/6

SUSussex 186/5

2026-07-12 · HAM won by 4 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

HAHampshire 130/10

ESEssex 134/3

2026-07-10 · ESS won by 7 wickets (with 24 balls remaining)

Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire 9W-4L par hai, net run rate +0.114 ke saath. Unke last three results bhi do wins aur ek loss hain, aur unki most recent win Surrey ke against 7-run ki thi. Isse lagta hai ki unka latest outing zyada tight, low-margin finish tha.

NONottinghamshire 163/6

SUSurrey 156/7

2026-07-15 · NOT won by 7 runs

NONottinghamshire 175/10

YOYorkshire 193/10

2026-07-12 · YOR won by 18 runs

NONottinghamshire 149/4

LELeicestershire 143/7

2026-07-10 · NOT won by 6 wickets (with 10 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

Models split hain, but average mein Hampshire ko 52% par lean kar rahe hain—4 mein se 3 model views HAM ko favour karte hain, jabki Math model NOT ko favour karta hai. Bookmakers zyada clearly Hampshire ke side hain: HAM 57% (1.65) vs NOT 43% (2.15). Key-stats comparison overall Hampshire ko 3-2 se edge deta hai, mainly net run rate aur middle/death-overs economy advantage ki wajah se. Last three matches mein recent form equal hai, to call is baat par aake tikti hai ki kya Hampshire ka margin profile Nottinghamshire ke small Elo aur powerplay-economy edge ko outweigh karega.

Fuller slams the door shut

James Fuller turned a tense chase into a scramble, striking through the back end as Nottinghamshire were bowled out for 160 with a ball left, handing Hampshire a 27-run win. After Joe Clarke had kept the asking rate in sight, Fuller’s late burst ensured the required rate never came back down once wickets started to tumble, and the innings ended in a rush of miscued hits and hurried singles.

Death overs: Hampshire’s squeeze

The match was decided in the final phase. Hampshire added 46 runs in the last four overs at 11.5 an over, turning a good base into a demanding 188. Nottinghamshire, by contrast, managed only 29 runs for six wickets at the death (7.2 an over). That contrast meant Clarke and Jack Haynes’ work through the middle couldn’t cash out; once the chase entered the last five overs, boundaries dried up and the set batters were forced into low-percentage shots.

Weatherley, Vince, then Fuller

Joe Weatherley’s 88 off 58 was the innings that gave Hampshire control, built around a 125-run partnership with James Vince (59 off 43) that blunted Nottinghamshire’s early plans. Vince kept the tempo honest, and Weatherley’s acceleration ensured Hampshire had a launchpad for the late surge. In the chase, Clarke’s 64 off 43 briefly made it a contest, but Fuller’s four-wicket spell, backed by disciplined support, turned pressure into collapse.

Pre-match edges played out

The pre-game lean towards Hampshire was built around stronger margin indicators and a bowling profile expected to hold up late, and that’s exactly where the contest swung. Nottinghamshire’s slightly sharper powerplay numbers didn’t materialise with the bat as they crawled to 37 for 1 in the first six, leaving too much to do. Even when the 85-run Haynes-Clarke stand revived them, Hampshire’s ability to close innings—both with bat and ball—proved the separator.