T20I ·2nd T20I
Finished
New Zealand
175/6
(20 ov)
South Africa
107/10
(15.3 ov)
New Zealand won by 68 runs
1
··1··wd1
3 runs
2
·lb···lb
0 runs
3
·6·2·4
12 runs
4
··6·1·
7 runs
5
·2wd21W··
5 runs
6
···W11
2 runs
7
W11·41
7 runs
8
111·46
13 runs
9
111·1·
4 runs
10
·4W114
10 runs
11
11·W11
4 runs
12
·164·6
17 runs
13
2··wdW2W
5 runs
14
1WW···
1 runs
15
6·1···
7 runs
16
44W
8 runs
Batting
RB4s6sSR
W. Mulder
16 20 1 1 80
C. Esterhuizen
8 12 0 1 66.7
Bowling
OMRWEcon
L. Ferguson
3.3 16 16 3 4.6
B. Sears
3 9 14 3 4.7
MATCH STATS NZ SA
PP 43/0 (7.2) 31/2 (5.2)
Middle 83/5 (8.3) 76/8 (8)
Death 49/1 (12.2)
4s 15 8
6s 7 6
Dots 33% 40%
Extras 10 6
Best P'ship 48(1) 29(1)
Runs
NZSA
408012016020005101520
🗓
Date and time 17/03/2026 · 06:15
🏆
Competition Twenty20 International · 2nd T20I
🪙
Toss South Africa won the toss, elected to bowling

Match Prediction

New Zealand face South Africa in a key fixture. NZ hold a 5W-5L record with NRR +0.546, while SA lead the table with 8W-2L and NRR +1.050. The last meeting on 15 March 2026 ended in SA’s 93/3 chase after bowling NZ out for 91. Model probability: NZ 42%, SA 58%.

Toss & Conditions

🪙 South Africa won toss, elected bowling
🏟 Seddon Park, Hamilton
🌡 17°C💧 76%☁️ 39%💨 8 km/h

Head-to-Head

In the last three head-to-head matches, SA won twice and NZ once, including SA’s 93/3 chase against NZ’s 91/10 on 15 March 2026.

New Zealand

NRR +0.546L

NZ have a 5W-5L record with NRR +0.546. They lost their last match to SA after being bowled out for 91.

South Africa

NRR +1.050W

SA have an 8W-2L record with NRR +1.050. They won their last match against NZ by 7 wickets.

Playing XI

NZ
Mitchell SantnerC
Tom LathamWK
Devon Conway
Tim Robinson
Nick Kelly
James Neesham
Cole McConchie
Josh Clarkson
Kyle Jamieson
Ben Sears
Lockie Ferguson
SA
Keshav MaharajC
Connor EsterhuizenWK
Tony de Zorzi
Rubin Hermann
Jason Smith
Dian Forrester
Wiaan Mulder
George Linde
Gerald Coetzee
Nqobani Mokoena
Ottneil Baartman

News & Facts

  • NZ record this season: 5 wins, 5 losses, NRR +0.546.
  • SA record this season: 8 wins, 2 losses, NRR +1.050.
  • SA won 2 of the last 3 head-to-head matches against NZ.
  • Elo difference between teams: SA +51.2 points.
  • Model probability: NZ 42%, SA 58%.

Key Stats

NZSA
NRR +0.55 +1.05
Total score 0 1

Verdict

Model gives SA 58% win probability against NZ’s 42%. Elo and NRR metrics favor SA, who also lead recent head-to-heads. NZ’s strike rate advantage is noted but outweighed by SA’s stronger overall indicators.

NZSA
56% ML 44%
38% AI 1 62%
35% AI 2 65%
40% Math 60%
60% Books 40%
Playing XI
Mitchell Santner
Mitchell SantnerC Allrounder
Tom Latham
Tom LathamWK Wicketkeeper
Nick Kelly
Nick Kelly Top Order Batter
James Neesham
James Neesham Batting Allrounder
Josh Clarkson
Josh Clarkson Batting Allrounder
Tim Robinson
Tim Robinson Batsman
Cole McConchie
Cole McConchie Allrounder
Kyle Jamieson
Kyle Jamieson Bowler
Ben Sears
Ben Sears Bowler
Lockie Ferguson
Lockie Ferguson Bowler
Devon Conway
Devon Conway Wicketkeeper
Playing XI
Keshav Maharaj
Keshav MaharajC Bowler
Connor Esterhuizen
Connor EsterhuizenWK Wicketkeeper
Tony de Zorzi
Tony de Zorzi Batsman
Jason Smith
Jason Smith Batsman
Dian Forrester
Dian Forrester Batsman
Nqobani Mokoena
Nqobani Mokoena Batsman
Wiaan Mulder
Wiaan Mulder Allrounder
George Linde
George Linde Allrounder
Gerald Coetzee
Gerald Coetzee Allrounder
Ottneil Baartman
Ottneil Baartman Bowler
Rubin Hermann
Rubin Hermann Wicketkeeper