CPL ·30th Match
Finished
#1 · 12 pts · NRR +1.98 · WWWWW
117/10
(14.2 ov)
#2 · 11 pts · NRR -0.27 · WLWNW
182/5
(20 ov)
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons won by 65 runs
1
··6··6
12 runs
2
··6··4
10 runs
3
65wdWwd··W2
14 runs
4
62111·
11 runs
5
41·1nb1Wwd4
12 runs
6
W·lb146
11 runs
7
1·2W·6
9 runs
8
1W·1·4
6 runs
9
Wb·11·
2 runs
10
·2lb4W1
7 runs
11
··4·1·
5 runs
12
lb1121·
5 runs
13
11··1·
3 runs
14
21··W·
3 runs
15
·W
0 runs
Batting
RB4s6sSR
K. Pierre
0 1 0 0 0
I. Tahir
8 14 1 0 57.1
Bowling
OMRWEcon
J. James
1.2 5 11 2 8.2
A. Joseph
4 12 41 4 10.2
MATCH STATS GAW ABF
PP 71/4 (11.5) 44/1 (7.3)
Middle 46/6 (5.5) 74/2 (7.3)
Death — 64/2 (16)
4s 7 9
6s 7 12
Dots 36% 33%
Extras 15 15
Best P'ship 33(1) 47(3)
Runs
ABFGAW
408012016020005101520
🗓
Date and time 08/09/2026 · 23:00
🏆
Competition Caribbean Premier League · 30th Match
🏟
Venue Providence Stadium, Providence
🌤
Weather
🌡 28°C💧 84%☁️ 77%💨 11 km/h
🪙
Toss Guyana Amazon Warriors won the toss, elected to bowling
👤
Umpire 1 Christopher Taylor
👤
Umpire 2 Leslie Reifer
📺
TV Umpire Ryan Banwarie
🎖
Referee Denavon Hayles

Guyana Amazon Warriors are #1 in the CPL regular season with 12 points and are currently in the playoff zone. Antigua & Barbuda Falcons are #2 with 11 points and are also currently in the playoff zone. GAW come in unbeaten at 6W-0L with a +1.977 NRR, while ABF are 5W-3L with a -0.267 NRR.

Toss & Conditions

🪙 Guyana Amazon Warriors won toss, elected bowling
🏟 Providence Stadium, Providence
🌡 28°C💧 84%☁️ 77%💨 11 km/h

Head-to-Head

GAW lead the last three head-to-head meetings 2-1. In the most recent meeting, GAW won by 7 wickets and finished the chase with 61 balls remaining after ABF were bowled out for 116. That game was defined by ABF losing all 10 wickets, leaving GAW a small target and time to spare. The wider pattern is mixed, with ABF also having a recent win in this matchup by chasing down a low total with 5 balls remaining.

Guyana Amazon Warriors

#112 ptsNRR +1.977WWWWW→

GAW are #1 in the CPL regular season on 12 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They are on a six-match unbeaten run, and their last three wins include two chases finished with 9 balls and 16 balls remaining. The most telling result in that stretch was a D/S-method win by 9 runs against Trinbago Knight Riders, showing they can close out tight games as well as dominate.

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons

#211 ptsNRR -0.267WLWNW→

ABF are #2 in the CPL regular season on 11 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They have won two of their last three, including back-to-back wins where they defended 30 runs against Barbados Tridents and then edged Trinbago Knight Riders by 8 runs. The most telling result is that 8-run win over TKR, a tight finish that still went their way.

Playing XI

GAW
Imran TahirC
Shai HopeWK
Rahmanullah Gurbaz
Mavendra Dindyal
Romario Shepherd
Mohammad Nabi
Quentin Sampson
Dwaine Pretorius
Shamar Joseph
Khary Pierre
Shimron Hetmyer
ABF
Moeen AliC
Amir JangooWK
Evin Lewis
Karima Gore
Hasan Nawaz
Shadab Khan
Fabian Allen
Joshua James
Sufiyan Muqeem
Jayden Seales
Alzarri Joseph

Key Stats

GAWABF
Position 1 2
Points 12 11
NRR +1.98 -0.27
EloOverall strength rating built from past results against the quality of opponents. Higher is stronger. 1631 1546
Form (last 5) 5/5 4/5
H2H (last 4) 3/4 1/4
Key PlayersCombined strength of each team's top-3 players by career impact (runs + wickets + strike-rate). Higher is better. 29.5 29.7
Player FormThe same top-3 players' impact over their last 5 matches — recent form rather than career. Higher is better. 42.9 33.2
Total score 6 1

Prediction

Current prediction, after the playing XI and toss

All four models favour GAW, with an average win probability of 70% (range 64–74%). Bookmakers align with the models, pricing GAW at 66% (1.45) vs ABF at 34% (2.77). Key stats favour GAW 6-1, driven by their stronger NRR, Elo edge, and better recent form. ABF’s path is to turn this into a closer, lower-margin game than the last head-to-head where they were bowled out and GAW cruised the chase.

GAWABF
64% ML 36%
74% AI 1 26%
72% AI 2 28%
70% Math 30%
66% Books 34%

Joseph turns the chase to rubble

Alzarri Joseph made the decisive intervention, ripping through Guyana Amazon Warriors’ chase just when their powerplay had kept the contest alive. Antigua & Barbuda Falcons’ 182/5 always looked a handful, but Guyana’s 71/4 burst suggested a puncher’s chance. Instead, Joseph’s pace and hard lengths triggered a collapse that ended at 117 in 14.2 overs, sealing a 65-run Falcons win.

