Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Durham W lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, Durham W chased down the target and won with 4 balls remaining, after The Blaze W finished on 147/9. That finish was defined by The Blaze W losing nine wickets, leaving Durham W a manageable chase. Across the last three, two games have gone Durham W’s way, but both sides have shown they can win this matchup.

DUDurham W 148/5

TBThe Blaze W 147/9

2026-07-05 · DUR-W won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 153/10

DUDurham W 156/3

2026-05-31 · DUR-W won by 7 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

DUDurham W 188/5

TBThe Blaze W 190/3

2025-06-13 · TB-W won by 7 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

The Blaze W

The Blaze W are 8W-4L with a +0.255 NRR. They arrive on a 3-match winning streak, including a chase where they won with 21 balls remaining. The recent pattern is consistent control in tight chases rather than one-off results.

TBThe Blaze W 106/4

SUSurrey W 105/10

2026-07-17 · TB-W won by 6 wickets (with 21 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 123/7

YOYorkshire W 122/10

2026-07-12 · TB-W won by 3 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 122/3

SOSomerset W 118/8

2026-07-10 · TB-W won by 7 wickets

Durham W

Durham W are 7W-4L with a +0.415 NRR. Their last three include two losses, but they most recently won a chase with 4 balls remaining. The form line reads as close games either way rather than sustained momentum.

DUDurham W 131/6

HAHampshire W 129/8

2026-07-17 · DUR-W won by 4 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

DUDurham W 132/6

LALancashire W 135/6

2026-07-12 · LAN-W won by 4 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

DUDurham W 150/6

ESEssex W 162/4

2026-07-10 · ESS-W won by 12 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models favour The Blaze W, with an average lean of 58% and a range from 55% to 64%. Bookmakers also side with The Blaze W at 63% (1.50) vs Durham W at 37% (2.55). Key stats overall favour Durham W 5-2, but the models lean Blaze on Elo and a perfect last-three winrate. The game likely turns on whether The Blaze W’s current streak holds up against Durham W’s head-to-head edge and stronger economy profile.

Gordon’s squeeze sets it up

Kirstie Gordon’s left-arm spin was the decisive force, dragging Durham off-script and setting up a stroll of a chase. After Durham were pegged back through the middle, The Blaze’s openers made sure there was no late twist, completing a 10-wicket win with 40 balls remaining as Beaumont and Bryce finished the job without offering a way back.

Powerplay pressure, then control

The game was effectively won in Durham’s first six overs. Reduced to 35/2 in the powerplay, they spent the next phase trying to rebuild rather than attack, managing only 51/3 through the middle overs. That early damage meant even a livelier finish (31/3 at the death) couldn’t lift them beyond 117/8. The Blaze, by contrast, turned the chase into a formality by blasting 53/0 in their own powerplay, removing any scoreboard pressure immediately.

Beaumont and Bryce shut the door

Beaumont’s 54 off 39 set the tempo, mixing clean drives with sharp running, while Bryce’s 53 off 41 ensured there was no lull as the target approached. Their 116-run opening partnership meant Durham’s bowlers never got a look at new batters. For Durham, Heather Graham’s 30 off 23 briefly injected urgency, but Gordon’s 3/21 and Charli Knott’s 2/25 kept wickets and momentum moving the same way.

Form edge becomes scoreboard reality

Pre-match talk centred on whether The Blaze’s recent momentum could outweigh Durham’s steadier season numbers and head-to-head edge. What played out was a classic form-and-matchups story: The Blaze struck early, bowled with discipline, and never allowed a partnership to settle. Durham’s best stand was only 37, and once they were forced into catch-up batting, the total was always going to be vulnerable against a confident top order.