Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Glamorgan lead the last three head-to-head meetings 2-1. In the most recent meeting, Glamorgan chased down the target with 37 balls remaining to win by 7 wickets. Somerset’s chase ended at 171/9, a nine-wicket loss that set up a comfortable finish for Glamorgan. Across these three games, results have swung, but Glamorgan have edged the series with two wins.

GLGlamorgan 175/3

SOSomerset 171/9

2026-05-29 · GLA won by 7 wickets (with 37 balls remaining)

SOSomerset 174/9

GLGlamorgan 176/7

2025-07-04 · GLA won by 2 runs

GLGlamorgan 130/9

SOSomerset 131/4

2025-06-20 · SOM won by 6 wickets (with 20 balls remaining)

Somerset

Somerset are 9th in the T20B Regular Season with 8 points and a 2W-1L record. Their last three matches include back-to-back 7-wicket wins before a defeat to Glamorgan. The most telling recent result is the latest loss to Glamorgan, where Somerset finished 171/9 and were beaten with 37 balls still left.

SOSomerset 171/9

GLGlamorgan 175/3

2026-05-29 · GLA won by 7 wickets (with 37 balls remaining)

SOSomerset 193/3

WAWarwickshire 189/5

2026-05-24 · SOM won by 7 wickets (with 10 balls remaining)

SOSomerset 160/3

HAHampshire 158/10

2026-05-22 · SOM won by 7 wickets (with 22 balls remaining)

Glamorgan

Glamorgan are 12th in the T20B Regular Season with 4 points and a 1W-2L record. Their last three matches include two tight defeats before a 7-wicket win over Somerset. The standout is that Somerset win, sealed with 37 balls remaining after Glamorgan posted 175/3.

GLGlamorgan 175/3

SOSomerset 171/9

2026-05-29 · GLA won by 7 wickets (with 37 balls remaining)

GLGlamorgan 157/8

GLGloucestershire 158/8

2026-05-23 · GLO won by 2 wickets (with 0 ball remaining)

GLGlamorgan 162/8

NONorthamptonshire 165/8

2026-05-22 · NOR won by 3 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split: the average leans Somerset at 54%, but the ML model slightly favours Glamorgan at 51%. Bookmakers diverge from the model average, pricing Somerset at 56% (1.70) vs Glamorgan at 44% (2.15). Key stats narrowly favour Glamorgan 4-3, driven by their edge in NRR, head-to-head, and late-overs economy. Somerset’s Elo edge and better powerplay economy keep it close, but the recent head-to-head tilt makes this a fine-margin call.

Dickson wins it on the buzzer

Sean Dickson was the calm in the chaos, steering Glamorgan through early damage and then finding the boundary options when the chase tightened. Glamorgan crossed the line with 0 balls remaining, sealing a four-wicket win after Somerset’s 202/6 looked imposing. Even with wickets falling, Dickson’s tempo never dipped, and the chase stayed alive long enough for a final-over finish that Somerset couldn’t quite defend.

Death overs flip the chase

The match swung decisively at the back end. Glamorgan needed a strong finish and produced it: 55 runs in the last five overs (death overs run-rate 13.8) compared to Somerset’s 46 (11.5). That late acceleration erased the pressure created by a 55/3 powerplay and made Somerset’s total feel just short. Somerset’s quicks leaked too many boundary balls at the death, and the chase stayed on track even when the required rate climbed.

Dickson and Gregory set the tone

Dickson’s 63 off 36 was the innings that kept Glamorgan’s chase coherent, especially after the early wobble, and his stand of 89 with his partner gave the pursuit its spine. Lewis Gregory’s 55 off 28 powered Somerset’s surge and helped build the match’s best stand for them (90 with Tom Abell), turning a good platform into 200-plus. Daniel Douthwaite’s 2/35 was Glamorgan’s most effective control spell in a high-scoring night, keeping the target within reach.

Pre-match edges didn’t hold

Somerset’s home streak and slightly better new-ball numbers suggested they could control key phases, and their 60/2 powerplay backed that up. But Glamorgan’s pre-game hint of strength at the death showed up when it mattered most: they were the cleaner side in the final five overs with both bat and ball. The head-to-head and NRR indicators pointed to fine margins, and this game lived there—Somerset had enough runs, just not enough control late.