Toss & Conditions

Seddon Park has produced an average first-innings total of 237.5 across 146 men’s T20s, well above the 190.1 baseline across all men’s T20s on record. Chasing sides have won 45% of the time here, which points to no meaningful toss advantage either way. In similar humidity bands to the forecast (71.75%), first-innings totals at this venue have averaged 204.3, and under comparable light cloud cover (34.0%) they’ve averaged 207.3. With NZ choosing to bowl, the early target-setting job falls to India in conditions where big first-innings numbers have been common at this ground.

Head-to-Head

Across the last three head-to-head meetings, India have won two and New Zealand have won one. Most recently, New Zealand batted first and won by 87 runs, turning it into a one-sided finish. Earlier, India chased down a target for a six-wicket win with 40 balls still unused. Earlier again, India got home by four wickets with only one ball remaining, a finish that went right to the end. The pattern in these games is momentum swings rather than a one-way matchup, with both sides having found ways to win while chasing and while defending.

NZNew Zealand 259/7

INIndia 172/9

2026-10-30 · NZ won by 87 runs

NZNew Zealand 198/3

INIndia 199/4

2026-10-27 · IND won by 6 wickets (with 40 balls remaining)

NZNew Zealand 180/5

INIndia 181/6

2026-10-24 · IND won by 4 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

New Zealand

New Zealand are placed with a 3W-6L record and a net run rate of +0.086. Their latest outing brought a win by 87 runs, a result built from batting first and leaving the chase out of reach. The two matches before that both went against them, including a defeat where India chased with 40 balls to spare. That sequence has made NZ’s recent form feel volatile: capable of a dominant day, but with little margin when the game slips early.

NZNew Zealand 259/7

INIndia 172/9

2026-10-30 · NZ won by 87 runs

NZNew Zealand 198/3

INIndia 199/4

2026-10-27 · IND won by 6 wickets (with 40 balls remaining)

NZNew Zealand 180/5

INIndia 181/6

2026-10-24 · IND won by 4 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

India

India arrive off a heavy 87-run defeat, after being asked to chase and falling well short. Before that, they had put together back-to-back wins in chases, one of them sealed with 40 balls remaining and the other taken down to the final ball. Their overall tournament record stands at 7W-2L with a +0.258 net run rate, so the broader body of work still reads strongly despite the latest stumble. With two changes to the XI, the immediate question is whether the refreshed bowling group can help them regain control of the contest.

INIndia 172/9

NZNew Zealand 259/7

2026-10-30 · NZ won by 87 runs

INIndia 199/4

NZNew Zealand 198/3

2026-10-27 · IND won by 6 wickets (with 40 balls remaining)

INIndia 181/6

NZNew Zealand 180/5

2026-10-24 · IND won by 4 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

Playing XI

NZ IND

New Zealand have named Finn Allen, Glenn Phillips, Tim Seifert, Michael Bracewell, Bevon Jacobs, Nathan Smith, Blair Tickner, Daryl Mitchell, Mitchell Santner, Jacob Duffy and Adam Milne. The one change from their previous match is Tickner coming in for Matthew Fisher, leaving the rest of the XI intact. By the impact ratings used on this page, Allen, Phillips and Seifert are the leading figures in the side, with Phillips carrying the standout last-five impact number at 67.7.

Playing XI

CareeriCareer impact per match: runs + wickets + strike-rate, across the player's whole record. Higher is better.FormiThe same impact score over the player's last 5 matches — current form rather than career. Higher is better.

Finn Allen

Batsman

31.329.2

Glenn Phillips

Wicketkeeper

31.367.7

Tim SeifertWK

Wicketkeeper

29.98.5

Michael Bracewell

Allrounder

29.738.8

Bevon Jacobs

Batsman

28.232.2

Nathan Smith

Allrounder

27.716.2

Blair Tickner

Bowler

2736

Daryl Mitchell

Allrounder

26.838.8

Mitchell SantnerC

Allrounder

2629.2

Jacob Duffy

Bowler

23.133

Adam Milne

Bowler

22.819

India’s XI features Abhishek Sharma, Ishan Kishan, Sanju Samson, Nitish Kumar Reddy, Tilak Varma, Shreyas Iyer, Prince Yadav, Naman Dhir, Arshdeep Singh, Varun Chakaravarthy and Bhuvneshwar Kumar. Two players are brought in from the previous match: Bhuvneshwar and Varun, with Axar Patel and Mayank Yadav the ones to miss out. Abhishek Sharma, Kishan and Samson are the top three by impact for this lineup.

Playing XI

CareeriCareer impact per match: runs + wickets + strike-rate, across the player's whole record. Higher is better.FormiThe same impact score over the player's last 5 matches — current form rather than career. Higher is better.

Abhishek Sharma

Allrounder

38.254.8

Ishan KishanWK

Wicketkeeper

34.818.6

Sanju Samson

Wicketkeeper

32.228.3

Nitish Kumar Reddy

Allrounder

31.930.4

Tilak Varma

Batsman

31.522.2

Shreyas IyerC

Batsman

30.821.7

Prince Yadav

Bowler

25.421.7

Naman Dhir

Allrounder

25.131.8

Arshdeep Singh

Bowler

25.120.2

Varun Chakaravarthy

Bowler

24.620

Bhuvneshwar Kumar

Bowler

23.724

Key Stats

Prediction