CPL ·Qualifier 1
Finished
76/10
(15 ov)
77/1
(5.2 ov)
Antigua & Barbuda Falcons won by 9 wickets (with 88 balls remaining)
1
·4·66·
16 runs
2
···161
8 runs
3
64466·
26 runs
4
·64·1nb46
21 runs
5
·W·4··
4 runs
6
·2
2 runs
Batting
RB4s6sSR
A. Jangoo
4 4 1 0 100
E. Lewis
23 13 2 2 176.9
Bowling
OMRWEcon
M. Miraz
1.2 4 10 0 7.5
I. Tahir
2 8 20 1 10
MATCH STATS GAW ABF
PP 34/1 (5.7) 77/1 (14)
Middle 42/9 (4.7) —
Death — —
4s 6 6
6s 1 8
Dots 43% 42%
Extras 7 1
Best P'ship 27(10) 71(1)
Runs
GAWABF
30609012015005101520
🗓
Date and time 18/09/2026 · 00:00
🏆
Competition Caribbean Premier League · Qualifier 1
🏟
Venue Kensington Oval, Bridgetown
🌤
Weather
🌡 27°C💧 82%☁️ 29%💨 16 km/h
🪙
Toss Antigua & Barbuda Falcons won the toss, elected to bowling
👤
Umpire 1 Gregory Brathwaite
👤
Umpire 2 Leslie Reifer
📺
TV Umpire Christopher Taylor
🎖
Referee Reon King

Guyana Amazon Warriors and Antigua & Barbuda Falcons meet at Kensington Oval, Bridgetown, with both teams carrying winning records into the contest. GAW’s season line reads 8 wins and 2 losses, alongside a +0.781 net run rate. ABF sit at 6 wins and 3 losses with a -0.364 net run rate. The official XIs are already in, and the toss has been won by the Falcons, who will bowl first. With the models split across different inputs but aligned on a favourite, the match sets up as a test of whether season-long strength holds up against a matchup that has recently gone the other way.

Toss & Conditions

🪙 Antigua & Barbuda Falcons won toss, elected bowling
🏟 Kensington Oval, Bridgetown
🌡 27°C💧 82%☁️ 29%💨 16 km/h🌧 0.1mm

Across all men’s T20 matches at Kensington Oval, the average first-innings total is 170.7 from 44 games. Chasing teams have won 52% of those matches, which points to no meaningful toss advantage either way. The forecast at the start is 27.0°C with 82.0% humidity, 29.0% cloud cover, wind at 15.5 km/h and 0.1 mm precipitation; in warm and humid games at this venue, first-innings totals have averaged 171.6, essentially the same as the ground’s overall 170.7. Antigua & Barbuda Falcons have chosen to bowl, and the numbers suggest a first-innings target around the venue norm is the clearest reference point rather than any conditions-driven swing in scoring.

Head-to-Head

Across the last three head-to-head meetings, Antigua & Barbuda Falcons have won two and Guyana Amazon Warriors one. The most recent clash came earlier this month, and it was the Falcons who controlled it from the moment they set a total, finishing with a 65-run win. That result was built on ABF batting first and leaving GAW with too much to do. In late August, the Warriors answered back by chasing a small target and winning by seven wickets with 61 balls still unused. Going back to September last year, the Falcons edged another chase, getting home by four wickets with five balls remaining, so the broader pattern is ABF finding ways to finish chases and, most recently, dominating when they’ve had the chance to set the game up with the bat.

Guyana Amazon Warriors

NRR +0.781WLWWL→

Guyana Amazon Warriors are top of the table on 16 points, with an 8–2 record and a +0.781 net run rate. Their last three games have swung from two tight chases to a stumble, most recently losing to Barbados Tridents by six wickets with 31 balls remaining. That defeat came after GAW batted first and couldn’t put enough on the board, a reminder that their margin for error narrows quickly when the top order doesn’t build. Just before that, they chased down Trinbago Knight Riders with eight balls to spare, and earlier they got past Saint Lucia Kings by four wickets with nine balls left, showing they’ve still been finding finishes under pressure.

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons

NRR -0.364WLWWW→

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons come in off a three-match winning run, and the latest of those was the emphatic 65-run win in this matchup after they batted first. Before that, they defended a total against Trinbago Knight Riders to win by eight runs, and earlier they beat Barbados Tridents by 30 runs, again setting the game up with the bat. In the standings, ABF have a 6–3 record with a -0.364 net run rate, so the recent results have been strong even if the overall run-rate picture is less flattering. With the toss going their way and a decision to bowl, they’ll be looking to keep that momentum while leaning on a side that has been winning close games as well as posting defendable totals.

