Guyana Amazon Warriors are 2nd in the CPL regular season with 12 points and a 6W-1L record, currently in the playoff zone. Saint Lucia Kings are 4th with 8 points and a 4W-5L record, currently in the playoff zone. GAW’s last three include two wins followed by a heavy loss. SLK’s last three include two losses around one win.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
GAW have won all of the last three meetings against SLK. In the most recent meeting, GAW chased down SLK’s total for a 7-wicket win with 11 balls remaining. The chase was controlled enough for GAW to finish with plenty of deliveries in hand. Across these three games, the pattern has been one-way, with GAW repeatedly finding a way past SLK.
Guyana Amazon Warriors
GAW sit 2nd in the CPL regular season on 12 points, currently in the playoff zone. Their last three matches swing from two comfortable wins to a sharp comedown, getting bowled out for 117 while conceding 182/5 in their most recent game. That collapse is the clearest warning sign heading into this matchup.
Saint Lucia Kings
SLK are 4th in the CPL regular season on 8 points, currently in the playoff zone. Their last three matches include a 36-run win, then a 137-run loss, then a tight 2-run defeat. The 98 all out while chasing 236 is the most telling result in that run.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Prediction
Current prediction, after the playing XI and toss
All four models favour GAW, with the average probability at 70% for GAW. Bookmakers align with the models, pricing GAW at 67% (1.43) vs SLK at 33% (2.80). Key stats favour GAW 5-2, driven by their stronger table position, NRR edge, and a clean 3-0 run in the last three head-to-heads. The swing factor is whether GAW’s most recent batting collapse repeats, or whether SLK can flip the recent matchup pattern.
Superseded: preliminary prediction, before the XI and toss
Preliminary prediction — calculated before the playing XI and toss were known. It is recalculated 5–30 minutes before the start, once the lineups and toss are confirmed.
All four models are in consensus for GAW, with the average projection at 70% for Guyana. The range across models is 64% to 78% in GAW’s favour. No bookmaker odds are available for this match. Key stats make it a clean sweep for GAW (5-0), and the game narrative points to GAW’s unbeaten momentum and recent H2H control as the likely separators.
Tahir snaps SLK’s spine
Imran Tahir’s spell was the match’s pivot: five wickets that dragged Saint Lucia Kings from control into chaos and set up Guyana Amazon Warriors’ four-wicket win with nine balls left. SLK had momentum after a brisk powerplay, but once Tahir began to bite, the innings never recovered. Even with Guyana’s chase stalling early, the target stayed within reach, and a late burst ensured there was no upset.
Middle overs become a trap
The game was decided in the middle phase of SLK’s innings. After racing to 51/1 in the powerplay, they managed only 51 runs for eight wickets through the middle overs, sliding to 102/9 and losing any platform for a finish. Kamil Pooran’s 43 off 35 was the lone hand of substance, but the constant strikes meant Saint Lucia couldn’t cash in at the death, adding just 17/1 late to finish 119 all out in 18.5.
Sampson’s blitz, Tahir’s heist
Tahir was the standout, combining guile with relentless accuracy to finish with 5/17 and earn MVP. Glenn Phillips’ 37 off 40 and a 52-run stand with Shai Hope steadied a chase that lacked early rhythm. The decisive punch, though, came late: Quentin Sampson’s 37 off 11 flipped the tempo in a single burst, turning a tense pursuit into a comfortable finish.
Favourites survive early squeeze
Pre-match numbers leaned heavily towards Guyana, and the match followed that script once their bowlers squeezed the life out of SLK’s middle order. The surprise was how awkward the chase looked at first: Guyana crawled to 23/1 in the powerplay, inviting pressure despite the modest target. But their deeper batting and calmer end-game meant the wobble didn’t become a collapse, and the required rate never truly ran away.






