

Match Prediction
Sussex T20B regular season mein 13th pe hain, 8 points ke saath aur 2W-4L record. Surrey 6th pe baithe hain 12 points ke saath, 3W-3L aur +0.516 NRR. Sussex Kent ke against win ke baad aa rahe hain, jabki Surrey ka last game Hampshire ke against 5-run loss tha, 215 concede karne ke baad.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Surrey ne Sussex ke against last three meetings jeeti hain. Most recent clash mein Surrey ne tight chase mein 7 runs se edge nikaal liya, 200 ke paar nikalte hue jab Sussex ne 197/7 post kiya. Woh game Surrey ke big target successfully overhaul karne se define hua, na ki defend karne se. Overall pattern one-way hai: last three head-to-heads mein Surrey 3-0 hai.
Sussex
Sussex T20B regular season mein 13th pe hain 8 points ke saath, 2W-4L record aur -0.309 NRR. Unka latest result Kent ke against ek controlled chase tha—7 wickets se jeete, 16 balls remaining ke saath. Recent run mein us win se pehle back-to-back defeats bhi hain, including 179 all out banane ke baad 4-wicket loss.
Surrey
Surrey T20B regular season mein 6th pe hain 12 points ke saath, 3W-3L record aur +0.516 NRR. Unka last match Hampshire ke against 5-run defeat tha, 210/7 score karne ke bawajood—chase haath se nikal gaya jab unhone 215/5 concede kiya. Isse pehle unhone Middlesex ke against dominant 8-wicket win se strong response diya tha, chase 35 balls remaining ke saath finish kiya.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models Surrey ko favour kar rahe hain—Surrey 59–64% range mein, average 61%. Bookmakers bhi same side pe hain: Sussex 40% (2.35) vs Surrey 60% (1.57). Key stats Surrey ko 5-2 se favour karte hain, points/NRR edge aur last three head-to-heads mein clean 3-0 record ke saath. Sussex ke main statistical angles better powerplay aur death economy hain, but overall profile mein Surrey ka call abhi bhi aage hai.
Jacks makes it a canter
Will Jacks’ clean hitting flipped the night from contest to cruise, as Surrey chased down 172 with 27 balls unused to beat Sussex by seven wickets. Sussex had briefly owned the evening through Harrison Ward and Daniel Hughes’ 94-run opening stand, but once that platform cracked, Surrey’s bowlers squeezed hard and Jacks ensured the chase never drifted into danger.
Sussex’s middle-overs collapse
The game swung in Sussex’s middle overs: from 80/0 in the powerplay to 149/5 across the middle phase, before the tail followed for 171 all out in 19.3. Surrey’s control came through wicket-taking rather than dot-ball strangulation — Reece Topley’s 3 for 16 in 2.3 overs and Tom Lawes’ 3 for 26 kept forcing new batters to start again, and Sussex’s death overs produced only 22 runs for five wickets.
Jacks and Philippe seize control
Jacks was the decisive figure, striking 74 off 40 and repeatedly winning the length battle once Sussex missed their yorkers. Josh Philippe’s 48 off 27 set the tempo, and their 97-run stand effectively ended the chase as a contest. For Sussex, Ward’s 49 off 29 gave them lift early, but Surrey’s key blows arrived just after the powerplay, when wickets began to fall and the innings never recovered.
Pre-match edge, on show
Surrey’s pre-match advantage was built on overall balance and recent head-to-head authority, and it played out once the new-ball gloss wore off. Sussex’s better powerplay numbers did surface in that 80/0 burst, but Surrey’s deeper bowling options meant the momentum didn’t stick. In the chase, Surrey’s batting firepower — the kind suggested by their stronger strike-rate matchups — made 172 feel light once the rate stayed above ten through the middle.
SUSussex
135/3
KEKent
133/8
SUSussex
179/10
LELeicestershire
180/6
HAHampshire
173/6
SUSussex
144/10
SUSussex
181/10
MIMiddlesex
213/4
KEKent
199/3
SUSussex
197/6
ESEssex
191/5
SUSussex
192/4
SUSussex
197/7
SUSurrey
204/5
GLGloucestershire
185/5
SUSussex
189/6
HAHampshire
171/4
SUSussex
167/7
ESEssex
148/4
SUSussex
145/10
SU3
SU7
SUSussex
197/7
SUSurrey
204/5
SUSurrey
210/6
SUSussex
162/10
SUSussex
130/10
SUSurrey
184/8
SUSurrey
177/7
SUSussex
213/7
SUSussex
134/10
SUSurrey
258/6
SUSurrey
148/10
SUSussex
149/5
SUSussex
172/5
SUSurrey
155/10
SUSurrey
147/3
SUSussex
146/7
SUSurrey
167/6
SUSussex
165/7
SUSurrey
163/8
SUSussex
137/8
SUSurrey
210/7
HAHampshire
215/5
SUSurrey
134/2
MIMiddlesex
129/7
SUSurrey
116/10
KEKent
118/2
HAHampshire
177/5
SUSurrey
174/8
MIMiddlesex
143/8
SUSurrey
144/4
SUSurrey
213/6
LALancashire
154/10
SUSurrey
147/6
NONorthamptonshire
154/4
SUSussex
197/7
SUSurrey
204/5
MIMiddlesex
181/6
SUSurrey
189/9
SUSurrey
201/6
SOSomerset
134/10
NOR
8
8-0
32
HAM
8
6-2
24
NOT
9
6-3
24
YOR
9
5-3
22
SUR
8
5-3
20
GLO
8
5-3
20
GLA
8
5-3
20
ESS
9
5-4
20
WOR
9
5-4
20
KEN
9
4-5
16
LAN
9
4-5
16
DUR
8
3-5
12
WAR
9
3-6
12
SOM
8
3-5
12
LEI
8
3-5
12
DER
8
2-5
10
SUS
9
2-7
8
MID
8
1-7
4
NOR
8
8
0
—
+2.142
32
HAM
8
6
2
—
+0.594
24
NOT
9
6
3
—
+0.199
24
YOR
9
5
3
—
+0.750
22
SUR
8
5
3
—
+0.734
20
GLO
8
5
3
—
+0.526
20
GLA
8
5
3
—
+0.467
20
ESS
9
5
4
—
+0.149
20
WOR
9
5
4
—
-0.043
20
KEN
9
4
5
—
-0.418
16
LAN
9
4
5
—
-0.605
16
DUR
8
3
5
—
+0.396
12
WAR
9
3
6
—
+0.209
12
SOM
8
3
5
—
-0.563
12
LEI
8
3
5
—
-1.344
12
DER
8
2
5
—
+0.446
10
SUS
9
2
7
—
-1.487
8
MID
8
1
7
—
-2.002
4
NORWWWWW
HAMWWWWL
NOTWWWWW
YORWLLDW
SURLWLWW
GLOWWWLL
GLAWLWWW
ESSWWLLW
WORLLLWW
KENLLLWL
LANLWWWL
DURLLLWL
WARLWWWL
SOMLLLWL
LEIWWWLL
DERWLLDL
SUSLWLLL
MIDLLLLL
