

Match Prediction
The Blaze W are 2nd in the T20BW Regular Season on 12 points and are currently in the playoff zone with a 3-0 record. Durham W are 5th on 8 points, currently in the playoff zone, with a 2-1 record. The Blaze come in on a three-game winning run, while Durham have split their last three with two wins and one loss.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, The Blaze W lead 1-0. In the most recent clash, The Blaze W won by 7 wickets with 6 balls remaining. The result was shaped by The Blaze W completing the chase with significant time left in the innings. With only one recent meeting on record, the pattern is limited but currently favours The Blaze W.
The Blaze W
The Blaze W are 2nd in the T20BW Regular Season with 12 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They are unbeaten at 3-0 and have won their last three matches. Their most recent win was a four-wicket chase with 4 balls remaining, continuing a run of tight finishes they have closed out.
Durham W
Durham W are 5th in the T20BW Regular Season with 8 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They have gone 2-1 in their last three matches, bouncing back from a two-wicket loss with 20 balls remaining to win their latest game by 27 runs. The recent results show they can win both by defending totals and by controlling games with the ball.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour The Blaze W, with the average projection at 60% for TB-W. Bookmakers align with the models, pricing TB-W at 61% (1.54) vs DUR-W at 39% (2.34). Key stats narrowly favour Durham W overall (4-3), driven by their edges in run-rate and economy phases. The Blaze W still hold the narrative edge through unbeaten form and the only recent H2H win.
Villiers’ double blow seals it
Mady Villiers set the tone with ball and bat, dragging Durham W over the line in a chase that never quite slipped. After The Blaze W threatened early, Durham’s bowlers forced a late tumble, then Villiers and Hollie Armitage stitched the innings together to win by 7 wickets with five balls remaining.
Death-overs collapse flips innings
The decisive swing came at the back end of The Blaze’s innings. From 79/3 in the middle overs, they managed only 18 runs for five wickets at the death (RR 4.7), turning a platform into 153 all out in 19.5 overs. Durham’s control through the final five overs — led by Villiers’ 3/21 — meant the early powerplay burst (56/2 at 9.3 an over) never became a match-winning total.
Armitage anchors, Heath finishes
Armitage’s 50 off 47 provided the chase’s spine, absorbing any wobble after Durham’s brisk start (52/0 in the powerplay). Villiers’ 47 off 34 supplied the acceleration and, with Armitage, produced the match-defining 83-run stand. When the target narrowed, Bess Heath’s 36 off 18 ensured there was no late squeeze, despite Emma Jones’ 2/21 offering The Blaze a brief opening.
Unbeaten form meets Durham control
Pre-match, The Blaze’s momentum and ratings edge suggested they’d have enough, especially with their strong death-overs economy on paper. Instead, Durham were the side that owned the closing phases: their batters finished with 25/0 at the death, while The Blaze unravelled. That contrast in end-game execution — not the first 10 overs — decided a contest that looked even through the middle (both 79/3).
WAWarwickshire W
158/8
TBThe Blaze W
159/6
LALancashire W
162/5
TBThe Blaze W
163/7
TBThe Blaze W
181/6
YOYorkshire W
179/5
TBThe Blaze W
143/10
WAWarwickshire W
163/8
HAHampshire W
137/4
TBThe Blaze W
164/5
ESEssex W
104/9
TBThe Blaze W
139/10
TBThe Blaze W
122/5
SUSurrey W
132/9
TBThe Blaze W
188/6
HAHampshire W
151/10
WAWarwickshire W
172/6
TBThe Blaze W
147/8
TBThe Blaze W
153/5
LALancashire W
150/9
TB1
DU0
DUDurham W
140/5
WAWarwickshire W
113/10
SUSurrey W
103/8
DUDurham W
102/10
DUDurham W
178/5
HAHampshire W
146/8
ESEssex W
164/3
DUDurham W
155/8
LALancashire W
148/7
DUDurham W
149/8
DUDurham W
104/5
HAHampshire W
103/7
DUDurham W
154/4
SOSomerset W
148/7
DUDurham W
101/8
ESEssex W
105/4
SOSomerset W
138/7
DUDurham W
139/6
DUDurham W
188/5
TBThe Blaze W
190/3
SUR-W
4
3-0
15
TB-W
3
3-0
12
SOM-W
4
2-1
11
ESS-W
3
2-1
9
DUR-W
3
2-1
8
HAM-W
4
1-1
8
LAN-W
3
1-2
5
YOR
4
0-4
0
WAR-W
4
0-4
0
SUR-W
4
3
0
—
+0.970
15
TB-W
3
3
0
—
+0.306
12
SOM-W
4
2
1
—
+0.210
11
ESS-W
3
2
1
—
+0.480
9
DUR-W
3
2
1
—
+0.612
8
HAM-W
4
1
1
—
-0.113
8
LAN-W
3
1
2
—
+0.322
5
YOR
4
0
4
—
-1.094
0
WAR-W
4
0
4
—
-1.265
0
SUR-WWWWD
TB-WWWW
SOM-WDWWL
ESS-WWLW
DUR-WWLW
HAM-WDLWD
LAN-WLLW
YORLLLL
WAR-WLLLL
