Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

In the last three head-to-heads, England W lead 2 wins to 1. In the most recent meeting, New Zealand Women won by 14 runs after making 170/5 and then holding England to 156/6. The key separator was New Zealand getting to a bigger total and defending it successfully. Across these three games, results have swung back and forth rather than one team running away with the matchup.

ENEngland W 156/6

NZNew Zealand W 170/5

2026-05-23 · NZ-Women won by 14 runs

ENEngland W 140/3

NZNew Zealand W 136/7

2026-05-20 · ENG-W won by 7 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

ENEngland W 155/7

NZNew Zealand W 135/8

2024-07-17 · ENG-W won by 20 runs

England W

England W are 6W-4L in this competition with a +0.234 net run rate. Their recent run has been mixed, with a win over New Zealand followed by a 14-run loss to the same opponent in the latest meeting. That swing suggests their margin for error has been thin in this matchup.

ENEngland W 156/6

NZNew Zealand W 170/5

2026-05-23 · NZ-Women won by 14 runs

ENEngland W 140/3

NZNew Zealand W 136/7

2026-05-20 · ENG-W won by 7 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

ENEngland W 168/5

INIndia W 167/7

2025-07-12 · ENG-W won by 5 wickets (with 0 balls remaining)

New Zealand W

New Zealand W are 8W-2L with a +2.525 net run rate. Their latest result was a 14-run win over England, built on a 170/5 total and a successful defence. They’ve also shown a ceiling for dominance, highlighted by a 92-run win over South Africa W in their recent set.

NZNew Zealand W 170/5

ENEngland W 156/6

2026-05-23 · NZ-Women won by 14 runs

NZNew Zealand W 136/7

ENEngland W 140/3

2026-05-20 · ENG-W won by 7 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

NZNew Zealand W 194/6

SASouth Africa W 102/9

2026-03-25 · NZ-W won by 92 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour New Zealand W, with the average leaning NZ-W at 57% (range 54–59%). Bookmakers diverge sharply, pricing England W at 67% (1.42) vs New Zealand W at 33% (2.76). Key stats overall lean England 5–1, but New Zealand’s stronger net run rate profile and their most recent successful defence against England shape the edge. If New Zealand can again set a defendable total, they can override England’s metric advantages.

Gibson sparks the collapse

Danielle Gibson turned a scrappy, low-scoring contest decisively England’s way, punching through New Zealand’s middle order and leaving them with too little to defend. With Charlie Dean backing her up, England bowled New Zealand out for 80 in 19.1 overs, then chased it down 81/3 with 37 balls remaining. There were brief moments of pressure when England lost two early wickets, but the target never felt out of reach once the asking rate stayed under six.

Middle overs: England squeeze hard

The match was effectively won in New Zealand’s middle overs, where England’s spinners and cutters shut off boundaries and forced errors. New Zealand slid from 29/2 in the powerplay to a damaging 36/6 through the middle phase, scoring at just 3.6 an over. Jess Kerr’s 20 off 27 and a 25-run stand with Maddy Green offered resistance, but wickets kept interrupting any attempt to reset. Dean’s 3/13 in 3.1 overs ensured there was no late surge, and the “death” overs produced only 15 more runs.

Gibson, Dean set the tone

Gibson’s 3/14 was the defining spell, breaking partnerships before they could form and keeping New Zealand stuck in damage-limitation mode. Dean complemented her by attacking the stumps and taking 3/13 to finish the innings early, while Linsey Smith’s 2/15 kept the squeeze constant. In the chase, Sophia Dunkley’s 23 off 21 provided the only real acceleration England needed, and Maia Bouchier’s 19 off 29 helped absorb the early wobble before the target was safely reeled in.

Pre-match edge flips quickly

Before the start, New Zealand’s recent ability to defend and their stronger run-rate profile suggested they could drag England into another tight chase. Instead, England’s matchup advantage with the ball showed up immediately: their expected control in the powerplay and at the back end translated into relentless middle-overs pressure, the one thing a defending side can’t afford in a low-total game. Once New Zealand failed to set a defendable score, the contest shifted to England’s calmer batting depth rather than a high-variance finish.