

Match Prediction
Middlesex T20B regular season me 12 points aur 3W-7L record ke saath 16th par hain. Sussex 8 points aur 2W-8L record ke saath 18th par hain. Middlesex do straight wins ke saath aa rahe hain, jabki Sussex three-match losing run par hai. Last teen head-to-head meetings 2-1 Sussex ke favour me split hain.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Last teen meetings me Sussex 2 wins to 1 se lead karta hai. Most recent meeting me Middlesex ne Sussex ko 31 runs se haraya, 213/4 post karke aur Sussex ko 181 par dismiss karke. Wo game is baat se shape hua ki Middlesex ne bigger total khada kiya aur phir chase me Sussex ko bowling se out kar diya. Overall pattern mixed hai, kyunki is three-game sample me dono teams ne away from home jeeta hai.
Middlesex
Middlesex T20B regular season me 12 points aur 3W-7L record ke saath 16th par hain. Unhone apne last teen me se do jeete hain, aur consecutive chases me six balls remaining ke saath finish kiya hai. Recent standout result Durham ke against 100-run loss hai, jahan Middlesex 118 par bowled out ho gaye the.
Sussex
Sussex T20B regular season me 8 points aur 2W-8L record ke saath 18th par hain. Unhone apne last teen haar diye hain, jisme 76 runs aur 100 runs se defeats bhi hain jahan wo 122 aur 104 par bowled out ho gaye. Sabse telling result Essex ke against 100-run home loss hai, jisme Sussex 104 par dismiss ho gaya.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models Middlesex ko favour karte hain, average lean 59% to 41% ka hai. Bookmakers alag ja rahe hain, Middlesex ko 48% (1.95) aur Sussex ko 52% (1.85) par price kar rahe hain. Key stats overall Sussex ko 5-3 se favour karte hain, lekin Middlesex ke paas stronger recent results hain, jabki Sussex three-match losing streak ke saath aa raha hai. Game ka pivot ye hai ki kya Sussex is slide ko reverse kar paata hai, despite Middlesex ke recent chase wins.
Hughes’ hundred breaks Middlesex
Daniel Hughes ripped the match away from Middlesex in the middle overs, turning early wickets into a commanding platform and carrying Sussex to an 18-run win. After Sussex slipped to 53/2 in the powerplay, Hughes and Jack Leaning shut the door on any squeeze, then kicked it down in the last five. Middlesex’s chase had its own surge, but it kept running into just enough pressure moments to fall short at 195/9.
Middle overs decide everything
The game was effectively won in Sussex’s middle phase: 109/0 through overs 7–15, built almost entirely by the Hughes-Leaning partnership of 166. That stretch didn’t just rebuild after 53/2; it reset the par score and forced Middlesex to chase a moving target. Middlesex, by contrast, went from 82/1 in the powerplay to 153/5 after the middle overs (71/4), a swing that left too much for the last five even with a decent finish.
Hughes, Leaning, Mills finish
Hughes was the difference-maker, his 108 off 52 (SR 208) combining damage with game sense as he paced the rebuild and the launch. Leaning’s 65 off 48 gave Sussex the stability to keep attacking without panic. When Middlesex threatened late, Tymal Mills’ 3/34 and Danny Briggs’ 3/35 provided the key wickets and just enough control to prevent a final-over scramble.
Pre-match form gets trumped
Middlesex arrived with the stronger recent results and even burst ahead exactly as expected, blasting 82/1 in the powerplay to put Sussex on the back foot. But the matchup that mattered most was Sussex’s ability to control the back half: their death-overs options were sharper, and the middle-overs calm from Hughes and Leaning erased the three-match losing streak in one stand. Middlesex’s chase wins had leaned on clean middle-overs batting; this time, that engine stalled.
HAHampshire
159/4
MIMiddlesex
162/5
ESEssex
142/8
MIMiddlesex
143/6
MIMiddlesex
118/10
DUDurham
218/6
GLGlamorgan
159/3
MIMiddlesex
153/7
MIMiddlesex
116/10
ESEssex
176/5
SUSurrey
134/2
MIMiddlesex
129/7
MIMiddlesex
126/7
HAHampshire
130/2
SUSussex
181/10
MIMiddlesex
213/4
MIMiddlesex
143/8
SUSurrey
144/4
MIMiddlesex
181/8
KEKent
208/6
MI2
SU8
SUSussex
181/10
MIMiddlesex
213/4
MIMiddlesex
186/7
SUSussex
202/4
SUSussex
161/1
MIMiddlesex
159/9
MIMiddlesex
177/5
SUSussex
181/8
SUSussex
147/5
MIMiddlesex
163/10
MIMiddlesex
166/7
SUSussex
103/9
SUSussex
158/7
MIMiddlesex
155/8
MIMiddlesex
165/5
SUSussex
168/7
MIMiddlesex
171/5
SUSussex
172/2
SUSussex
130/6
MIMiddlesex
127/6
SUSurrey
177/2
SUSussex
176/7
SUSussex
104/10
ESEssex
204/6
WAWarwickshire
198/3
SUSussex
122/10
SUSussex
171/10
SUSurrey
175/3
SUSussex
135/3
KEKent
133/8
SUSussex
179/10
LELeicestershire
180/6
HAHampshire
173/6
SUSussex
144/10
SUSussex
181/10
MIMiddlesex
213/4
KEKent
199/3
SUSussex
197/6
ESEssex
191/5
SUSussex
192/4
NOR
10
9-1
36
HAM
10
7-3
28
NOT
10
7-3
28
YOR
10
6-3
26
GLO
10
6-4
24
SUR
10
6-4
24
WOR
10
6-4
24
SOM
10
5-5
20
ESS
10
5-5
20
GLA
10
5-5
20
LAN
10
4-5
18
DUR
10
4-6
16
WAR
10
4-6
16
KEN
10
4-6
16
DER
10
2-6
12
MID
10
3-7
12
LEI
10
3-7
12
SUS
10
2-8
8
NOR
10
9
1
—
+1.432
36
HAM
10
7
3
—
+0.510
28
NOT
10
7
3
—
+0.188
28
YOR
10
6
3
—
+0.883
26
GLO
10
6
4
—
+0.556
24
SUR
10
6
4
—
+0.414
24
WOR
10
6
4
—
+0.038
24
SOM
10
5
5
—
+0.247
20
ESS
10
5
5
—
+0.081
20
GLA
10
5
5
—
+0.018
20
LAN
10
4
5
—
-0.543
18
DUR
10
4
6
—
+0.564
16
WAR
10
4
6
—
+0.338
16
KEN
10
4
6
—
-0.474
16
DER
10
2
6
—
+0.222
12
MID
10
3
7
—
-1.475
12
LEI
10
3
7
—
-1.543
12
SUS
10
2
8
—
-1.474
8
NORWWWLW
HAMWWLWL
NOTWWWWW
YORLLDWW
GLOWLLWL
SURLWWLW
WORLLWWW
SOMLWLWW
ESSWLLWL
GLAWWWLL
LANWWWLD
DURLWLLW
WARWWWLW
KENLLWLL
DERLDLDL
MIDLLLWW
LEIWLLLL
SUSWLLLL
