Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

The Blaze W lead the last two head-to-head meetings 2-0. In the most recent meeting, The Blaze won by 27 runs after posting 164/5 and keeping Hampshire to 137/4. The margin was built by The Blaze putting up the bigger total and then preventing Hampshire from matching it in the chase. Across these two games, the pattern is clear: The Blaze have found ways to stay ahead on the scoreboard and close out both results.

HAHampshire W 137/4

TBThe Blaze W 164/5

2025-07-18 · TB-W won by 27 runs

TBThe Blaze W 188/6

HAHampshire W 151/10

2025-07-04 · TB-W won by 37 runs

Hampshire W

Hampshire W are 2nd in the T20BW regular season with 28 points and are currently in the playoff zone. They arrive on a three-match winning streak, with all three wins coming with wickets in hand or a clear cushion. Their most telling recent result was a 9-wicket win with 33 balls remaining, underlining how comfortably they are finishing chases.

HAHampshire W 135/1

LALancashire W 131/10

2026-07-05 · HAM-W won by 9 wickets (with 33 balls remaining)

HAHampshire W 131/2

DUDurham W 128/7

2026-06-28 · HAM-W won by 8 wickets (with 19 balls remaining)

HAHampshire W 174/5

YOYorkshire W 132/7

2026-06-26 · HAM-W won by 42 runs

The Blaze W

The Blaze W are 4th in the T20BW regular season with 24 points. Their last three matches read as a wobble, with two defeats around one dominant chase win. The most telling result was their latest loss, where they fell short by 1 run-equivalent on the scoreboard, losing by 5 wickets with 4 balls remaining after making 147/9.

TBThe Blaze W 147/9

DUDurham W 148/5

2026-07-05 · DUR-W won by 5 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

TBThe Blaze W 121/10

SUSurrey W 155/8

2026-07-03 · SUR-W won by 34 runs

TBThe Blaze W 137/1

ESEssex W 136/9

2026-06-28 · The Blaze won by 9 wickets (with 25 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Hampshire W, with the average projection at 62% for HAM-W. Bookmakers also lean Hampshire, pricing HAM-W at 54% (1.72) vs TB-W at 46% (1.98). Key stats edge Hampshire 5-3, driven by their stronger season position and recent-form advantage, while The Blaze counter with a 2-0 edge in the last two head-to-heads. The match likely turns on whether Hampshire’s current momentum outweighs The Blaze’s recent control of this matchup.

Adams’ double blow flips it

Georgia Adams set the tone with a 30-ball 49 and then ripped the chase apart, as Hampshire Women defended 151/8 to beat The Blaze Women by 23 runs. The Blaze looked in control early at 52/1 in the powerplay, but Adams’ key strikes in the middle overs turned a fluent chase into a scramble. Even a late, unbeaten burst couldn’t undo the damage as Hampshire’s grip tightened after the halfway mark.

Middle overs: 7 down

The game was decided in The Blaze’s middle-overs collapse: from 52/1 after six, they managed only 43 runs while losing seven wickets through the middle phase. Hampshire’s bowlers attacked the stumps and forced low-percentage hits, and Adams’ 4-over spell (4/16) was the centrepiece of that squeeze. By the time the death overs arrived, The Blaze were already 95/8, needing a miracle rather than a plan.

Adams leads, Knott fights

Adams was the match’s decisive figure: her 49 gave Hampshire lift, and her wickets ensured The Blaze never settled. Abi Norgrove’s 29 off 34 helped bridge Hampshire through the quieter middle, while Charli Knott (3/22) kept The Blaze in touch by striking regularly. Marie Kelly’s 33 off 20 and a 44-run stand with Georgia Elwiss offered late resistance, but it arrived after the chase had already been broken.

Momentum beats head-to-head

Pre-match, Hampshire’s recent form and matchup edges suggested they could absorb pressure better than The Blaze, despite losing the last two head-to-heads. That played out in how they built 151: a brisk 48/1 powerplay, a steadier middle, then enough late runs to post a defendable total. The Blaze’s strong start with the bat hinted at another head-to-head repeat, but Hampshire’s sharper middle-overs control proved the difference.