Guyana Amazon Warriors sit 2nd in the CPL regular season on 8 points with a 4W-0L record and a +2.604 NRR, currently in the playoff zone. Jamaica Kingsmen are 3rd on 8 points with a 4W-4L record and a +0.054 NRR, currently in the playoff zone. This matchup pits an unbeaten campaign against a team with the same points but a far more mixed season.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Across the last 1 head-to-head meeting, GAW lead 1-0. In the most recent clash, GAW beat JK by 6 wickets with 35 balls remaining. The defining detail was how comfortably GAW finished the chase, getting there with plenty of time left. With only one recent meeting on record, the pattern so far is one-way in GAW’s favour.
Guyana Amazon Warriors
GAW are 2nd in the CPL regular season on 8 points, currently in the playoff zone. They come in on a four-match winning run, including a D/S-method win over Trinbago Knight Riders. The recent results show GAW repeatedly closing chases with wickets and balls to spare.
Jamaica Kingsmen
JK are 3rd in the CPL regular season on 8 points, currently in the playoff zone. Their season is 4W-4L, but their latest results include back-to-back wins, including a D/L-method win over Trinbago Knight Riders. The most telling recent note is that they’ve shown they can win in shortened, method-adjusted games.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Prediction
Current prediction, after the playing XI and toss
All four models favour GAW, with the average probability at 68% for GAW. Bookmakers align with the models, pricing GAW at 68% (1.40) vs JK at 32% (2.96). Key stats favour GAW 5-0, driven by edges in NRR, Elo, recent head-to-head, and player-form indicators. The match likely turns on whether GAW’s unbeaten momentum and stronger underlying profile hold up against JK’s ability to grind out results.
Superseded: preliminary prediction, before the XI and toss
Preliminary prediction — calculated before the playing XI and toss were known. It is recalculated 5–30 minutes before the start, once the lineups and toss are confirmed.
All four models favour GAW, with an average win probability of 68% (range 64–74%). Bookmakers align with that view, pricing GAW at 64% (1.49) vs JK at 36% (2.58). Key stats favour GAW 3-0, driven by the NRR gap, Elo edge, and the only recent head-to-head going their way. If JK can’t disrupt GAW’s momentum early, GAW’s season-long efficiency looks set to decide it.
Gurbaz sets the tone
Rahmanullah Gurbaz made sure Jamaica Kingsmen’s late surge didn’t linger, launching Guyana Amazon Warriors’ chase with clean, early striking and calm intent. Even with Hassan Khan’s explosive 62 off 29 giving Jamaica a defendable-looking 159/7, Guyana’s top order never looked rushed, finishing 160/2 with 16 balls unused to seal an eight-wicket win.
Powerplay punch wins it
The game was effectively decided in the first six overs of the chase. Guyana raced to 65/1 in the powerplay at 10.8 an over, immediately flipping the required rate pressure back onto Jamaica’s bowlers. That early damage meant the middle overs could be played on Guyana’s terms: rotation, low risk, and selective boundary-hunting rather than a desperate hunt. Jamaica’s best chance was to drag the chase deep, but the platform was too strong.
Hassan shines, Pierre controls
Hassan Khan was the standout with the bat, turning Jamaica’s final overs into a counterpunch that briefly made 160 look awkward. But Guyana’s control came earlier through Khary Pierre’s 2/21, which helped keep Jamaica quiet when momentum was there to be taken. Gurbaz’s 54 off 35 provided the decisive head start, and Shai Hope’s steady 39 off 35 ensured there was no wobble once the chase entered the middle overs.
Pre-match edge, on-field proof
Coming in, Guyana’s stronger recent profile suggested they would control the key phases, and that’s exactly how it played out. Jamaica did show the “grind” they’ve been capable of, recovering late through Hassan’s hitting, but their innings was strangled in the middle (58/4) and left too much to do at the end. With Guyana’s top order in form, a target around 160 was always going to feel light if the new ball didn’t strike twice.






