Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Warwickshire W lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, Somerset W won by 7 wickets with 10 balls remaining after chasing down Warwickshire’s 166/9 with 167/3. The defining detail was how comfortably Somerset finished the chase, leaving a full 10 balls unused. The wider pattern is mixed: Warwickshire have won two of the last three, but Somerset took the latest one convincingly.

WAWarwickshire W 166/9

SOSomerset W 167/3

2026-05-24 · SOM-W won by 7 wickets (with 10 balls remaining)

SOSomerset W 127/9

WAWarwickshire W 149/8

2025-07-11 · WAR-W won by 22 runs

WAWarwickshire W 172/9

SOSomerset W 103/10

2025-06-06 · WAR-W won by 69 runs

Somerset W

Somerset W are 4th in the T20BW Regular Season on 15 points. Their last three matches show a 2-1 run, including a chase they completed with 3 balls remaining, but also a heavy defeat where Lancashire won with 27 balls left. The recent feel is competitive but not flawless: they can close chases, yet they’ve also been outpaced badly once.

SOSomerset W 154/6

SUSurrey W 153/5

2026-05-31 · SOM-W won by 4 wickets (with 3 balls remaining)

SOSomerset W 137/6

LALancashire W 138/3

2026-05-29 · LAN-W won by 7 wickets (with 27 balls remaining)

SOSomerset W 177/5

YOYorkshire W 138/9

2026-05-27 · SOM-W on by 39 runs

Warwickshire W

Warwickshire W are 9th in the T20BW Regular Season with 0 points and a 0W-5L record. Their last three matches are all losses, including an 11-run defeat to The Blaze W and a 27-run loss to Durham W. The pattern is sustained pressure with no results, and they haven’t found a way to turn close enough games into wins.

WAWarwickshire W 138/5

TBThe Blaze W 151/7

2026-06-05 · TB-W won by 11 runs

WAWarwickshire W 113/10

DUDurham W 140/5

2026-05-29 · DUR-W won by 27 runs

WAWarwickshire W 158/8

TBThe Blaze W 159/6

2026-05-27 · TB-W won by 4 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split at the headline level, but the consensus leans Somerset W, with the model average at 66% for Somerset. Bookmakers also lean Somerset, pricing them at 62% (1.52) vs Warwickshire at 38% (2.38). Key stats favour Somerset 5-3 overall; the matchup hinges on whether Somerset’s stronger season position and recent wins outweigh Warwickshire’s 2-1 edge in the last three head-to-heads.

Holland keeps the chase calm

Niamh Holland took control just when Somerset’s chase threatened to wobble, turning a brisk start into a composed finish. After Warwickshire posted 123/8, Somerset’s top order traded early boundaries for two powerplay wickets, but Holland’s clean hitting and smart placement ensured the asking rate never spiked. With Anika Learoyd alongside, she guided Somerset to a five-wicket win with 22 balls still in the bank.

Warwickshire’s middle-overs stall

The match was decided in Warwickshire’s innings between overs 7 and 16, when they lost six wickets for 52 and bled momentum they never recovered. From a decent 42/2 in the powerplay, Somerset’s bowlers tightened lengths and forced risks, dragging the run rate down to 5.2 through the middle. Even a late 29-run push without further loss couldn’t repair the damage, because the platform had already collapsed.

Barnes, Skelton set the tone

Olivia Barnes (2/20) and Chloe Skelton (2/26) were the difference-makers with the ball, breaking Warwickshire’s middle order and keeping the boundary count in check. For Warwickshire, Mary Taylor fought on with 32 from 32 and returned tidy figures of 1/10, while Meg Austin’s 31 added urgency late. But Holland’s 42 and the 54-run partnership with Learoyd ensured Somerset always had the final say.

Pre-match edge plays out

Somerset arrived with the better recent form and a healthier net run-rate profile, and that showed in how they controlled the game’s tempo. Warwickshire’s recent losses hinted at fragility under sustained pressure, and Somerset’s bowlers exploited it by keeping the ball in play and attacking the stumps rather than chasing miracle deliveries. The chase, too, reflected Somerset’s season: aggressive early intent, then a calm reset once wickets fell.