Match Prediction
Mis Ainak Knights are 4th in the SCL regular season with 5 points and a 2W-2L record. Speen Ghar Tigers are 2nd with 7 points and a 3W-1L record. MAK arrive after a 3-wicket win with 4 balls remaining, while ST come in off an 8-wicket loss with 16 balls remaining. The table gap is two points going into this meeting.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Across the last three head-to-head meetings, Speen Ghar Tigers lead 2 wins to 1. In the most recent meeting, ST beat MAK by 50 runs after posting 191/6 and holding MAK to 141/9. The game was defined by MAK being restricted to 141/9 in reply. The wider pattern still leans ST, but MAK have shown they can win tight finishes, taking one of the last three by 4 wickets with 1 ball remaining.
Mis Ainak Knights
MAK are 4th in the SCL regular season on 5 points with a 2W-2L record. Their last three games include two defeats followed by a 3-wicket win with 4 balls remaining, so results have swung between close margins. The most telling result is that latest chase win, where they got home with only 4 balls left.
Speen Ghar Tigers
ST are 2nd in the SCL regular season on 7 points with a 3W-1L record. Their last three matches show two big wins, then a setback where they lost by 8 wickets with 16 balls remaining. The clearest signal is that heavy loss, where Amo Sharks chased down the target with 16 balls to spare.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Speen Ghar Tigers, with the model average at ST 59% (range 52–65%). Bookmakers also side with ST, pricing ST at 55% (1.70) vs MAK at 45% (2.00). Key stats heavily favour ST 7-1 overall, driven by edges in points, recent winrate, head-to-head, and multiple bowling economy phases. The match likely turns on whether ST’s stronger recent results and overall metrics hold up against MAK’s ability to win tight chases.
Ismat Alam slams the brakes
Ismat Alam’s spell was the match’s hard stop: just as Mis Ainak Knights began to believe in a heist, he kept taking wickets and draining time from the chase. Speen Ghar Tigers’ 182/9 always looked a touch above par, but it still needed defending when Mohammad Nabi surged into the final quarter. Alam’s strikes in the closing overs ensured the Knights were bowled out for 165 in 19.4, sealing a 17-run Tigers win.
Powerplay burst builds cushion
The game was effectively won in the first six overs of Speen Ghar’s innings. They flew to 69/1 in the powerplay (RR 11.5), forcing Mis Ainak to chase the rate from ball one and exposing their top order. By contrast, the Knights stumbled to 41/4 in their own powerplay, a 28-run deficit that proved decisive even after a mid-innings recovery. That early gap meant Nabi had to attack throughout, and once wickets fell at the death, the equation quickly ran away.
Nabi fights, Alam finishes
Nabi’s 90 off 52 was a one-man chase, highlighted by a 67-run stand with Emal Shaheen that dragged Mis Ainak back from 41/4. But Speen Ghar had match-winning contributions at both ends: Mohammad Akram Zazai’s 46 off 26 gave the innings lift, Rashid Khan’s 37 off 23 kept it moving through the middle, and Alam’s 4/25 (3.4 overs) repeatedly broke the chase’s rhythm when it mattered most.
Form edges show up early
Pre-match, Speen Ghar’s recent results and stronger new-ball numbers suggested they could control the tone of the game, and that’s exactly how it played out. Their bowlers’ ability to keep runs in check up front contrasted sharply with Mis Ainak’s early batting wobble, which left too much to do. Even when Nabi’s counterpunch briefly flipped the pressure, Speen Ghar had enough runs in the bank from that powerplay surge to absorb the late wobble.
BOBoost Defenders
178/7
MAMis Ainak Knights
181/7
BOBoost Defenders
191/3
MAMis Ainak Knights
173/10
ASAmo Sharks
191/6
MAMis Ainak Knights
190/5
BDBand-e-Amir Dragons
114/10
MAMis Ainak Knights
116/2
ASAmo Sharks
124/2
MAMis Ainak Knights
121/10
BDBand-e-Amir Dragons
192/10
MAMis Ainak Knights
264/2
MAMis Ainak Knights
141/9
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
191/6
MAMis Ainak Knights
154/9
BOBoost Defenders
155/4
ASAmo Sharks
165/7
MAMis Ainak Knights
166/3
ASAmo Sharks
162/10
MAMis Ainak Knights
168/5
MA3
ST3
MAMis Ainak Knights
141/9
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
191/6
MAMis Ainak Knights
152/6
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
151/8
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
130/5
MAMis Ainak Knights
125/9
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
105/10
MAMis Ainak Knights
108/3
MAMis Ainak Knights
139/6
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
142/2
MAMis Ainak Knights
221/4
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
163/10
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
167/7
ASAmo Sharks
168/2
ASAmo Sharks
201/10
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
227/7
BOBoost Defenders
160/8
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
219/6
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
180/7
BDBand-e-Amir Dragons
158/10
BOBoost Defenders
206/10
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
198/9
MAMis Ainak Knights
141/9
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
191/6
ASAmo Sharks
174/4
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
173/6
BDBand-e-Amir Dragons
177/7
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
178/6
ASAmo Sharks
124/7
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
121/10
BDBand-e-Amir Dragons
192/5
STSpeen Ghar Tigers
180/9