Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Durham W lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, Durham W chased down the target and won with 4 balls remaining, after The Blaze W finished on 147/9. That finish was defined by The Blaze W losing nine wickets, leaving Durham W a manageable chase. Across the last three, two games have gone Durham W’s way, but both sides have shown they can win this matchup.

DUDurham W 148/5

TBThe Blaze W 147/9

2026-07-05 · DUR-W won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 153/10

DUDurham W 156/3

2026-05-31 · DUR-W won by 7 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

DUDurham W 188/5

TBThe Blaze W 190/3

2025-06-13 · TB-W won by 7 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

The Blaze W

The Blaze W are 8W-4L with a +0.255 NRR. They arrive on a 3-match winning streak, including a chase where they won with 21 balls remaining. The recent pattern is consistent control in tight chases rather than one-off results.

TBThe Blaze W 106/4

SUSurrey W 105/10

2026-07-17 · TB-W won by 6 wickets (with 21 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 123/7

YOYorkshire W 122/10

2026-07-12 · TB-W won by 3 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 122/3

SOSomerset W 118/8

2026-07-10 · TB-W won by 7 wickets

Durham W

Durham W are 7W-4L with a +0.415 NRR. Their last three include two losses, but they most recently won a chase with 4 balls remaining. The form line reads as close games either way rather than sustained momentum.

DUDurham W 131/6

HAHampshire W 129/8

2026-07-17 · DUR-W won by 4 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

DUDurham W 132/6

LALancashire W 135/6

2026-07-12 · LAN-W won by 4 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

DUDurham W 150/6

ESEssex W 162/4

2026-07-10 · ESS-W won by 12 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour The Blaze W, with an average lean of 58% and a range from 55% to 64%. Bookmakers also side with The Blaze W at 63% (1.50) vs Durham W at 37% (2.55). Key stats overall favour Durham W 5-2, but the models lean Blaze on Elo and a perfect last-three winrate. The game likely turns on whether The Blaze W’s current streak holds up against Durham W’s head-to-head edge and stronger economy profile.