Middle-overs squeeze breaks GAW

The match swung in Guyana’s middle overs, where they went from chaotic momentum to complete paralysis. After racing at 11.5 an over in the powerplay, they managed only 46 runs for six wickets through the middle phase (RR 5.5), never reaching a death-overs launch at all. The turning point was the immediate post-powerplay period: wickets kept falling and boundaries dried up, leaving even a modest partnership target out of reach — their best stand was just 33.

Joseph, Shadab set the tone

Joseph’s 4/41 was the match-winning spell because it arrived when Guyana still had a route via powerplay momentum. Shadab Khan shaped both innings: his 2/19 strangled the middle overs, then his 30 off 9 balls turbocharged the finish. Hasan Nawaz’s 36 off 27 provided the top-order glue, allowing the Falcons to save their biggest blows for the back end.

Batting
RBSR
Hasan Nawaz
Hasan Nawaz
ABF Batsman
3627133
Shadab Khan
Shadab Khan
ABF Batsman
309333
Amir Jangoo
Amir Jangoo
ABF Batsman
283093
Bowling
WREcon
Alzarri Joseph
Alzarri Joseph
ABF Bowler
4419.8
Shadab Khan
Shadab Khan
ABF Bowler
2194.8
Sufiyan Muqeem
Sufiyan Muqeem
ABF Bowler
2186.0

Why the script flipped

Pre-match numbers leaned heavily towards Guyana on form and overall strength, but this game punished their risk-heavy approach. The early surge came with four powerplay wickets, and once the Falcons’ spinners and cutters hit their lengths, Guyana had no stable set batter to reset the chase. Antigua’s innings, by contrast, built steadily before exploding late — 64 runs in the death overs at 16 an over — ensuring Guyana couldn’t afford even a short quiet patch.

ML
GAW 64% ❌
AI 1
GAW 74% ❌
AI 2
GAW 72% ❌
Math
GAW 70% ❌
Books
GAW 66% ❌
Playing XI
Imran Tahir
Imran TahirC Bowler
Shai Hope
Shai HopeWK Wicketkeeper
Romario Shepherd
Romario Shepherd Bowling Allrounder
Shimron Hetmyer
Shimron Hetmyer Batsman
Mavendra Dindyal
Mavendra Dindyal Batsman
Dwaine Pretorius
Dwaine Pretorius Allrounder
Khary Pierre
Khary Pierre Allrounder
Mohammad Nabi
Mohammad Nabi Allrounder
Quentin Sampson
Quentin Sampson Bowler
Shamar Joseph
Shamar Joseph Bowler
Rahmanullah Gurbaz
Rahmanullah Gurbaz Wicketkeeper
Rest of Squad
Matthew Nandu
Matthew Nandu Allrounder
Ronaldo Alimohamed
Ronaldo Alimohamed Allrounder
Isai Thorne
Isai Thorne Bowler
Johnathan Van Lange
Johnathan Van Lange Bowler
Veerasammy Permaul
Veerasammy Permaul Bowler
Glenn Phillips
Glenn Phillips Wicketkeeper
Playing XI
Moeen Ali
Moeen AliC Allrounder
Amir Jangoo
Amir JangooWK Wicketkeeper
Hasan Nawaz
Hasan Nawaz Top Order Batter
Evin Lewis
Evin Lewis Batsman
Jayden Seales
Jayden Seales Batsman
Fabian Allen
Fabian Allen Allrounder
Joshua James
Joshua James Allrounder
Shadab Khan
Shadab Khan Allrounder
Alzarri Joseph
Alzarri Joseph Bowler
Karima Gore
Karima Gore Bowler
Sufiyan Muqeem
Sufiyan Muqeem Bowler
Rest of Squad
Kusal Perera
Kusal Perera Batsman
Tim Robinson
Tim Robinson Batsman
Milind Kumar
Milind Kumar Allrounder
Rahkeem Cornwall
Rahkeem Cornwall Allrounder
Tajinder Singh
Tajinder Singh Allrounder
Anderson Mahase
Anderson Mahase Bowler
Anderson Phillip
Anderson Phillip Bowler
Shamar Springer
Shamar Springer Bowler
Usama Mir
Usama Mir Bowler
Jahmar Hamilton
Jahmar Hamilton Wicketkeeper
#TeamPW-LPTS
1GAW 6 6-0 12
2ABF 9 5-3 11
3JK 9 4-5 8
4SLK 9 4-5 8
5SNP 9 3-5 7
6TKR 9 3-6 6
7BT 7 3-4 6
#TeamPWLNRNRRPTS
1GAW 6 6 0 — +1.977 12
2ABF 9 5 3 1 -0.267 11
3JK 9 4 5 — -0.093 8
4SLK 9 4 5 — -0.903 8
5SNP 9 3 5 1 +0.404 7
6TKR 9 3 6 — +0.064 6
7BT 7 3 4 — -0.645 6
#TeamLast 5
1GAWWWWWW
2ABFWLWNW
3JKWLWWL
4SLKLWWLL
5SNPLNWWL
6TKRWLLLW
7BTLLLLW