Toss & Conditions

At Junction Oval, Melbourne, the average first-innings total across all women’s T20 matches at the venue is 146.5. Chasing has been the more successful route there, with teams batting second winning 60% of the time. The forecast at the start points to 16.3°C with very high humidity (95.5%), 77.75% cloud cover, and 1.3 mm of precipitation expected, and in women’s T20 matches where rain is in the forecast the average first-innings total has been 121.6 with the chasing side winning 62%. That total is 18.1 runs lower than the overall women’s T20 baseline of 139.7, but those rain-forecast games are also shortened more often (29% under 19 overs versus 12% otherwise), so the run rate of 7.18 is the cleaner guide than the raw total when planning an innings.

Head-to-Head

Across the last three head-to-head meetings, PS-W have won two while MS-W have one victory. The most recent meeting, in December 2025, went the Scorchers’ way by 28 runs, with Perth setting the target and defending it successfully. Earlier in November 2025, the Stars won by 16 runs via the D/L method in Perth. Go back further to October 2024 and Perth again edged it, this time by 13 runs. Even with Melbourne’s one breakthrough, the broader recent pattern has leaned towards the Scorchers finding ways to finish on top.

MSMelbourne Stars W 145/9

PSPerth Scorchers W 173/5

2025-12-09 · PS-W won by 28 runs

PSPerth Scorchers W 78/8

MSMelbourne Stars W 173/4

2025-11-14 · MS-W won by 16 runs (D/L method)

PSPerth Scorchers W 122/8

MSMelbourne Stars W 109/10

2024-10-27 · PS-W won by 13 runs

Melbourne Stars W

Melbourne Stars W are #5 on 2 points in the WBBL regular season, with a 1W-1L record and a net run rate of -0.075. Their latest outing ended in a 21-run loss to Adelaide Strikers W, a result that left them chasing the game rather than controlling it. Two days earlier, they beat Hobart Hurricanes W by 18 runs, showing they can set a total and defend it when their innings clicks. With that split start, the Stars arrive still searching for a clean run of performances rather than trading blows match to match.

MSMelbourne Stars W 164/7

ASAdelaide Strikers W 185/2

2026-10-31 · AS-W won by 21 runs

MSMelbourne Stars W 192/4

HHHobart Hurricanes W 174/8

2026-10-29 · MS-W won by 18 runs

MSMelbourne Stars W 145/9

PSPerth Scorchers W 173/5

2025-12-09 · PS-W won by 28 runs

Perth Scorchers W

Perth Scorchers W come in off a dominant 9-wicket win over Melbourne Renegades W, completed with 39 balls remaining after they chased. That result has them sitting first on the table with 2 points, a 1W-0L record, and a net run rate of +3.422. They’re also marked with Play Offs status at this stage, and the early numbers underline how quickly they’ve put daylight between themselves and the pack. The immediate task is to carry that same control into a new venue where chasing has historically been rewarded.

PSPerth Scorchers W 138/1

MRMelbourne Renegades W 136/6

2026-10-31 · PS-W won by 9 wickets (with 39 balls remaining)

PSPerth Scorchers W 137/5

HHHobart Hurricanes W 141/2

2025-12-13 · HH-W won by 8 wickets (with 30 balls remaining)

PSPerth Scorchers W 183/8

SSSydney Sixers W 172/6

2025-12-11 · PS-W won by 11 runs

Expected Lineups

MS-W PS-W

The Melbourne Stars W XI is still to come, but the likely shape from the squad leans heavily on Annabel Sutherland and Meg Lanning as the biggest impact players. Sophie Day also sits among the leading names by impact in the projected group, giving the Stars another major influence point beyond the top order. Amy Ellen Jones is the specialist wicketkeeper in the projected XI, with the official call still pending.

Best players

CareeriCareer impact per match: runs + wickets + strike-rate, across the player's whole record. Higher is better.FormiThe same impact score over the player's last 5 matches — current form rather than career. Higher is better.

Annabel Sutherland

Batsman

37.546.8

Meg Lanning

Allrounder

32.456.7

Sophie Day

Allrounder

26.115.4

Perth Scorchers W are also awaiting the official XI, yet the projected side is built around a high-impact core of Sophie Devine, Fatima Sana and Beth Mooney. With Mooney named as the wicketkeeper in the projection, the Scorchers’ balance looks set to revolve around that established spine. The rest of the final combination will only be confirmed once the team is announced.

Best players

CareeriCareer impact per match: runs + wickets + strike-rate, across the player's whole record. Higher is better.FormiThe same impact score over the player's last 5 matches — current form rather than career. Higher is better.

Sophie Devine

Allrounder

38.652.6

Fatima Sana

Allrounder

35.557.8

Beth Mooney

Wicketkeeper

33.939.2

Key Stats

Prediction

All four models point the same way, with the model average making PS-W the favourite at 64% (a 60%–72% range across the individual calls). Bookmakers are closer to a coin flip: MS-W 48% at 1.95 versus PS-W 52% at 1.85, which leaves a 12.5 percentage-point gap in favour of PS-W (model average 36% for MS-W versus market 48% for MS-W). The Key Stats card reads MS-W 0 - 6 PS-W, reflecting a clean edge on the headline indicators. Net run rate (+3.42 versus -0.07) and the Elo gap (1544 versus 1481) are two of the clearest separators on the raw numbers. If the Scorchers’ recent efficiency carries over, the Stars will need a sharper all-round performance to flip the script.