Playing XI

Guyana Amazon Warriors have named a XI that brings Mohammad Haris and Khary Pierre into the side, with Dwaine Pretorius and Veerasammy Permaul the two to miss out from the previous match. The spine of the group is led by Mehidy Hasan Miraz, with Shai Hope and Glenn Phillips also rated as the top three by impact in this lineup. Hope is the designated wicketkeeper in the XI, with Haris and Phillips also included as keeper options.

Playing XI
CareerCareer impact per match: runs + wickets + strike-rate, across the player's whole record. Higher is better.FormThe same impact score over the player's last 5 matches — current form rather than career. Higher is better.
Mehidy Hasan Miraz
Mehidy Hasan Miraz
Allrounder
31.543.6
Shai Hope
Shai HopeWK
Wicketkeeper
31.221.9
Glenn Phillips
Glenn Phillips
Wicketkeeper
30.120.5
Romario Shepherd
Romario Shepherd
Allrounder
27.928.3
Shamar Joseph
Shamar Joseph
Bowler
26.428
Shimron Hetmyer
Shimron Hetmyer
Batsman
25.69.9
Imran Tahir
Imran TahirC
Bowler
23.631
Mohammad Haris
Mohammad Haris
Wicketkeeper
22.930.6
Khary Pierre
Khary Pierre
Allrounder
21.921
Quentin Sampson
Quentin Sampson
Bowler
19.819.3
Mavendra Dindyal
Mavendra Dindyal
Batsman
——

Antigua & Barbuda Falcons make two changes from their last outing, drafting in Rahkeem Cornwall and Shamar Springer while Karima Gore and Jayden Seales drop out. Shadab Khan tops their impact list, with Moeen Ali and Cornwall next in line among the key names. The XI also includes Amir Jangoo as the wicketkeeper.

Playing XI
CareerCareer impact per match: runs + wickets + strike-rate, across the player's whole record. Higher is better.FormThe same impact score over the player's last 5 matches — current form rather than career. Higher is better.
Shadab Khan
Shadab Khan
Allrounder
34.640.3
Moeen Ali
Moeen AliC
Allrounder
28.526.7
Rahkeem Cornwall
Rahkeem Cornwall
Allrounder
27.333.7
Hasan Nawaz
Hasan Nawaz
Batsman
26.131.4
Sufiyan Muqeem
Sufiyan Muqeem
Bowler
25.724
Shamar Springer
Shamar Springer
Bowler
25.622.7
Alzarri Joseph
Alzarri Joseph
Bowler
25.527.6
Amir Jangoo
Amir JangooWK
Wicketkeeper
24.226.8
Evin Lewis
Evin Lewis
Batsman
20.723.2
Fabian Allen
Fabian Allen
Allrounder
2014.2
Joshua James
Joshua James
Allrounder
——

Key Stats

GAWABF
NRR +0.78 -0.36
EloOverall strength rating built from past results against the quality of opponents. Higher is stronger. 1596 1577
Form (last 5) 3/5 4/5
H2H (last 4) 2/4 2/4
Key PlayersCombined strength of each team's top-3 players by career impact (runs + wickets + strike-rate). Higher is better. 30.9 30.1
Player FormThe same top-3 players' impact over their last 5 matches — recent form rather than career. Higher is better. 28.7 33.5
Total score 3 2

Prediction

Current prediction, after the playing XI and toss

All four models side with Guyana Amazon Warriors, with the model average at 57% for GAW versus 43% for ABF. Bookmakers are closer to a coin flip: GAW are priced at 52% (1.80) and ABF at 48% (1.92), leaving a 5.0 percentage-point gap in favour of GAW versus the market. The Key Stats card has it level at "GAW 3 - 3 ABF", which fits a matchup where different indicators pull in different directions. The models’ lean is driven by GAW’s stronger net run rate and a small Elo edge, while ABF’s recent form and the head-to-head trend keep the contest tight. If the Warriors’ top-end impact trio can turn their season-long efficiency into a first-innings platform, they’ll justify that model edge; if not, the Falcons’ recent ability to control games after setting totals keeps them live.

GAWABF
60% ML 40%
57% AI 1 43%
53% AI 2 47%
58% Math 42%
52% Books 48%

Muqeem rips out the middle

Sufiyan Muqeem set the tone with a spell that never let Guyana Amazon Warriors reset, and Antigua & Barbuda Falcons turned it into a 9-wicket win with 88 balls remaining. After a steady enough start, the Warriors’ innings unravelled in a rush, leaving a chase so small that Cornwall could play without compromise. The Falcons finished it in 5.2 overs, with the result effectively sealed long before the halfway mark of the second innings.

