Guyana Amazon Warriors are 2nd in the CPL regular season on 10 points and currently in the playoff zone with a 5W-0L record. St Kitts and Nevis Patriots are 5th on 7 points and currently outside the playoff zone at 3W-4L. GAW come in on a three-match winning run, including an 8-wicket win with 16 balls remaining in their last game. SNP’s last two matches were high-scoring wins, including a 137-run victory.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
GAW lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent meeting last season, SNP edged GAW in a tight finish, winning by 5 runs after defending a mid-140s total. That game turned on a narrow chase where GAW fell just short despite getting close to the target. Across these three games, results have swung both ways, with two close finishes and one more one-sided GAW win.
Guyana Amazon Warriors
GAW are 2nd in the CPL regular season with 10 points and currently in the playoff zone. They are unbeaten at 5W-0L and have won their last three matches in a row. Their most recent win was an 8-wicket chase completed with 16 balls remaining, reinforcing how controlled their recent performances have been.
St Kitts and Nevis Patriots
SNP are 5th in the CPL regular season with 7 points and currently outside the playoff zone. Their recent form has flipped sharply, with two straight wins after a loss to Jamaica Kingsmen. The clearest signal is the 137-run win over Saint Lucia Kings, built on a 235/4 total that shows their batting ceiling right now.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Prediction
Current prediction, after the playing XI and toss
All four models favour GAW, with the model average at 69% for GAW. Bookmakers agree, pricing GAW at 62% (1.56) vs SNP at 38% (2.47). Key stats lean heavily to GAW by a 6-1 overall score, driven by their stronger season position and unbeaten run. The match hinges on whether SNP’s recent big-score batting can break through GAW’s current momentum.
Superseded: preliminary prediction, before the XI and toss
Preliminary prediction — calculated before the playing XI and toss were known. It is recalculated 5–30 minutes before the start, once the lineups and toss are confirmed.
All four models favour GAW, with the average prediction at 69% for GAW. Bookmakers align with that lean, pricing GAW at 62% (1.54) vs SNP at 38% (2.46). Key stats make it a clean 5-0 edge to GAW overall, driven by their stronger season position and underlying performance indicators. The match likely turns on whether SNP’s recent run of huge scores can disrupt GAW’s unbeaten momentum.
Nabi’s spell flips the night
Mohammad Nabi turned a tricky-looking contest into a controlled chase by shredding St Kitts and Nevis Patriots’ middle order, setting up Guyana Amazon Warriors’ 7-wicket win with 9 balls remaining. Patriots had a platform through Alick Athanaze, but once Nabi began to bite, the innings lost shape and momentum. Guyana’s reply wasn’t without a wobble, yet they stayed ahead of the asking rate and closed without drama.
Powerplay damage, death collapse
The match was effectively decided in the first six overs of the Patriots innings. They stumbled to 39/3 in the powerplay, forcing Athanaze to rebuild rather than attack. Even after a 45-run stand with Dasun Shanaka steadied them, the finish never came: 26/5 at the death dragged a competitive 150-ish trajectory down to 128 all out in 19.2. Guyana’s bowlers kept hitting hard lengths and took pace off at the right time, turning boundary balls into miscues.
Nabi leads, Hope holds firm
Nabi was the difference-maker: 4/17 strangled the middle overs and ensured the Patriots couldn’t line up the death. Romario Shepherd’s 3/16 then slammed the door on any late surge. In the chase, Rahmanullah Gurbaz’s 39 off 25 won the powerplay (58/1), and when the tempo dipped, Shai Hope’s 38 off 44 absorbed pressure before his 54-run partnership with Nabi guided Guyana home.
Form advantage shows in phases
Pre-game, Guyana’s edge was expected to come from consistency and control, and that’s exactly how it played out. Their unbeaten run translated into crisp execution: early wickets, no release overs, and a chase paced to avoid panic. Patriots’ recent big totals needed a clean powerplay to launch, but losing three early meant their hitters were forced into risk against set fields, and the innings never regained the initiative.






