Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

In the last three meetings, Nottinghamshire lead 2-1. In the most recent clash, Derbyshire beat Nottinghamshire by 46 runs after posting 199/5 and leaving Nottinghamshire 46 short at 153/9. The match was defined by Derbyshire’s higher total and Nottinghamshire losing nine wickets while chasing. Across these three games, results have swung both ways, including a D/L-method Nottinghamshire win and an 8-run Nottinghamshire win.

NONottinghamshire 153/9

DEDerbyshire 199/5

2025-06-13 · DER won by 46 runs

DEDerbyshire 162/9

NONottinghamshire 120/3

2025-06-06 · NOT won by 7 wickets (with 7 balls remaining) (D/L method)

NONottinghamshire 173/5

DEDerbyshire 165/8

2024-06-21 · NOT won by 8 runs

Derbyshire

Derbyshire are 8th in the T20B regular season on 4 points with a 1W-2L record. Their last outing was a dominant 85-run win over Leicestershire, a sharp response after two close defeats: a 2-wicket loss with 4 balls left against Yorkshire and a 6-run loss to Durham. The recent pattern is high-scoring games where small margins have decided results until that latest blowout.

DEDerbyshire 230/5

LELeicestershire 145/10

2026-05-27 · DER won by 85 runs

DEDerbyshire 194/4

YOYorkshire 195/8

2026-05-24 · YOR won by 2 wickets (with 4 balls remaining)

DEDerbyshire 197/8

DUDurham 203/8

2026-05-22 · DUR won by 6 runs

Nottinghamshire

Nottinghamshire are 17th in the T20B regular season with 0 points from a 0W-2L record. Their last two games have been clear defeats: 36 runs against Lancashire and 7 wickets against Yorkshire with 21 balls remaining. The immediate form line is pressure on both innings, with opponents controlling chases and totals against them.

NONottinghamshire 172/9

LALancashire 208/4

2026-05-25 · LAN won by 36 runs

NONottinghamshire 167/7

YOYorkshire 169/3

2026-05-22 · YOR won by 7 wickets (with 21 balls remaining)

NONottinghamshire 127/6

LALancashire 126/10

2025-07-18 · NOT won by 4 wickets (with 28 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Derbyshire, with the average probability at 62% (range 58–66%). Bookmakers diverge, pricing Derbyshire at 41% (2.25) vs Nottinghamshire at 59% (1.57). Key stats narrowly favour Nottinghamshire 4-3 overall, driven by better economy splits and a 2-1 edge in the last three H2Hs. Derbyshire’s stronger points/NRR profile versus Nottinghamshire’s early-season losses sets up a clash between current-season momentum and matchup trends.

Donald’s powerplay blitz

Aneurin Donald’s 31-ball 84 was the decisive act, ripping the game away before Nottinghamshire could settle. Derbyshire’s innings never dipped into recovery mode, and even a spirited chase led by Tom Moores couldn’t fully undo the early deficit as Derbyshire closed out a 23-run win.

Powerplay gap proves fatal

The match was essentially decided in the first six overs of each innings. Derbyshire thundered to 82/0 in the powerplay, with Donald’s clean striking forcing Nottinghamshire’s bowlers off their lengths and into damage control. Nottinghamshire, by contrast, stumbled to 41/2, leaving their middle overs to function as a catch-up rather than a platform. Even though the visitors scored at 11.1 an over through the middle and 14.8 at the death, the chase was already chasing a runaway start.

Donald and Andersson set it up

Donald’s assault was amplified by Martin Andersson’s 69 off 43, their 108-run partnership turning a good start into a match-defining one. Moores kept Nottinghamshire alive with a 34-ball 75, but Derbyshire’s bowlers did just enough at the back end: Ben Aitchison and Nick Potts took two wickets apiece, and those breakthroughs ensured the late surge never became a final-over scramble.

Pre-match edge, flipped matchup

The build-up suggested Derbyshire’s season momentum could outweigh Nottinghamshire’s tidier bowling splits, and that’s exactly how it played out: Derbyshire made the powerplay a batting contest, not a bowling one. Nottinghamshire’s attack, expected to be sharper early, couldn’t land the new-ball squeeze, and once Donald had them on the back foot the innings kept accelerating. The chase showed Nottinghamshire had enough batting to apply pressure, but the early wickets meant they were always one quiet over away from falling behind.