

Match Prediction
PBKS are No. 1 in the regular-season table on 13 points, with SRH third on 12 points; both are currently in the playoff zone. SRH’s five-match winning streak ended with a home loss to KKR. PBKS come in after consecutive defeats after going unbeaten in seven matches. If PBKS lose again, SRH move to the top spot, although PBKS will have a game in hand.
Toss & Conditions
On pitch No. 2, the average night-match score across IPL 2024 and 2025 is 200, with a 3-2 record for teams batting first. In the only game on this pitch this season, SRH made 242 against Delhi Capitals and won by 47 runs; PBKS have won five of their six matches while chasing this season, so both teams could get their preferred toss outcome.
Head-to-Head
SRH have won 2 of the last 3 meetings, with PBKS winning 1. The most recent meeting was last month, when PBKS won a tight, high-scoring game with 7 balls remaining. PBKS chased down 219 after SRH made 219/6, turning it into a late chase rather than a one-sided result. Across these three games, all results have come in high-scoring finishes with narrow margins.
Sunrisers Hyderabad
SRH are third in the regular season with 12 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They won two of their last three matches, including back-to-back chases against RR and MI. Their most recent game was a home defeat to KKR, where they were bowled out for 165 and lost by 7 wickets.
Punjab Kings
PBKS are top of the regular-season table with 13 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They have lost two in a row after a seven-match unbeaten run. Their latest defeat was a one-ball finish against GT, where they made 163/9 and lost by 4 wickets.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- Nitish Kumar Reddy missed the KKR match due to illness but is fit to play against PBKS.
- PBKS’ bowling has taken the second-fewest wickets this season and is averaging in excess of 41.
- SRH’s Abhishek Sharma and Travis Head have scored 543 runs together in 10 innings at a strike rate of 208.05 this season; PBKS’ Prabhsimran Singh and Priyansh Arya have scored at a strike rate of 242.5 in eight innings.
- Abhishek Sharma averages 85 and strikes at 197.67 against Arshdeep Singh, while Travis Head has fallen three times in 42 balls to Arshdeep and averages 19.67 against him.
- PBKS’ Suryansh Shedge made 57 off 29 against GT and added 79 with Marcus Stoinis from 47 for 5; Stoinis hit 62* off 22 balls vs RR and 40 off 31 vs GT.
Key Stats
Verdict
Models are split, leaning SRH at 51% on average, with most model variants favouring SRH while the Math model favours PBKS. Bookmakers diverge from that lean, pricing PBKS at 55% (1.75) vs SRH at 45% (2.09). Key stats are tied 4-4 overall; PBKS lead on points/NRR/Elo, while SRH lead on last-3 form and the last-3 head-to-head. The game pivots on whether SRH’s recent edge in results holds up against PBKS’ table position and chasing record this season.
Klaasen flips the script
Heinrich Klaasen walked in with SRH already flying, and made sure the innings didn’t drift once the first wicket fell. His 69 off 43, stitched into an 84-run stand with Ishan Kishan, kept the pressure on Punjab’s bowlers through the middle overs and set up a total that always felt a touch beyond par. Even when PBKS threatened to turn it into a shootout late, SRH’s head start meant they could absorb the counterpunch and still win by 33.
Powerplay gap proves fatal
The match was effectively decided in the first six overs. SRH blasted 79/1 in the powerplay at 13.2 an over, while PBKS stumbled to 57/3. That 22-run swing came with wickets attached, forcing Punjab to rebuild rather than keep pace with the asking rate. SRH then held their nerve through the middle (103/2) and still finished with a 53-run death burst, leaving PBKS needing a near-perfect chase from a damaged start.
Connolly’s hundred in vain
Cooper Connolly produced the innings of the night, a 108 from 59 that kept PBKS alive deep into the chase and turned the last quarter into a test of SRH’s composure. But Pat Cummins’ 2/34 did the foundational damage up front, and SRH’s bowlers could then defend in bursts rather than chase constant control. Klaasen and Kishan (55 off 32) were the difference-makers with the bat: they turned a good platform into a total that demanded a perfect response.
Form edge beats the market
Pre-game, the numbers were split: SRH’s recent form and match-up lean against PBKS’ stronger table indicators and shorter odds. The game followed the form line because SRH’s batting tempo never dipped across phases, exactly the kind of momentum side that punishes any early bowling wobble. Punjab’s chase, by contrast, was shaped by that early wobble with the bat, and they spent too long trying to reset before the required rate ran away.
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
165/10
KKKolkata Knight Riders
169/3
MIMumbai Indians
243/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
249/4
RRRajasthan Royals
228/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
229/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
242/2
DCDelhi Capitals
195/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
194/9
CSChennai Super Kings
184/8
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
216/6
RRRajasthan Royals
159/10
PBPunjab Kings
223/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
219/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
156/9
LSLucknow Super Giants
160/5
KKKolkata Knight Riders
161/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
226/8
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
203/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
201/9
SR6
PB4
PBPunjab Kings
223/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
219/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
247/2
PBPunjab Kings
245/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
215/6
PBPunjab Kings
214/5
PBPunjab Kings
180/6
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
182/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
145/2
PBPunjab Kings
143/9
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
157/8
PBPunjab Kings
160/5
PBPunjab Kings
151/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
152/3
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
120/7
PBPunjab Kings
125/7
PBPunjab Kings
120/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
121/1
PBPunjab Kings
126/7
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
114/10
GTGujarat Titans
167/6
PBPunjab Kings
163/9
PBPunjab Kings
222/4
RRRajasthan Royals
228/4
DCDelhi Capitals
264/2
PBPunjab Kings
265/4
PBPunjab Kings
254/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
200/5
MIMumbai Indians
195/6
PBPunjab Kings
198/3
PBPunjab Kings
223/4
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
219/6
CSChennai Super Kings
209/5
PBPunjab Kings
210/5
PBPunjab Kings
165/7
GTGujarat Titans
162/6
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
190/9
PBPunjab Kings
184/7
PBPunjab Kings
207/5
MIMumbai Indians
203/6
PBKS
9
6-2
13
RCB
9
6-3
12
SRH
10
6-4
12
RR
10
6-4
12
GT
10
6-4
12
CSK
9
4-5
8
DC
9
4-5
8
KKR
9
3-5
7
MI
10
3-7
6
LSG
9
2-7
4
PBKS
9
6
2
1
+0.855
13
RCB
9
6
3
—
+1.420
12
SRH
10
6
4
—
+0.644
12
RR
10
6
4
—
+0.510
12
GT
10
6
4
—
-0.147
12
CSK
9
4
5
—
+0.005
8
DC
9
4
5
—
-0.895
8
KKR
9
3
5
1
-0.539
7
MI
10
3
7
—
-0.649
6
LSG
9
2
7
—
-1.076
4
PBKSWWWLL
RCBWLWWL
SRHWWWWL
RRLWLWL
GTLLWWW
CSKWLWLW
DCWLLLW
KKRLLWWW
MIWLLLW
LSGLLLLL
