

Match Prediction
Lancashire are 17th in the T20B regular season with 4 points and a 1W-3L record. Glamorgan are 9th with 8 points at 2W-3L. LAN’s last outing ended in a 106-run loss, while GLA have mixed a last-ball win with a 27-run defeat in their most recent two. This game tests whether LAN can stabilise after a heavy setback against a side sitting higher on points and net run rate.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
There have been no previous meetings between Lancashire and Glamorgan.
Lancashire
Lancashire are 17th in the T20B regular season with 4 points. Their recent run has swung from a 36-run win to a last-ball defeat, before being followed by a 106-run loss that underlined how quickly their games can get away from them. The immediate question is whether they can reset after being blown away in their latest match.
Glamorgan
Glamorgan are 9th in the T20B regular season with 8 points. Their last three include two wins, highlighted by a chase that went to the final ball, before a 27-run defeat in their most recent match. The pattern is a team capable of closing tight finishes, but not immune when the game gets away from them.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Glamorgan, with the average call at 60% for GLA (range 56–66%). Bookmakers diverge, pricing Lancashire at 58% (1.65) vs Glamorgan at 42% (2.25). Key stats lean Glamorgan 4-3 overall, driven by their edge on points, net run rate, Elo, and recent win rate. The match likely turns on whether LAN’s better economy across phases can offset GLA’s stronger season output and recent ability to win close games.
Cooke’s last-ball heist
Chris Cooke’s late surge was the decisive twist, hauling Glamorgan over the line by 2 wickets with no ball to spare after a chase that veered wildly between control and chaos. Lancashire looked to have done enough when Liam Livingstone’s spell tightened the screws and wickets fell in a clump, but Cooke’s clean striking reset the equation and left Glamorgan needing only composure at the very end.
Middle overs: Livingstone clamps down
The chase was effectively won and nearly lost in Glamorgan’s middle overs. After racing to 75/1 in the powerplay, they hit a wall as Livingstone ripped through the innings with 3/13, dragging the run-rate down while Glamorgan slipped to 142/5 after 15 overs. That squeeze forced a high-risk finish, but Glamorgan still found 60 in the last five overs, a death-overs surge that ultimately outweighed the earlier stall.
Livingstone stars, Cooke finishes
Livingstone was the match’s standout, smashing 81 off 37 and then nearly defending it himself with a miserly four-over spell. But Cooke’s 45 off 15 changed the chase’s shape in minutes, turning a required-rate squeeze into a winnable final over. Sean Dickson’s 44 off 31 provided the bridge after the early dash, while James Neesham’s 3/24 kept Lancashire from running away when Livingstone threatened to do exactly that.
Why the pre-match lean held
The build-up suggested Glamorgan were better placed to win tight games, and this match followed that script: they absorbed pressure, then finished harder. Lancashire’s bowlers were expected to be more economical, and for a stretch they were — especially once Livingstone came on — yet Glamorgan’s superior scoring bursts at the top and end (75 in the powerplay, 60 at the death) overcame the quieter middle.
YOYorkshire
213/7
LALancashire
107/10
LALancashire
145/9
LELeicestershire
146/8
LALancashire
208/4
NONottinghamshire
172/9
SUSurrey
213/6
LALancashire
154/10
LALancashire
159/10
SOSomerset
182/7
LALancashire
156/7
KEKent
153/10
NONottinghamshire
127/6
LALancashire
126/10
YOYorkshire
153/10
LALancashire
174/10
LALancashire
156/7
DUDurham
155/6
LALancashire
217/7
YOYorkshire
236/6
WOWorcestershire
168/8
GLGlamorgan
141/10
SOSomerset
202/6
GLGlamorgan
203/6
GLGlamorgan
175/3
SOSomerset
171/9
GLGlamorgan
157/8
GLGloucestershire
158/8
NONorthamptonshire
165/8
GLGlamorgan
162/8
GLGlamorgan
184/9
MIMiddlesex
132/10
GLGlamorgan
135/10
GLGloucestershire
175/6
SUSurrey
224/4
GLGlamorgan
222/6
HAHampshire
208/4
GLGlamorgan
113/10
GLGlamorgan
122/4
KEKent
118/9
HAM
6
5-1
20
NOR
4
4-0
16
YOR
5
4-1
16
GLO
5
4-1
16
KEN
4
3-1
12
SUR
6
3-3
12
WOR
4
3-1
12
DER
5
2-3
8
GLA
5
2-3
8
ESS
4
2-2
8
DUR
4
2-2
8
NOT
5
2-3
8
SOM
5
2-3
8
LEI
5
2-3
8
SUS
5
1-4
4
MID
5
1-4
4
LAN
4
1-3
4
WAR
5
0-5
0
HAM
6
5
1
—
+0.855
20
NOR
4
4
0
—
+1.848
16
YOR
5
4
1
—
+1.497
16
GLO
5
4
1
—
+1.260
16
KEN
4
3
1
—
+0.571
12
SUR
6
3
3
—
+0.516
12
WOR
4
3
1
—
-0.566
12
DER
5
2
3
—
+0.856
8
GLA
5
2
3
—
+0.291
8
ESS
4
2
2
—
+0.005
8
DUR
4
2
2
—
-0.309
8
NOT
5
2
3
—
-0.672
8
SOM
5
2
3
—
-0.691
8
LEI
5
2
3
—
-1.397
8
SUS
5
1
4
—
-0.646
4
MID
5
1
4
—
-1.288
4
LAN
4
1
3
—
-1.607
4
WAR
5
0
5
—
-0.878
0
HAMWWWWW
NORWWWW
YORWWWLW
GLOWWLWW
KENWWLW
SURWLLWL
WORWLWW
DERLLWWL
GLALLWWL
ESSLLWW
DURWWLL
NOTLLLWW
SOMWWLLL
LEILLLWW
SUSWLLLL
MIDLLWLL
LANLWLL
WARLLLLL
