Toss & Conditions

Pitch No. 6 will be used in Jaipur, and it will be the first time this surface is used this season. Jaipur has been high-scoring this year, and dew is expected to come into play, so teams winning the toss are likely to bowl first.

Head-to-Head

RR lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, RR defended a target in a tight finish, winning by 6 runs after GT fell short in the chase. The game turned on RR’s late-overs bowling, with Jofra Archer and Tushar Deshpande closing out the last two overs when GT needed 15 off 12 with three wickets in hand. Across these three games, results have swung between a big GT win and two close RR wins.

GTGujarat Titans 204/8

RRRajasthan Royals 210/6

2026-04-04 · RR won by 6 runs

RRRajasthan Royals 212/2

GTGujarat Titans 209/4

2025-04-28 · RR won by 8 wickets (with 25 balls remaining)

GTGujarat Titans 217/6

RRRajasthan Royals 159/10

2025-04-09 · GT won by 58 runs

Rajasthan Royals

RR are 4th on 12 points in the IPL regular season and currently in the playoff zone. Their last three results include two high-scoring defeats where they failed to defend 225 and 228, and one chase win against Punjab Kings. The most telling recent result was the loss to Delhi Capitals after putting up 225 and still being chased down.

RRRajasthan Royals 225/6

DCDelhi Capitals 226/3

2026-05-01 · DC won by 7 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

RRRajasthan Royals 228/4

PBPunjab Kings 222/4

2026-04-28 · RR won by 6 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

RRRajasthan Royals 228/6

SRSunrisers Hyderabad 229/5

2026-04-25 · SRH won by 5 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

Gujarat Titans

GT are 5th on 12 points in the IPL regular season and currently outside the playoff zone. They come in on a three-match winning streak, including a last-ball win over Punjab Kings. The most telling recent result was that 4-wicket chase with 1 ball remaining, showing they are closing tight games.

GTGujarat Titans 167/6

PBPunjab Kings 163/9

2026-05-03 · GT won by 4 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

GTGujarat Titans 158/6

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 155/10

2026-04-30 · GT won by 4 wickets (with 25 balls remaining)

GTGujarat Titans 162/2

CSChennai Super Kings 158/7

2026-04-26 · GT won by 8 wickets (with 20 balls remaining)

Playing XI

News & Facts

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour GT, with GT projected at 53–59% and a 57% model average. Bookmakers diverge from the models, pricing RR at 56% (1.74) vs GT at 44% (2.13). Key stats narrowly favour RR 4-3, but the models lean GT on Elo and recent form. The match likely turns on whether GT’s winning momentum holds against RR’s better recent head-to-head edge.

Gill-Sudharsan set the tone

Shubman Gill’s 84 off 44 was the innings that broke the contest open, because it arrived before Rajasthan Royals could find a matchup to slow him down. With Sai Sudharsan matching him shot for shot, GT surged early and kept the pressure on through the middle, finishing with 229/4 and leaving RR a chase that demanded constant boundary-hitting. RR had a fleeting window when early wickets fell in their reply, but the required rate never dipped for long, and the collapse arrived fast.

Powerplay damage decided it

The game was effectively won in the first six overs of each innings. GT’s 82/0 in the powerplay gave them a platform to bat without risk, while RR’s 78/3 — despite the runs — meant they were always one wicket away from losing shape. Once the field spread, GT still added 97/2 in the middle overs, but RR’s middle phase told the real story: 73/5 at 7.3 an over, a stall that turned a steep chase into an impossible one.

Rashid shuts the door

Rashid Khan was the closer, taking 4/33 to turn RR’s chase from strained to shattered in the middle overs. Gill provided the separation up front, Sudharsan’s 56 off 36 ensured there was no lull, and their 117-run partnership was the defining stand. For RR, Ravindra Jadeja’s 38 off 25 briefly kept the chase alive, but with the death phase yielding just 1 run for 2 wickets, the finish was abrupt.

Form edge became on-field edge

Pre-match, GT’s recent momentum and rating edge suggested they’d handle key moments better, even with bookmakers leaning RR. That played out in how GT converted a fast start into a huge total, then squeezed immediately after the powerplay. RR’s slightly better recent head-to-head and NRR never got a chance to matter because their chase couldn’t sustain intent once wickets kept interrupting partnerships.