

Match Prediction
RCB and GT meet in the IPL 2026 final in Ahmedabad, with GT playing at their home ground. RCB lost to GT in Ahmedabad in the league stage after being bowled out for 155. GT have turned a fourth playoff appearance in five years into a third final in five years. For the last eight straight IPLs, the team winning Qualifier 1 has gone on to become champion.
Toss & Conditions
The final will be played on the same pitch as the last final, and it has already been used twice this season, including the league match between RCB and GT. Ahmedabad has tended to favour chasing teams, and four of the last six finals have been won by the chasing side.
Head-to-Head
Across the last three meetings, RCB lead GT 2-1. In the most recent clash, RCB posted 254/5 and bowled GT out for 162 to win by 92 runs, with the game defined by GT being dismissed in the chase. The meeting before that flipped the script, with GT winning by 4 wickets with 25 balls remaining after RCB were bowled out for 155. The pattern across these three games is mixed, with both teams taking turns to control matches decisively.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
RCB are 10W-5L with an NRR of +0.948. Their last three results include a 92-run win over GT and a 23-run win over Punjab Kings, with their only defeat coming by 55 runs against Sunrisers Hyderabad. The most telling recent result is the 92-run win over GT, where they combined a 254/5 with bowling GT out for 162.
Gujarat Titans
GT are 10W-6L with an NRR of +0.048. Their last three results include an 89-run win over Chennai Super Kings and a 7-wicket win over Rajasthan Royals, but also a 92-run loss to RCB. The most telling recent result is the 92-run defeat to RCB, where they were bowled out for 162 while chasing 254.
Playing XI
News & Facts
- RCB lost to GT in Ahmedabad in the league stage, getting bowled out for 155.
- GT’s campaign has been built on Kagiso Rabada and Mohammed Siraj, with an emphasis on attacking in the powerplay.
- GT have a strike rate of 16 this season (economy 9.49), and at home it improves to 13.5 (economy 8.72).
- Jason Holder has taken 17 wickets at an economy rate of 7.54.
- Bhuvneshwar Kumar has 26 wickets and trails Rabada (28) by two in the purple-cap race, with a chance to win it for a third time.
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour RCB, with the average probability at 58% (range 56–60%). Bookmakers also lean RCB, pricing them at 53% (1.80) vs GT at 47% (2.00). Key stats edge RCB 4-2 overall, driven by the NRR gap, the 2-1 advantage in the last three head-to-heads, and better mid-overs and death-overs economy. The swing factor is whether GT’s powerplay attack can dictate terms early, or whether RCB’s recent head-to-head edge carries into another high-scoring game.
Kohli owns the chase
Virat Kohli set the chase on fire before Gujarat Titans could settle, and that early authority proved decisive as Royal Challengers Bengaluru won by five wickets with 12 balls remaining. Chasing 156, RCB briefly felt the game tighten in the middle overs, but Kohli’s tempo never dipped for long, and the target was always within reach once he had batted deep.
Powerplay punch makes 156 small
The match swung in the first six overs of RCB’s reply. They raced to 70/2 in the powerplay, effectively wiping out the advantage GT hoped to build by batting first. Even when the run-rate slowed to 7.5 an over through the middle (75/3), the damage was already done: the required rate stayed manageable, and RCB only needed a controlled finish rather than a risky late surge.
Kohli, Rasikh define the night
Kohli’s 75 off 42 was the innings that separated the sides, mixing clean hitting with smart rotation when the field spread. Venkatesh Iyer’s 32 off 16 added the early thrust, including a 61-run stand with Kohli that broke the back of the chase. Earlier, Rasikh Salam Dar’s 3/27 ensured GT never ran away, while Rashid’s 2/25 was the main reason the contest stayed alive into the middle overs.
Pre-match edges show up early
The pre-game lean towards RCB was built around their ability to dominate key phases at home, and that’s exactly how the chase played out. GT’s best route was to strike hard up front, but RCB’s top order blunted that plan and forced GT into defensive fields early. GT did create a pocket of pressure through Rashid Khan’s tight spell, yet without a big powerplay or a longer partnership, they were always chasing the game’s momentum.
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
254/5
GTGujarat Titans
162/10
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
255/4
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
200/4
PBPunjab Kings
199/8
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
222/4
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
194/4
KKKolkata Knight Riders
192/4
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
167/9
MIMumbai Indians
166/7
LSLucknow Super Giants
209/3
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
203/6
GTGujarat Titans
158/6
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
155/10
DCDelhi Capitals
75/10
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
77/1
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
206/5
GTGujarat Titans
205/3
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
175/8
DCDelhi Capitals
179/4
RC5
GT4
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
254/5
GTGujarat Titans
162/10
GTGujarat Titans
158/6
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
155/10
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
206/5
GTGujarat Titans
205/3
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
169/8
GTGujarat Titans
170/2
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
152/6
GTGujarat Titans
147/10
GTGujarat Titans
200/3
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
206/1
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
197/5
GTGujarat Titans
198/4
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
170/2
GTGujarat Titans
168/5
GTGujarat Titans
174/4
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
170/6
RRRajasthan Royals
214/6
GTGujarat Titans
219/3
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
254/5
GTGujarat Titans
162/10
GTGujarat Titans
229/4
CSChennai Super Kings
140/10
KKKolkata Knight Riders
247/2
GTGujarat Titans
218/4
GTGujarat Titans
168/5
SRSunrisers Hyderabad
86/10
RRRajasthan Royals
152/10
GTGujarat Titans
229/4
GTGujarat Titans
167/6
PBPunjab Kings
163/9
GTGujarat Titans
158/6
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
155/10
GTGujarat Titans
162/2
CSChennai Super Kings
158/7
RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru
206/5
GTGujarat Titans
205/3
