Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

There have been no previous meetings between Warwickshire and Sussex.

Warwickshire

Warwickshire are 16th in the T20B Regular Season on 8 points. Their last three games include two wins, highlighted by a 59-run win over Worcestershire. They also pulled off a tight chase against Somerset, winning with two balls remaining.

WAWarwickshire 224/10

WOWorcestershire 165/7

2026-06-26 · WAR won by 59 runs

WAWarwickshire 216/4

SOSomerset 215/4

2026-06-07 · WAR won by 6 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire 139/10

NONottinghamshire 143/7

2026-06-05 · NOT won by 3 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

Sussex

Sussex are 17th in the T20B Regular Season on 8 points. Their last three games include two defeats, with the most recent a loss to Surrey by 7 wickets with 27 balls remaining. Their one win in that stretch was a controlled chase against Kent, finishing with 16 balls to spare.

SUSussex 171/10

SUSurrey 175/3

2026-06-26 · SUR won by 7 wickets (with 27 balls remaining)

SUSussex 135/3

KEKent 133/8

2026-06-07 · SUS won by 7 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

SUSussex 179/10

LELeicestershire 180/6

2026-06-05 · LEI won by 4 wickets (with 14 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Warwickshire, with WAR projected in the 54–62% range and a 58% average. Bookmakers align with that view, pricing WAR at 58% (1.65) vs SUS at 42% (2.20). Key stats lean WAR 3-2 overall, driven by the net run rate and Elo edge plus stronger recent results. Sussex’s better powerplay and death economy is the clearest counterweight if they can control the scoring phases.

Gleeson snaps the chase

Gleeson’s first burst after the powerplay was the match’s hard turn: Sussex had started briskly, but once he struck, the chase unravelled in a hurry. Warwickshire’s 198 for 3 had already asked a big question, and Sussex never got close to answering it, collapsing to 122 all out in 16.3 overs to lose by 76 runs.

Middle overs become a trap

Sussex were right in touch at 59 for 1 after six, scoring at 9.8 an over, but the middle overs became a wicket conveyor belt. From there they stumbled to 61 for 8 through the middle phase, scoring just 6.1 an over as boundaries dried up and new batters couldn’t settle. That squeeze meant even a late surge was impossible; the death overs amounted to 2 for 1 as the innings fizzled out.

Hain sets, Gleeson finishes

Hain’s 68 off 38 was the innings’ anchor without ever slowing the tempo, and his 95-run partnership with Webster (60 off 42) ensured Warwickshire didn’t waste their platform. Robert Yates’ 54 off 27 added the late punch that pushed the total beyond comfort. Then Gleeson’s 4 for 19 provided the knockout blows, with Sussex’s best stand only 35 never threatening to reset the chase.

Warwickshire’s form shows up

Pre-match, Warwickshire’s edge looked tied to recent results and overall strength, but it was expressed in the most T20 way: they won the key phases. Sussex’s supposed advantage—tighter powerplay and death control—never materialised because Warwickshire attacked early (63 for 1 in the powerplay) and still finished strongly. Sussex had a brief window when they were only one down after six, yet Warwickshire’s bowlers hit better lengths and forced risk.