

Match Prediction
Durham T20B regular season me 12th par hain, 12 points ke saath aur 3W-5L record. Nottinghamshire 4th par hain 24 points ke saath aur 6W-3L record. Durham ke last three games me ek 100-run win aur ek one-ball loss hai, woh bhi 205 score karne ke baad. Nottinghamshire three straight wins ke saath aa rahe hain, jisme unke most recent match me 1-run finish bhi tha.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Last three meetings me Nottinghamshire 2-1 se lead karte hain. Pichhle season ke most recent meeting me, Nottinghamshire ne Durham ka 156/8 chase karke 16 balls remaining ke saath win kiya. Defining detail tha chase ka control: NOT comfortably finish line tak pahunch gaya, six wickets in hand aur time to spare ke saath. Last two meetings me, Nottinghamshire ne dono matches chase karte hue jeete hain.
Durham
Durham T20B regular season me 12 points ke saath 12th par hain. Unka recent form extremes ke beech swing hua hai: Middlesex ke against 100-run demolition, phir Yorkshire ke against one-ball defeat, despite 205 tak pahunchne ke. Tight games close out na kar paana hi unke 3W-5L record ko table me upar climb banne se rok raha hai.
Nottinghamshire
Nottinghamshire T20B regular season me 24 points ke saath 4th par hain. Woh 3-match winning run par hain, aur unka tone clinical bhi raha hai aur pressure me composed bhi. Sabse clear signal unka last outing tha: Lancashire ke against 1-run win, jiska finish bilkul end me decide hua.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models Nottinghamshire ko favour karte hain, model average NOT 64% vs DUR 36% hai. Bookmakers bhi isi lean ke saath aligned hain: NOT ko 56% (1.70) aur DUR ko 44% (2.10) price kiya gaya hai. Overall key stats Nottinghamshire ko 6-2 se favour karte hain, mainly unke stronger recent results aur most economy phases me edge ki wajah se. Durham ka counterweight better NRR aur death-overs economy edge hai, lekin unhe usko points me translate karna hoga.
Clarke sets up the heist
Joe Clarke’s clean striking at the top gave Nottinghamshire the chase’s shape, but it was the kind of finish that leaves everyone counting on their fingers. After Clarke’s 56 off 35 and a stabilising stand, Durham’s Matty Potts ripped out three wickets late to turn a comfortable pursuit into a last-over nail-biter. Nottinghamshire eventually staggered home by 2 runs, 166/8 chasing 165, with Durham left one boundary short despite a late push.
Middle overs swing it
The decisive separation came in the middle overs, when Nottinghamshire kept scoring while Durham lost shape. Durham flew to 58 without loss in the powerplay, but then managed only 65/4 through the middle phase at 6.5 an over, wickets repeatedly halting momentum. Nottinghamshire, by contrast, went 81/4 in the same period at 8.1, powered by the 84-run Haynes–Clarke partnership that turned a brisk start into a chase with breathing room.
Potts’ burst, Linde’s clamp
Potts was the game’s disruptor, his 3/32 keeping Durham alive when Nottinghamshire threatened to cruise, especially as wickets fell in the final four overs. Clarke was the chase’s engine, while Jack Haynes’ 37 off 25 ensured the big partnership didn’t stall. For Nottinghamshire, George Linde’s 2/19 and Liam Patterson-White’s miserly 2/7 were crucial in choking Durham’s middle overs, forcing risks that became wickets.
Form and phases align
Pre-match, Nottinghamshire’s recent run of wins and a clear edge in the early-innings economy phases suggested they could control the tempo. That played out: they matched Durham stride for stride in the powerplay (57/1 vs 58/0), then squeezed harder when the field spread. Durham’s better death-overs numbers did show up in the tension at the end, but the damage had been done earlier when their middle overs slipped away.
YOYorkshire
208/5
DUDurham
205/9
MIMiddlesex
118/10
DUDurham
218/6
DUDurham
128/2
LALancashire
130/3
DUDurham
138/8
NONorthamptonshire
145/9
NONottinghamshire
157/4
DUDurham
156/8
DUDurham
93/10
YOYorkshire
151/9
DUDurham
150/4
LELeicestershire
148/8
DEDerbyshire
197/8
DUDurham
203/8
DUDurham
195/6
HAHampshire
221/8
DUDurham
204/1
NONorthamptonshire
203/5
DU2
NO8
NONottinghamshire
157/4
DUDurham
156/8
NONottinghamshire
159/3
DUDurham
156/10
DUDurham
231/5
NONottinghamshire
182/10
DUDurham
160/6
NONottinghamshire
130/9
NONottinghamshire
187/7
DUDurham
161/9
DUDurham
168/6
NONottinghamshire
171/5
NONottinghamshire
184/6
DUDurham
183/8
DUDurham
96/5
NONottinghamshire
98/9
NONottinghamshire
221/4
DUDurham
143/10
DUDurham
182/8
NONottinghamshire
195/5
NONottinghamshire
181/6
LALancashire
180/7
LELeicestershire
135/10
NONottinghamshire
209/4
KEKent
184/7
NONottinghamshire
187/6
NONottinghamshire
183/6
DEDerbyshire
173/9
NONottinghamshire
143/7
WAWarwickshire
139/10
NONottinghamshire
157/4
DUDurham
156/8
DEDerbyshire
234/4
NONottinghamshire
211/6
LALancashire
208/4
NONottinghamshire
172/9
NONottinghamshire
167/7
YOYorkshire
169/3
NONottinghamshire
127/6
LALancashire
126/10
NOR
8
8-0
32
GLO
9
6-3
24
HAM
8
6-2
24
NOT
9
6-3
24
YOR
9
5-3
22
GLA
8
5-3
20
SUR
9
5-4
20
ESS
9
5-4
20
WOR
9
5-4
20
KEN
9
4-5
16
LAN
9
4-5
16
DUR
8
3-5
12
WAR
9
3-6
12
SOM
8
3-5
12
LEI
8
3-5
12
DER
8
2-5
10
SUS
9
2-7
8
MID
8
1-7
4
NOR
8
8
0
—
+2.142
32
GLO
9
6
3
—
+0.793
24
HAM
8
6
2
—
+0.594
24
NOT
9
6
3
—
+0.199
24
YOR
9
5
3
—
+0.750
22
GLA
8
5
3
—
+0.467
20
SUR
9
5
4
—
+0.311
20
ESS
9
5
4
—
+0.149
20
WOR
9
5
4
—
-0.043
20
KEN
9
4
5
—
-0.418
16
LAN
9
4
5
—
-0.605
16
DUR
8
3
5
—
+0.396
12
WAR
9
3
6
—
+0.209
12
SOM
8
3
5
—
-0.563
12
LEI
8
3
5
—
-1.344
12
DER
8
2
5
—
+0.446
10
SUS
9
2
7
—
-1.487
8
MID
8
1
7
—
-2.002
4
NORWWWWW
GLOWWLLW
HAMWWWWL
NOTWWWWW
YORWLLDW
GLAWLWWW
SURWLWWL
ESSWWLLW
WORLLLWW
KENLLLWL
LANLWWWL
DURLLLWL
WARLWWWL
SOMLLLWL
LEIWWWLL
DERWLLDL
SUSLWLLL
MIDLLLLL
