

Match Prediction
Gloucestershire are 3rd in the T20B Regular Season on 12 points with a 3W-1L record and +0.940 NRR. Somerset are 9th on 8 points with a 2W-1L record and -0.111 NRR. GLO come in off a 56-run win in their last match. SOM’s last match was a 4-wicket loss with 0 balls remaining after scoring 202/6.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Somerset lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, Somerset defended 164/7 and kept Gloucestershire to 148/8 to win by 16 runs. The match was defined by Somerset’s ability to restrict GLO to 148/8 in the chase. Across these three games, the results have swung, with both sides recording wins and two of them going Somerset’s way.
Gloucestershire
Gloucestershire are 3rd in the T20B Regular Season with 12 points. Their recent run includes a statement 56-run win, alongside a last-ball chase win with 0 balls remaining, showing they can win both comfortably and under pressure. The one setback in the last three was a narrow 2-run defeat while chasing 167.
Somerset
Somerset are 9th in the T20B Regular Season with 8 points. Their last two matches have both been losses to Glamorgan, including a last-ball defeat with 0 balls remaining after making 202/6. The one win in their last three was a chase completed with 10 balls remaining.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Gloucestershire, with GLO rated around 60% on average (range 55–65%). Bookmakers diverge, pricing Somerset as the favourite at 54% (1.75) vs Gloucestershire 46% (2.05). Key stats are split 4-4 overall, with GLO ahead on points, NRR, and recent results, while SOM edge head-to-head and some bowling-phase economy metrics. This looks set to hinge on whether GLO’s stronger season start outweighs Somerset’s recent control of the matchup.
Short blasts chase into cruise
D’Arcy Short made the decisive move before Somerset could even set a field, launching Gloucestershire’s chase with clean, straight hitting and sharp placement. His 63 off 34 ensured the asking rate never became a conversation, and even when Somerset briefly found a foothold, the target had already been stripped of pressure. Gloucestershire wrapped it up at 138/3 in 14.1 overs, winning by seven wickets with 35 balls unused.
Somerset’s powerplay collapse
The match was effectively decided in the first six overs of Somerset’s innings. Reduced to 33/4 in the powerplay, they spent the rest of the night trying to rebuild from a hole rather than setting one. Duan Jansen’s control (2/25) and Matthew Taylor’s three-over burst (2/20) kept the middle overs quiet enough that Somerset’s late surge couldn’t fully compensate; their death-overs 46/1 came after the damage was done.
Short, Jansen set the tone
Short was the game’s accelerant, turning the chase into a one-way timeline with boundary options across the arc. Jansen’s two wickets were just as important for context: they forced Somerset into consolidation and left Lewis Gregory’s 33 off 28 and the 47-run Gregory-Overton stand as salvage rather than a platform. Jack Taylor’s 34 off 21 then ensured there was no late twist, even with Daniel Sams picking up 2/21 to briefly raise a question.
Form and phases flip the script
Pre-game talk centred on whether Gloucestershire’s stronger start would outweigh Somerset’s recent edge in the matchup and their tighter projected new-ball and death economy. Instead, it was Gloucestershire who dominated the key phase: they struck early with the ball, then batted like a side in rhythm, racing to 61/1 in the powerplay at 10.2 an over. Somerset’s bowlers never got to deploy their usual squeeze because they were defending a total built from recovery, not control.
YOYorkshire
161/10
GLGloucestershire
217/6
NONorthamptonshire
166/3
GLGloucestershire
164/9
GLGlamorgan
157/8
GLGloucestershire
158/8
GLGloucestershire
121/10
WAWarwickshire
74/10
SOSomerset
164/7
GLGloucestershire
148/8
GLGloucestershire
185/5
SUSussex
189/6
GLGlamorgan
135/10
GLGloucestershire
175/6
MIMiddlesex
189/5
GLGloucestershire
166/7
GLGloucestershire
165/9
SUSurrey
193/7
GLGloucestershire
204/5
MIMiddlesex
195/7
GL3
SO7
SOSomerset
164/7
GLGloucestershire
148/8
GLGloucestershire
135/7
SOSomerset
137/4
SOSomerset
124/10
GLGloucestershire
129/2
SOSomerset
194/6
GLGloucestershire
196/5
GLGloucestershire
190/5
SOSomerset
188/4
SOSomerset
187/6
GLGloucestershire
186/8
GLGloucestershire
151/10
SOSomerset
231/4
SOSomerset
184/6
GLGloucestershire
177/8
GLGloucestershire
101/5
SOSomerset
114/7
SOSomerset
183/7
GLGloucestershire
160/6
SOSomerset
202/6
GLGlamorgan
203/6
GLGlamorgan
175/3
SOSomerset
171/9
WAWarwickshire
189/5
SOSomerset
193/3
SOSomerset
160/3
HAHampshire
158/10
SOSomerset
195/4
HAHampshire
194/6
LALancashire
159/10
SOSomerset
182/7
SOSomerset
191/6
WAWarwickshire
190/6
SOSomerset
164/7
GLGloucestershire
148/8
SUSurrey
201/6
SOSomerset
134/10
KEKent
137/8
SOSomerset
138/5
NOR
4
4-0
16
HAM
5
4-1
16
GLO
4
3-1
12
SUR
5
3-2
12
KEN
4
3-1
12
YOR
4
3-1
12
DER
5
2-3
8
ESS
4
2-2
8
SOM
3
2-1
8
DUR
4
2-2
8
WOR
3
2-1
8
GLA
3
1-2
4
LAN
3
1-2
4
SUS
4
1-3
4
NOT
4
1-3
4
MID
5
1-4
4
LEI
4
1-3
4
WAR
4
0-4
0
NOR
4
4
0
—
+1.848
16
HAM
5
4
1
—
+0.971
16
GLO
4
3
1
—
+0.940
12
SUR
5
3
2
—
+0.679
12
KEN
4
3
1
—
+0.571
12
YOR
4
3
1
—
+0.527
12
DER
5
2
3
—
+0.856
8
ESS
4
2
2
—
+0.005
8
SOM
3
2
1
—
-0.111
8
DUR
4
2
2
—
-0.309
8
WOR
3
2
1
—
-1.211
8
GLA
3
1
2
—
+0.943
4
LAN
3
1
2
—
-0.375
4
SUS
4
1
3
—
-0.498
4
NOT
4
1
3
—
-0.923
4
MID
5
1
4
—
-1.288
4
LEI
4
1
3
—
-2.007
4
WAR
4
0
4
—
-1.043
0
NORWWWW
HAMLWWWW
GLOWWLW
SURWWLLW
KENWWLW
YORWWWL
DERLLWWL
ESSLLWW
SOMWWL
DURWWLL
WORWLW
GLALLW
LANLWL
SUSWLLL
NOTLLLW
MIDLLWLL
LEILLLW
WARLLLL
