Toss & Conditions

The game is on pitch No. 5, the same strip where 228 played 229 in the RR vs SRH match. Dew played a big part in the second innings of that game, and this is also a night match.

Head-to-Head

पिछली तीन भिड़ंतों में RR 2-1 से आगे हैं। पिछले सीज़न की सबसे हालिया भिड़ंत में, RR ने LSG को 119 पर all out करके 40 runs से हराया था। मैच का टर्निंग पॉइंट यही रहा कि chase में LSG 119 पर dismissed हो गई। पिछली तीन games में नतीजे कभी कड़े मुकाबले की ओर झुके हैं, तो कभी RR की साफ जीत की तरफ।

LSLucknow Super Giants 119/10

RRRajasthan Royals 159/6

2026-04-22 · RR won by 40 runs

RRRajasthan Royals 178/5

LSLucknow Super Giants 180/5

2025-04-19 · LSG won by 2 runs

LSLucknow Super Giants 196/5

RRRajasthan Royals 199/3

2024-04-27 · RR won by 7 wickets (with 6 balls remaining)

Rajasthan Royals

IPL regular season में RR 12 points के साथ 5th स्थान पर हैं। वे तीन मैचों की losing streak पर हैं, जिसमें उनकी पिछली तीन games में Delhi Capitals के खिलाफ दो हार शामिल हैं। उनकी सबसे हालिया हार एक close finish रही, जहां वे 4 balls शेष रहते 5 wickets से हार गए।

RRRajasthan Royals 193/8

DCDelhi Capitals 197/5

2026-05-17 · DC won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

RRRajasthan Royals 152/10

GTGujarat Titans 229/4

2026-05-09 · GT won by 77 runs

RRRajasthan Royals 225/6

DCDelhi Capitals 226/3

2026-05-01 · DC won by 7 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

Lucknow Super Giants

IPL regular season में LSG 8 points के साथ 10th स्थान पर हैं। उन्होंने अपने पिछले 3 matches में से 2 जीते हैं, जिसमें CSK के खिलाफ 20 balls शेष रहते 7-wicket की जीत शामिल है। उनके पिछले तीन नतीजों में CSK के खिलाफ 4 balls शेष रहते 5 wickets से एक करीबी हार भी शामिल है।

LSLucknow Super Giants 188/3

CSChennai Super Kings 187/5

2026-05-15 · LSG won by 7 wickets (with 20 balls remaining)

LSLucknow Super Giants 203/8

CSChennai Super Kings 208/5

2026-05-10 · CSK won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

LSLucknow Super Giants 209/3

RCRoyal Challengers Bengaluru 203/6

2026-05-07 · LSG won by 9 runs (DLS method)

Playing XI

News & Facts

Key Stats

Verdict

Models में राय बंटी हुई है, लेकिन औसतन 54% के साथ झुकाव RR की ओर है; चार में से तीन models RR के पक्ष में हैं, जबकि Math model LSG को तरजीह देता है। Bookmakers भी RR की ओर झुकाव के अनुरूप हैं, जहां RR की कीमत 60% (1.60) बनाम LSG 40% (2.35) है। Key stats में RR 6-2 से आगे हैं, जिसका आधार points, NRR, Elo, और पिछले तीन head-to-head में 2-1 की बढ़त है। डेटा में जिन swing factors को चिन्हित किया गया है, वे हैं: RR की पिछली तीन matches में 0% win rate बनाम LSG का 3 में से 2 जीत का रन, साथ ही lineup-impact metric का LSG के पक्ष में होना।

Suryavanshi blows the chase open

Vaibhav Suryavanshi’s clean, fearless hitting changed the mood of a daunting chase before it could settle into anxiety. After Lucknow Super Giants piled on 220/5, Rajasthan Royals kept pace from ball one and never let the required rate balloon, eventually winning by 7 wickets with five balls remaining. Even when LSG briefly sniffed an opening at the death, the damage had already been done by the time the chase entered its final two overs.

Middle overs decide everything

The decisive swing came in the middle phase, where Rajasthan’s chase accelerated rather than stabilised. RR went from 71/0 in the powerplay to 196/2 through the middle overs, scoring 125/2 at 12.5 an over and effectively cancelling out LSG’s flying start. LSG, by contrast, slowed sharply after their 83/0 powerplay, managing 99/2 in the middle at 9.7 an over; that drop-off meant Marsh’s platform didn’t become the 235-plus total it threatened to be.

Marsh shines, RR finish stronger

Mitchell Marsh’s 97 off 57 and Josh Inglis’ 60 off 29 powered LSG’s best stretch, especially in the first six overs. But Suryavanshi’s 93 off 38 was the innings that defined the night, turning a big target into a manageable equation. Dhruv Jurel’s role in the 105-run stand was the glue that kept the chase organised, while Yash Raj Punja’s 2/35 helped ensure LSG’s late-innings surge never fully arrived.

Form doubts, batting depth answers

Pre-match numbers leaned Rajasthan despite poor recent form, and this game showed why: their batting had the gears to absorb an opponent’s best phase. LSG’s lineup edge and early-overs punch did appear, but the matchup flipped once the ball softened and Rajasthan could target the change bowlers. The chase also exposed how quickly a powerplay advantage can fade if the middle overs don’t keep the same intent.