Sophie DevineS. Devine
Beth MooneyB. Mooney
Georgia WarehamG. Wareham
Tayla VlaeminckT. VlaeminckPerth Scorchers W and Melbourne Renegades W meet at the W.A.C.A. Ground in East Perth, Perth, Western Australia. MR-W come into this game in the WBBL regular season with 0 points from their opening match, sitting eighth with a net run rate of -1.335. PS-W begin their season here, with this listed as their first match of the tournament. The toss has gone Perth Scorchers W’s way, and they have chosen to bowl.
Toss & Conditions
At the W.A.C.A. Ground, the average first-innings total across all women’s T20 matches on record is 147.9, above the overall women’s T20 baseline of 139.7. Chasing sides have won 43% of those matches, which points to a genuine edge for teams setting a target at this venue. The start-time forecast is 19.23°C with 66.75% humidity, 25.25% cloud cover, wind at 14.32 km/h, and 0.23 mm precipitation. In women’s T20s played in similar humidity (61–80%), first-innings totals have averaged 136.8, and in light cloud (21–50%) they have averaged 138.5, so teams may treat something around the high-130s to mid-140s as a workable reference point depending on how the game unfolds. Perth Scorchers W won the toss and elected to bowl, despite the venue record showing batting first has been the safer path more often than not.
Head-to-Head
The recent head-to-head has belonged to Perth Scorchers W, who have won each of the last three meetings with Melbourne Renegades W. The latest clash, in early December 2025, was decided by 30 runs, with the Scorchers defending their total successfully. A few days earlier in late November 2025, Perth Scorchers W won again, this time by four wickets with eight balls remaining, completing the chase. Earlier still, in November 2024, the Scorchers edged it by just two runs in a tight finish. Across these games, the margins have swung from a last-over squeeze to more comfortable control, but the winner has stayed the same.
Perth Scorchers W
Perth Scorchers W are #0 on 0 points, with this marked as their first match of the season. In their most recent matches outside this tournament, they beat Sydney Sixers W by 11 runs and Melbourne Stars W by 28 runs, showing they have recently been able to defend totals with room to spare. Their latest outing ended in an eight-wicket loss to Hobart Hurricanes W with 30 balls remaining, a result that underlined how quickly a game can get away when the opposition chase is in control. This match is their first chance to turn that recent sequence into momentum inside the new campaign.
Melbourne Renegades W
MR-W opened their campaign with a six-wicket defeat to Sydney Thunder W, with 18 balls remaining after they batted first. That leaves the Renegades eighth in the WBBL regular season on 0 points, with a 0W-1L record and a net run rate of -1.335. Their last three results across competitions include a six-wicket win over Sydney Sixers W with 22 balls remaining, showing they have recently finished a chase efficiently when the target has been manageable. The immediate task is to convert that kind of control into points in this tournament after the opening loss.
Playing XI
Perth Scorchers W have named Beth Mooney as wicketkeeper in a XI that also includes Sophie Devine and Fatima Sana as the leading all-round options. Alana King and Lilly Mills are the specialist bowlers in the side, with Freya Kemp also included as a bowler. There is no previous XI on record here to compare changes against.
Hayley Matthews headlines MR-W’s XI alongside fellow allrounders Deandra Dottin, Chloe Tryon and Annie Wikman, giving them multiple multi-skill options. Sophie Molineux and Georgia Wareham are the specialist bowlers listed, with Nicole Faltum named as wicketkeeper. The Renegades are unchanged from their previous match, with no ins or outs.
Key Stats
Prediction
Current prediction, after the playing XI and toss
All four models lean the same way, with the model average making PS-W a 60% favourite (the individual calls range from 55% to 65%). The bookmaker also has PS-W in front at 62% (odds 1.50) versus MR-W at 38% (odds 2.43). That creates a 1.5 percentage-point gap in favour of MR-W (model average 60% vs market 62% for PS-W). The Key Stats card reads PS-W 4 - 2 MR-W, with the raw comparison highlighting PS-W’s edge on NRR, Elo and recent form, while MR-W shade the key-players metric. If the game turns on recent momentum versus individual match-winners, the numbers say the Scorchers’ broader profile has the advantage, but the market is slightly more confident than the models.
Superseded: preliminary prediction, before the XI and toss
Preliminary prediction — calculated before the playing XI and toss were known. It is recalculated 5–30 minutes before the start, once the lineups and toss are confirmed.
