

Match Prediction
Gloucestershire are 4th in the T20B Regular Season on 16 points, while Worcestershire are 7th on 12. GLO’s net run rate is +1.260 compared to WOR’s -0.566. Both teams come in off wins in their most recent matches, setting up a table-shaping contest in the regular-season race.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Gloucestershire lead the last three meetings 2–1. In the most recent clash, Gloucestershire defended 181/4 by restricting Worcestershire to 151/9, turning it into a controlled win built on keeping wickets falling. That match was defined by Worcestershire being held to nine down in the chase rather than a late surge. Across these three games, results have swung, but Gloucestershire have had the edge more often than not.
Gloucestershire
Gloucestershire are 4th in the T20B Regular Season with 16 points. They have won four of five, and their last two wins were emphatic: a 56-run victory followed by a chase finished with 35 balls remaining. The only recent blemish was a narrow defeat where they fell short by 2 runs.
Worcestershire
Worcestershire are 7th in the T20B Regular Season with 12 points. They have responded to a 100-run loss by winning their next two, including a chase completed with 7 balls remaining. The recent pattern is volatility: one heavy defeat followed by back-to-back wins.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Gloucestershire, with the average projection at 60% for GLO. Bookmakers diverge, pricing Gloucestershire at 47% (2.00) vs Worcestershire at 53% (1.80). Key stats lean Gloucestershire 5–1, driven by the table position, net run rate edge, and a slight Elo advantage. The swing factor is whether Worcestershire’s stronger powerplay economy can disrupt Gloucestershire early enough to flip the script.
Jansen shuts the door late
Duan Jansen’s final burst turned a tense chase into a scramble, as Gloucestershire edged Worcestershire by 3 runs in a finish that swung ball by ball. With Sikandar Raza still swinging and the target within reach, Jansen kept finding wickets and forcing new batters to start under pressure. Worcestershire’s last push never settled, and they were bowled out with the line in sight.
Powerplay damage proved fatal
The match was effectively shaped in the first six overs of Worcestershire’s reply. They slipped to 47/4 in the powerplay, and even a steady middle phase couldn’t fully repair that early damage. Gloucestershire’s own innings had wobbled at 51/3, but Charlesworth and Jack Taylor stitched a crucial 59-run stand that lifted them to 148. From there, Worcestershire needed a clean launch; instead, they were chasing from behind almost immediately.
Charlesworth sets, Jansen finishes
Charlesworth’s 50 off 34 was the innings that gave Gloucestershire something to defend, especially after early losses. Taylor’s 26 kept the stand moving without panic, ensuring the total didn’t stall in the middle overs. In the chase, Raza’s 48 off 31 and his 59-run partnership with Adam Hose briefly flipped the mood, but Marchant de Lange’s control (2/21) and Jansen’s 4/37 ensured the final overs were played on Gloucestershire’s terms.
Pre-match edge, on-field pattern
The pre-game lean toward Gloucestershire was built around them being slightly better placed and more consistent overall, and that played out in the moments that mattered: they absorbed a top-order wobble, then won the key passages with the ball. Worcestershire’s stronger powerplay economy on paper didn’t bite enough once Charlesworth got set, and their away momentum met a home side that managed risk better under scoreboard pressure.
GLGloucestershire
138/3
SOSomerset
137/8
YOYorkshire
161/10
GLGloucestershire
217/6
NONorthamptonshire
166/3
GLGloucestershire
164/9
GLGlamorgan
157/8
GLGloucestershire
158/8
GLGloucestershire
121/10
WAWarwickshire
74/10
SOSomerset
164/7
GLGloucestershire
148/8
GLGloucestershire
185/5
SUSussex
189/6
GLGlamorgan
135/10
GLGloucestershire
175/6
MIMiddlesex
189/5
GLGloucestershire
166/7
GLGloucestershire
165/9
SUSurrey
193/7
GL2
WO1
WOWorcestershire
168/8
GLGlamorgan
141/10
WOWorcestershire
142/4
WAWarwickshire
141/10
WOWorcestershire
91/10
NONorthamptonshire
191/10
LELeicestershire
164/4
WOWorcestershire
188/9
WOWorcestershire
206/7
NONottinghamshire
161/10
WOWorcestershire
176/4
LELeicestershire
173/6
WOWorcestershire
153/10
WAWarwickshire
176/10
DEDerbyshire
162/6
WOWorcestershire
174/6
NONorthamptonshire
152/9
WOWorcestershire
153/4
YOYorkshire
233/6
WOWorcestershire
192/10
HAM
6
5-1
20
NOR
4
4-0
16
YOR
5
4-1
16
GLO
5
4-1
16
KEN
4
3-1
12
SUR
6
3-3
12
WOR
4
3-1
12
DER
5
2-3
8
GLA
5
2-3
8
ESS
4
2-2
8
DUR
4
2-2
8
NOT
5
2-3
8
SOM
5
2-3
8
LEI
5
2-3
8
SUS
5
1-4
4
MID
5
1-4
4
LAN
4
1-3
4
WAR
5
0-5
0
HAM
6
5
1
—
+0.855
20
NOR
4
4
0
—
+1.848
16
YOR
5
4
1
—
+1.497
16
GLO
5
4
1
—
+1.260
16
KEN
4
3
1
—
+0.571
12
SUR
6
3
3
—
+0.516
12
WOR
4
3
1
—
-0.566
12
DER
5
2
3
—
+0.856
8
GLA
5
2
3
—
+0.291
8
ESS
4
2
2
—
+0.005
8
DUR
4
2
2
—
-0.309
8
NOT
5
2
3
—
-0.672
8
SOM
5
2
3
—
-0.691
8
LEI
5
2
3
—
-1.397
8
SUS
5
1
4
—
-0.646
4
MID
5
1
4
—
-1.288
4
LAN
4
1
3
—
-1.607
4
WAR
5
0
5
—
-0.878
0
HAMWWWWW
NORWWWW
YORWWWLW
GLOWWLWW
KENWWLW
SURWLLWL
WORWLWW
DERLLWWL
GLALLWWL
ESSLLWW
DURWWLL
NOTLLLWW
SOMWWLLL
LEILLLWW
SUSWLLLL
MIDLLWLL
LANLWLL
WARLLLLL
