

Match Prediction
Yorkshire sit 5th in the T20B Regular Season with 4 points and a +1.892 NRR after a 1W-0L start. Derbyshire are 11th with 0 points and a -0.300 NRR from 0W-1L. Yorkshire’s latest result was a 7-wicket chase against Nottinghamshire with 21 balls remaining. Derbyshire’s latest game was a 6-run loss to Durham after scoring 197/8.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Derbyshire have won all of the last three meetings against Yorkshire. In the most recent clash, Derbyshire chased down Yorkshire’s total with 20 balls remaining and only two wickets lost, turning it into a one-sided finish. Yorkshire’s innings ended at 151/9, leaving Derbyshire a manageable chase that they controlled throughout. The pattern across these three games is clear: Derbyshire have repeatedly found a way past Yorkshire.
Yorkshire
Yorkshire are 5th in the T20B Regular Season with 4 points and a +1.892 NRR. Their latest outing set the tone: they overhauled Nottinghamshire’s 167/7 with a 7-wicket win and 21 balls to spare. The recent record also includes a tight 2-wicket win over Leicestershire that went to the last ball.
Derbyshire
Derbyshire are 11th in the T20B Regular Season with 0 points and a -0.300 NRR. Their latest match was a narrow 6-run defeat to Durham despite posting 197/8, showing they can put up a big total but still fall short. In their recent run, they also suffered a 127-run loss to Warwickshire after being bowled out for 106.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Yorkshire, with the average projection at 60% for YOR. Bookmakers agree, pricing Yorkshire at 64% (1.46) vs Derbyshire at 36% (2.57). Key stats lean Yorkshire 6-1 overall, driven by advantages in points, NRR, and multiple economy phases. The counterweight is the head-to-head trend: Derbyshire are 3-0 in the last three meetings, so Yorkshire need their current-season edge to finally override that matchup history.
Hasan Ali and Tye finish it off
Yorkshire’s chase looked to be slipping away until Hasan Ali and Andrew Tye turned the last act into a heist, stitching a decisive 54-run stand that dragged them over the line with four balls to spare. With wickets down and the asking rate climbing, they kept finding the fence and the gaps, refusing to let Derbyshire’s earlier strikes define the finish. Yorkshire ended on 195/8 in 19.2 overs, surviving a night where Derbyshire had repeatedly forced the game into tight corners.
Death overs decide everything
The match swung hardest at the back end: Yorkshire blasted 48 without loss in the final 3.2 overs, a surge that erased the pressure created by a stuttering start and a wicket-heavy middle. Derbyshire had done plenty right earlier — Yorkshire were 52/3 in the powerplay and still losing wickets through the middle — but their grip loosened when the ball got older. That late acceleration outstripped Derbyshire’s own strong finish (55/0 at the death) and ultimately separated two totals that were almost identical.
Morley stars, Moeen anchors
Morley was the standout in defeat, taking 4/42 to repeatedly knock Yorkshire off course and keep the chase in the balance into the final overs. Moeen Ali’s 51 off 35 provided the one stable platform Yorkshire needed amid the powerplay damage, ensuring the target never felt out of reach. For Derbyshire, Andersson’s 81 off 56 set the innings up, and Whiteley’s 40 off 17 gave it late punch — but the last word belonged to Yorkshire’s lower order.
Pre-match edge, familiar danger
Yorkshire came in favoured on season form and bowling matchups, yet the game still followed the old Derbyshire script for long stretches: Morley’s four-wicket burst and tight spells had Yorkshire wobbling again in a chase. The difference this time was Yorkshire’s ability to out-hit Derbyshire at the death, the phase where Derbyshire’s attack has leaked heavily in recent matchups. Even after losing early wickets, Yorkshire backed their depth and found a finishing gear Derbyshire couldn’t match.
NONottinghamshire
167/7
YOYorkshire
169/3
LELeicestershire
185/10
YOYorkshire
188/8
YOYorkshire
153/10
LALancashire
174/10
YOYorkshire
151/9
DEDerbyshire
157/2
LALancashire
217/7
YOYorkshire
236/6
DEDerbyshire
201/3
YOYorkshire
200/6
YOYorkshire
233/6
WOWorcestershire
192/10
DUDurham
193/4
YOYorkshire
130/10
YOYorkshire
128/10
DUDurham
131/4
YOYorkshire
173/5
WAWarwickshire
205/8
YO4
DE6
YOYorkshire
151/9
DEDerbyshire
157/2
DEDerbyshire
201/3
YOYorkshire
200/6
DEDerbyshire
131/3
YOYorkshire
130/9
YOYorkshire
182/1
DEDerbyshire
179/6
DEDerbyshire
212/4
YOYorkshire
68/10
YOYorkshire
170/3
DEDerbyshire
166/8
DEDerbyshire
105/4
YOYorkshire
175/10
YOYorkshire
83/3
DEDerbyshire
87/1
YOYorkshire
174/6
DEDerbyshire
135/10
DEDerbyshire
167/6
YOYorkshire
171/4
DEDerbyshire
197/8
DUDurham
203/8
DEDerbyshire
106/10
WAWarwickshire
233/5
YOYorkshire
151/9
DEDerbyshire
157/2
NONorthamptonshire
237/4
DEDerbyshire
224/6
DEDerbyshire
162/6
WOWorcestershire
174/6
DEDerbyshire
201/3
YOYorkshire
200/6
LALancashire
178/6
DEDerbyshire
136/6
DEDerbyshire
163/10
LALancashire
243/7
DEDerbyshire
197/3
LELeicestershire
196/5
NONottinghamshire
153/9
DEDerbyshire
199/5
SUR
1
1-0
4
SUS
1
1-0
4
GLO
1
1-0
4
SOM
1
1-0
4
YOR
1
1-0
4
KEN
1
1-0
4
WOR
1
1-0
4
DUR
1
1-0
4
NOR
1
1-0
4
GLA
1
0-1
0
DER
1
0-1
0
LEI
1
0-1
0
MID
1
0-1
0
NOT
1
0-1
0
HAM
1
0-1
0
WAR
1
0-1
0
ESS
1
0-1
0
LAN
1
0-1
0
SUR
1
1
0
—
+2.950
4
SUS
1
1
0
—
+2.450
4
GLO
1
1
0
—
+2.350
4
SOM
1
1
0
—
+1.896
4
YOR
1
1
0
—
+1.892
4
KEN
1
1
0
—
+1.350
4
WOR
1
1
0
—
+0.900
4
DUR
1
1
0
—
+0.300
4
NOR
1
1
0
—
+0.150
4
GLA
1
0
1
—
-0.150
0
DER
1
0
1
—
-0.300
0
LEI
1
0
1
—
-0.900
0
MID
1
0
1
—
-1.350
0
NOT
1
0
1
—
-1.892
0
HAM
1
0
1
—
-1.896
0
WAR
1
0
1
—
-2.350
0
ESS
1
0
1
—
-2.450
0
LAN
1
0
1
—
-2.950
0
SURW
SUSW
GLOW
SOMW
YORW
KENW
WORW
DURW
NORW
GLAL
DERL
LEIL
MIDL
NOTL
HAML
WARL
ESSL
LANL