42/9 after the powerplay

The match swung hard in the middle overs, where Guyana went from 34/1 in the powerplay to 76 all out—losing nine wickets for 42 runs. Muqeem (4/13) and Shadab Khan (4/16) owned that phase, repeatedly breaking any attempt at a rebuild and keeping boundaries scarce. Even the Warriors’ best stand—27 between Shamar Joseph and Romario Shepherd—only briefly slowed the slide before another cluster of wickets ended any hope of batting deep.

Cornwall finishes, Muqeem leads

Muqeem was the innings-defining figure, using four tight overs to turn a competitive start into a collapse. Shadab matched him for impact, ensuring there was no safe matchup for right- or left-handers. Then Cornwall made the chase brutally short, smashing 49 from 16 at a strike rate over 300, while Evin Lewis’ 24 off 13 kept the tempo high in their 71-run stand that ended the contest almost as soon as it began.

Batting
RBSR
Rahkeem Cornwall
Rahkeem Cornwall
ABF Batsman
4916306
Evin Lewis
Evin Lewis
ABF Batsman
2413185
Glenn Phillips
Glenn Phillips
GAW Batsman
1615107
Bowling
WREcon
Sufiyan Muqeem
Sufiyan Muqeem
ABF Bowler
4133.3
Shadab Khan
Shadab Khan
ABF Bowler
4164.0
Joshua James
Joshua James
ABF Bowler
111.0

Numbers favoured GAW, game didn’t

Pre-match indicators leaned Guyana’s way on season-long efficiency and a small ratings edge, but this game was decided by what happened once the field spread. The Warriors needed their top order to convert a platform into a defendable total; instead, the innings stalled immediately after the powerplay and never recovered. Antigua’s recent knack for controlling games showed up again: once they had wickets in hand and a tiny target, there was no scenario where pressure could build.

ML
GAW 60% ❌
AI 1
GAW 57% ❌
AI 2
GAW 53% ❌
Math
GAW 58% ❌
Books
GAW 52% ❌
Playing XI
Imran Tahir
Imran TahirC Bowler
Shai Hope
Shai HopeWK Wicketkeeper
Romario Shepherd
Romario Shepherd Bowling Allrounder
Shimron Hetmyer
Shimron Hetmyer Batsman
Mavendra Dindyal
Mavendra Dindyal Batsman
Khary Pierre
Khary Pierre Allrounder
Mehidy Hasan Miraz
Mehidy Hasan Miraz Allrounder
Quentin Sampson
Quentin Sampson Bowler
Shamar Joseph
Shamar Joseph Bowler
Glenn Phillips
Glenn Phillips Wicketkeeper
Mohammad Haris
Mohammad Haris Wicketkeeper
Rest of Squad
Dwaine Pretorius
Dwaine Pretorius Allrounder
Matthew Nandu
Matthew Nandu Allrounder
Mohammad Nabi
Mohammad Nabi Allrounder
Ronaldo Alimohamed
Ronaldo Alimohamed Allrounder
Isai Thorne
Isai Thorne Bowler
Johnathan Van Lange
Johnathan Van Lange Bowler
Veerasammy Permaul
Veerasammy Permaul Bowler
Rahmanullah Gurbaz
Rahmanullah Gurbaz Wicketkeeper
Playing XI
Moeen Ali
Moeen AliC Allrounder
Amir Jangoo
Amir JangooWK Wicketkeeper
Hasan Nawaz
Hasan Nawaz Top Order Batter
Evin Lewis
Evin Lewis Batsman
Fabian Allen
Fabian Allen Allrounder
Joshua James
Joshua James Allrounder
Rahkeem Cornwall
Rahkeem Cornwall Allrounder
Shadab Khan
Shadab Khan Allrounder
Alzarri Joseph
Alzarri Joseph Bowler
Shamar Springer
Shamar Springer Bowler
Sufiyan Muqeem
Sufiyan Muqeem Bowler
Rest of Squad
Jayden Seales
Jayden Seales Batsman
Kusal Perera
Kusal Perera Batsman
Tim Robinson
Tim Robinson Batsman
Milind Kumar
Milind Kumar Allrounder
Tajinder Singh
Tajinder Singh Allrounder
Anderson Mahase
Anderson Mahase Bowler
Anderson Phillip
Anderson Phillip Bowler
Karima Gore
Karima Gore Bowler
Usama Mir
Usama Mir Bowler
Jahmar Hamilton
Jahmar Hamilton Wicketkeeper