All four models land on Perth Scorchers W as the favourite, with the model average at 60% and the individual calls ranging from 57% to 65%. Bookmakers also shade it the same way: PS-W are priced at 54% (1.75) versus MR-W at 46% (2.05). That creates a 6.5 percentage-point model-vs-market edge in favour of PS-W (60% model average vs 54% market). The Key Stats card reads PS-W 4 - 2 MR-W, and the story in the numbers is driven by PS-W’s advantages in Elo and recent form, even with MR-W holding the edge in the listed key-players metric.
Mooney and Devine shut it down
Beth Mooney’s calm, high-tempo chase took the air out of the contest, and Sophie Devine made sure it never returned. After Perth Scorchers W kept Melbourne Renegades W to 136/6, Mooney and Devine stitched a decisive 124-run partnership to cruise to 138/1 in 13.3 overs, winning by 9 wickets with 39 balls to spare. Renegades had a late surge on the board; Perth never let it become a chase.
Renegades’ powerplay collapse
The match swung hard in the first six overs of the Renegades innings. They slipped to 23/4 in the powerplay, forcing a rebuild that shaped everything that followed. Georgia Wareham and Nicole Faltum did well to stabilise with a 109-run stand, but the early damage meant their acceleration came from a position of recovery rather than control. Even with 42 coming in the death overs, 136 left little margin once Perth’s top order got set.
Wareham’s fight, Perth’s finishers
Wareham was the standout for the Renegades, striking 63 from 39 to flip the innings from survival to competitiveness, while Faltum’s 48 from 49 gave the partnership its base. For Perth, the impact was more clinical: Mooney’s 60 off 40 kept the chase on schedule, Devine provided the decisive support, and Chloe Ainsworth’s 2/22 alongside Fatima Sana’s 2/27 ensured the early wickets that made 136 feel chaseable from the outset.
Form edge becomes scoreboard edge
Pre-game numbers leaned Perth’s way on recent form and head-to-head trends, and the on-field pattern matched that script: one side started cleanly, the other spent half an innings repairing. The Renegades’ key-player upside did show through in Wareham’s counterpunch, but Perth’s steadier profile won the bigger moments — particularly the opening phase with the ball, then the chase’s middle overs where they went from 53/1 in the powerplay to adding 85 without loss.
Form — last 10 matches
7W3L70%
HHHobart Hurricanes W
141/2
PSPerth Scorchers W
137/5
SSSydney Sixers W
172/6
PSPerth Scorchers W
183/8
MSMelbourne Stars W
145/9
PSPerth Scorchers W
173/5
PSPerth Scorchers W
165/3
BHBrisbane Heat W
164/7
PSPerth Scorchers W
184/5
MRMelbourne Renegades W
154/9
HHHobart Hurricanes W
189/3
PSPerth Scorchers W
186/5
MRMelbourne Renegades W
150/10
PSPerth Scorchers W
151/6
PSPerth Scorchers W
159/4
ASAdelaide Strikers W
158/10
STSydney Thunder W
154/1
PSPerth Scorchers W
150/7
ASAdelaide Strikers W
112/10
PSPerth Scorchers W
55/2
Head-to-head — last 10
PS8–2MRPSPerth Scorchers W
184/5
MRMelbourne Renegades W
154/9
MRMelbourne Renegades W
150/10
PSPerth Scorchers W
151/6
PSPerth Scorchers W
108/10
MRMelbourne Renegades W
106/8
MRMelbourne Renegades W
145/4
PSPerth Scorchers W
140/10
MRMelbourne Renegades W
133/5
PSPerth Scorchers W
134/0
PSPerth Scorchers W
172/4
MRMelbourne Renegades W
171/6
MRMelbourne Renegades W
58/4
PSPerth Scorchers W
46/2
MRMelbourne Renegades W
88/10
PSPerth Scorchers W
192/4
MRMelbourne Renegades W
154/6
PSPerth Scorchers W
194/2
PSPerth Scorchers W
123/1
MRMelbourne Renegades W
122/3
Form — last 10 matches
4W6L40%MRMelbourne Renegades W
138/9
STSydney Thunder W
140/4
MRMelbourne Renegades W
134/4
SSSydney Sixers W
130/9
PSPerth Scorchers W
184/5
MRMelbourne Renegades W
154/9
MRMelbourne Renegades W
115/10
MSMelbourne Stars W
160/5
MRMelbourne Renegades W
150/10
PSPerth Scorchers W
151/6
STSydney Thunder W
64/10
MRMelbourne Renegades W
68/2
HHHobart Hurricanes W
106/4
MRMelbourne Renegades W
155/10
MRMelbourne Renegades W
145/6
MSMelbourne Stars W
141/7
ASAdelaide Strikers W
143/3
MRMelbourne Renegades W
141/9
MRMelbourne Renegades W
151/6
STSydney Thunder W
148/7