

Match Prediction
Glamorgan are 6th in the T20B Regular Season on 20 points with a 5W-3L record and a +0.467 NRR. Worcestershire are 9th on 20 points with a 5W-4L record and a -0.043 NRR. Glamorgan come in off three straight wins. Worcestershire’s last three include two wins and one loss.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
The last two meetings are split 1-1. In the most recent head-to-head, Worcestershire won by 27 runs after making 168/8 and bowling Glamorgan out for 141. That game turned on Glamorgan being dismissed rather than completing the chase. The previous meeting went the other way, with Glamorgan winning by 6 wickets with 2 balls remaining after chasing 190/3.
Glamorgan
Glamorgan are 6th in the T20B Regular Season on 20 points. They are on a three-match winning streak, including a last-outing chase where they won by 7 wickets with 7 balls remaining. The run of results includes a two-wicket win with 0 ball remaining, showing they’ve also won tight finishes.
Worcestershire
Worcestershire are 9th in the T20B Regular Season on 20 points. Their last three matches include two wins, highlighted by an 83-run victory after bowling Kent out for 59. The same stretch also includes a 59-run defeat away to Warwickshire, showing their recent results have swung sharply.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Glamorgan, with the average probability at 63% for GLA. Bookmakers agree, pricing Glamorgan at 59% (1.60) vs Worcestershire at 41% (2.30). Key stats lean Glamorgan 4-1 overall, driven by the NRR gap and edges in mid-overs and death-overs economy. The match likely turns on whether Worcestershire can repeat the last head-to-head pattern of forcing Glamorgan into a chase-ending collapse.
Roderick sets the trap
Gareth Roderick’s 71 off 43 was the innings that turned a scrappy Worcestershire effort into a defendable total, and it proved decisive as they won by 15 runs. Glamorgan’s chase began at a sprint, but once the early momentum was checked, the target started to feel bigger with every dot ball. Even Ben Kellaway’s late counterpunch couldn’t prevent the finishing line arriving too soon at 146 all out in 19.2 overs.
Fateh Singh owns the middle
The match swung in Glamorgan’s middle overs, where a chase that promised 160-plus pace slowed sharply. After 56/3 in the powerplay, they managed only 64/5 through the middle phase (overs 7–15), and the required rate crept beyond comfortable hitting range. Fateh Singh was central to that squeeze: his 3 for 17 in 3.2 overs combined control with wickets, ensuring Glamorgan never got a stable platform or a set batter to launch from.
Kellaway shines, but Roderick wins
Kellaway was everywhere—43 off 26 kept Glamorgan in touch and his 3 for 24 briefly threatened to cap Worcestershire at a chaseable score. But Roderick’s boundary rate through the back half of the innings, and Worcestershire’s late-innings intent (39 runs in the death overs), gave their bowlers a cushion. Fateh then applied the decisive pressure, while Worcestershire’s attack collectively forced the miscues that ended Glamorgan’s resistance.
Pre-match edges didn’t translate
On paper Glamorgan’s recent form and projected bowling control suggested they could dictate terms, especially with Worcestershire’s death-overs numbers looking vulnerable. Instead, Worcestershire flipped the script: their bowlers were tighter than expected up front and, crucially, struck often enough to stop partnerships forming—Glamorgan’s best stand was only 37. With wickets constantly falling, the chase became a series of short bursts rather than a planned pursuit.
GLGlamorgan
187/3
WAWarwickshire
184/4
GLGlamorgan
159/3
MIMiddlesex
153/7
LALancashire
201/8
GLGlamorgan
202/8
WOWorcestershire
168/8
GLGlamorgan
141/10
SOSomerset
202/6
GLGlamorgan
203/6
GLGlamorgan
175/3
SOSomerset
171/9
GLGlamorgan
157/8
GLGloucestershire
158/8
NONorthamptonshire
165/8
GLGlamorgan
162/8
GLGlamorgan
184/9
MIMiddlesex
132/10
GLGlamorgan
135/10
GLGloucestershire
175/6
GL1
WO1
WOWorcestershire
142/7
KEKent
59/10
WOWorcestershire
180/5
SOSomerset
144/9
WAWarwickshire
224/10
WOWorcestershire
165/7
NONorthamptonshire
162/4
WOWorcestershire
154/5
GLGloucestershire
148/7
WOWorcestershire
145/10
WOWorcestershire
168/8
GLGlamorgan
141/10
WOWorcestershire
142/4
WAWarwickshire
141/10
WOWorcestershire
91/10
NONorthamptonshire
191/10
LELeicestershire
164/4
WOWorcestershire
188/9
WOWorcestershire
206/7
NONottinghamshire
161/10
NOR
8
8-0
32
GLO
9
6-3
24
HAM
8
6-2
24
NOT
9
6-3
24
YOR
9
5-3
22
GLA
8
5-3
20
SUR
9
5-4
20
ESS
9
5-4
20
WOR
9
5-4
20
KEN
9
4-5
16
LAN
9
4-5
16
DUR
8
3-5
12
WAR
9
3-6
12
SOM
8
3-5
12
LEI
8
3-5
12
DER
8
2-5
10
SUS
9
2-7
8
MID
8
1-7
4
NOR
8
8
0
—
+2.142
32
GLO
9
6
3
—
+0.793
24
HAM
8
6
2
—
+0.594
24
NOT
9
6
3
—
+0.199
24
YOR
9
5
3
—
+0.750
22
GLA
8
5
3
—
+0.467
20
SUR
9
5
4
—
+0.311
20
ESS
9
5
4
—
+0.149
20
WOR
9
5
4
—
-0.043
20
KEN
9
4
5
—
-0.418
16
LAN
9
4
5
—
-0.605
16
DUR
8
3
5
—
+0.396
12
WAR
9
3
6
—
+0.209
12
SOM
8
3
5
—
-0.563
12
LEI
8
3
5
—
-1.344
12
DER
8
2
5
—
+0.446
10
SUS
9
2
7
—
-1.487
8
MID
8
1
7
—
-2.002
4
NORWWWWW
GLOWWLLW
HAMWWWWL
NOTWWWWW
YORWLLDW
GLAWLWWW
SURWLWWL
ESSWWLLW
WORLLLWW
KENLLLWL
LANLWWWL
DURLLLWL
WARLWWWL
SOMLLLWL
LEIWWWLL
DERWLLDL
SUSLWLLL
MIDLLLLL
