

Match Prediction
This is a T20BW Regular Season matchup with Yorkshire W ranked #8 on 0 points after a 0W-4L start and an NRR of -1.094. Durham W are #4 with 12 points, a 3W-1L record, and an NRR of +0.558, currently in the playoff zone. Yorkshire’s last three games have all been defeats, while Durham have won two of their last three. The gap in season momentum makes this a pressure game for Yorkshire and a consolidation chance for Durham.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
There have been no previous meetings between Yorkshire W and Durham W.
Yorkshire W
Yorkshire W are #8 with 0 points in the T20BW Regular Season, sitting outside the playoff zone with a 0W-4L record. Their last three matches have all ended in defeats, including a narrow 3-run loss to Essex W that underlined how little margin they have right now.
Durham W
Durham W are #4 with 12 points in the T20BW Regular Season, currently in the playoff zone with a 3W-1L record. They have won two of their last three, highlighted by a 7-wicket chase against The Blaze W that they finished with 5 balls remaining.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Durham W, with the model average at DUR-W 69% (range 59–78%). Bookmakers broadly agree, pricing Yorkshire W at 42% (2.18) vs Durham W at 58% (1.60). Key stats lean Durham W 6–1 overall, driven by the stronger season position and recent results. The swing factors are Yorkshire’s need to halt a four-loss start and whether Durham can keep their edge in the late overs where the numbers favour them.
Graham shuts the door late
Heather Graham’s fourth-over burst set the tone and her closing spell finished the job as Durham Women defended 155 to beat Yorkshire Women by 21 runs. Yorkshire never quite found a partnership to calm the chase, and even when they briefly steadied, Durham’s fielding and smart changes kept the pressure on until the final overs.
Death overs swing it
The match was effectively decided in the last five overs of each innings. Durham surged at the death, scoring 38 runs for 2 wickets (9.5 an over) to turn a good platform into a demanding total. Yorkshire’s reply couldn’t match that finish: they managed 31 for 2 (7.8 an over), but those runs came with the required rate already out of reach after Durham’s bowlers squeezed the middle and forced riskier shots.
Heath sets, Levick seals
Bess Heath’s 36 off 25, backed by Mia Rogers’ 29 off 19, ensured Durham kept the scoreboard moving and had a final-overs platform. With the ball, Graham’s 3/31 delivered the key breakthroughs, while Katie Levick’s 2/13 strangled the chase at the crucial point, making Yorkshire’s best stand — 32 between Jess Jonassen and Sarah Glenn — feel like containment rather than momentum.
Durham’s edge plays out
Pre-match, Durham were expected to control the key moments, especially late in the innings, and that’s exactly how it unfolded. Their stronger recent form showed in the clarity of their batting plan — build, then launch — while Yorkshire’s early losses again left them chasing the game. Even Yorkshire’s better matchup strike-rate didn’t translate because wickets in the powerplay (39/2) meant they were always rebuilding rather than dictating.
TBThe Blaze W
153/10
DUDurham W
156/3
DUDurham W
140/5
WAWarwickshire W
113/10
SUSurrey W
103/8
DUDurham W
102/10
DUDurham W
178/5
HAHampshire W
146/8
ESEssex W
164/3
DUDurham W
155/8
LALancashire W
148/7
DUDurham W
149/8
DUDurham W
104/5
HAHampshire W
103/7
DUDurham W
154/4
SOSomerset W
148/7
DUDurham W
101/8
ESEssex W
105/4
SOSomerset W
138/7
DUDurham W
139/6
SUR-W
5
3-1
15
SOM-W
5
3-1
15
ESS-W
4
3-1
13
DUR-W
4
3-1
12
TB-W
4
3-1
12
HAM-W
4
1-1
8
LAN-W
4
1-3
5
YOR
4
0-4
0
WAR-W
4
0-4
0
SUR-W
5
3
1
—
+0.729
15
SOM-W
5
3
1
—
+0.221
15
ESS-W
4
3
1
—
+0.613
13
DUR-W
4
3
1
—
+0.558
12
TB-W
4
3
1
—
+0.101
12
HAM-W
4
1
1
—
-0.113
8
LAN-W
4
1
3
—
-0.060
5
YOR
4
0
4
—
-1.094
0
WAR-W
4
0
4
—
-1.265
0
SUR-WWWWDL
SOM-WDWWLW
ESS-WWLWW
DUR-WWLWW
TB-WWWWL
HAM-WDLWD
LAN-WLLWL
YORLLLL
WAR-WLLLL
