

Match Prediction
Yorkshire start this game 7th in the T20BW regular season with 0 points and a 0W-1L record. Surrey are 2nd with 4 points at 1W-0L and are currently in the playoff zone. Yorkshire’s last outing was a tight defeat to The Blaze, while Surrey opened their campaign with a successful chase against Lancashire. The early table pressure is already on Yorkshire to avoid falling further behind.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
There have been no previous meetings between Yorkshire W and Surrey W.
Yorkshire W
Yorkshire are 7th in the T20BW regular season with 0 points and a 0W-1L record. Their season opened with a narrow defeat to The Blaze, with the chase ending just short in a finish decided in the final moments. They come into this match needing their first win to lift them off the bottom end of the early table.
Surrey W
Surrey are 2nd in the T20BW regular season with 4 points and a 1W-0L record, currently in the playoff zone. They started with a chase win over Lancashire, getting home with 7 balls remaining after conceding 185. The recent results listed also show Surrey winning their last three matches overall.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Surrey, with the average projection at SUR-W 67% (range 56–74%). Bookmakers agree, pricing YOR at 33% (2.72) vs SUR-W at 67% (1.40). Key stats are a clean sweep to Surrey, 4-0 overall. Surrey’s stronger season start and the gap in underlying strength indicators are the main drivers behind the lean to the visitors.
Moore snaps Yorkshire’s momentum
Kalea Moore’s spell was the pivot: she kept striking just as Yorkshire looked set for a big one, and Surrey rode that squeeze to a 4-wicket win with 27 balls remaining. Yorkshire’s best passage came early through a 56-run stand between Winfield-Hill and Erin Thomas, but once Surrey broke in, the innings never regained its rhythm and ended at 133 all out.
Middle overs chokehold
The game swung in Yorkshire’s middle overs, when a 60/1 powerplay (10 an over) dissolved into 52/5 at 5.2 an over. Moore and Ryana Macdonald-Gay hit hard lengths and forced miscues, turning boundary-hunting into survival. Yorkshire still had Thomas counterpunching at 42 off 29, but the regular wickets meant their death overs produced only 21 runs while losing four more, leaving Surrey a chase that never demanded risk.
Monaghan and ADR finish it
Moore’s 3/21 set the platform, and Macdonald-Gay’s 3/29 ensured Yorkshire never got a late surge. In the chase, Alice Monaghan’s 29 off 21 and Alice Davidson-Richards’ 29 off 16 supplied the thrust through the middle, keeping Surrey comfortably ahead even as Jess Jonassen’s 3/25 threatened to tighten the screws. Surrey’s best 45-run stand steadied the pursuit, and they closed it out with time to spare.
Surrey’s strengths show up
Pre-match form pointed to Surrey’s sharper start to the season and their ability to control phases away from home, and that’s exactly how the contest played out. Yorkshire’s early hitting suggested an upset window, yet Surrey’s bowlers were able to drag the tempo down once the ball stopped coming on. With 134 needed, Surrey’s top order kept the chase ahead of the rate, so even a brief wobble didn’t turn into real panic.
SUSurrey W
191/4
LALancashire W
185/7
SUSurrey W
154/5
WAWarwickshire W
153/9
SUSurrey W
204/5
WAWarwickshire W
179/9
SUSurrey W
175/6
SOSomerset W
107/10
TBThe Blaze W
122/5
SUSurrey W
132/9
WAWarwickshire W
139/10
SUSurrey W
140/6
SUSurrey W
159/5
ESEssex W
93/5
SUSurrey W
171/9
LALancashire W
118/10
HAHampshire W
155/4
SUSurrey W
156/5
ESEssex W
148/7
SUSurrey W
150/5
ESS-W
1
1-0
5
SUR-W
1
1-0
4
TB-W
1
1-0
4
SOM-W
1
0-0
2
HAM-W
1
0-0
2
DUR-W
0
0-0
0
YOR
1
0-1
0
LAN-W
1
0-1
0
WAR-W
1
0-1
0
ESS-W
1
1
0
—
+3.381
5
SUR-W
1
1
0
—
+0.892
4
TB-W
1
1
0
—
+0.332
4
SOM-W
1
0
0
—
+0.000
2
HAM-W
1
0
0
—
+0.000
2
DUR-W
0
0
0
—
+0.000
0
YOR
1
0
1
—
-0.332
0
LAN-W
1
0
1
—
-0.892
0
WAR-W
1
0
1
—
-3.381
0
ESS-WW
SUR-WW
TB-WW
SOM-WD
HAM-WD
DUR-W
YORL
LAN-WL
WAR-WL
