Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Gloucestershire have won all of the last three head-to-head meetings against Warwickshire. In the most recent meeting, Gloucestershire won by 47 runs after Warwickshire were dismissed for 74. That match was defined by Warwickshire being bowled out cheaply in the chase. The broader pattern is one-way: Gloucestershire have taken every recent result in this matchup.

GLGloucestershire 121/10

WAWarwickshire 74/10

2026-05-22 · GLO won by 47 runs

WAWarwickshire 124/9

GLGloucestershire 138/10

2024-09-06 · GLO won by 14 runs

GLGloucestershire 173/6

WAWarwickshire 123/10

2020-09-15 · GLO won by 50 runs

Warwickshire

Warwickshire are 13th in the T20B Regular Season on 12 points with a 3W-6L record. Their last three show momentum: two heavy wins were followed by a tight defeat where they fell just short while chasing 188. The clearest signal is the 76-run win over Sussex, built on bowling the opposition out for 122.

WAWarwickshire 184/4

GLGlamorgan 187/3

2026-07-03 · GLA won by 7 wickets (with 7 balls remaining)

WAWarwickshire 198/3

SUSussex 122/10

2026-07-01 · WAR won by 76 runs

WAWarwickshire 224/10

WOWorcestershire 165/7

2026-06-26 · WAR won by 59 runs

Gloucestershire

Gloucestershire are 2nd in the T20B Regular Season on 24 points with a 6W-3L record. Their last three have been uneven: two losses were followed by a statement 57-run win over Surrey. That latest result was driven by bowling Surrey out for 134 after posting 191/5.

GLGloucestershire 191/5

SUSurrey 134/10

2026-07-04 · GLO won by 57 runs

GLGloucestershire 184/2

NONorthamptonshire 187/2

2026-07-01 · NOR won by 8 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

GLGloucestershire 176/7

SOSomerset 194/7

2026-06-26 · SOM won by 18 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Gloucestershire, with the average probability at 60% for GLO. Bookmakers diverge sharply, pricing Warwickshire at 62% (1.55) vs Gloucestershire at 38% (2.45). Key stats lean Gloucestershire 6-2 overall, driven by their stronger season position and a clean sweep in the last three head-to-heads. Warwickshire’s recent uptick is real, but this matchup has recently been defined by Gloucestershire controlling the key moments.

Webster-Mousley seize control

Beau Webster’s clean striking, backed by Dan Mousley’s fearless tempo, flipped the match in Warwickshire’s favour after an early wobble. Their 124-run partnership turned a cautious start into a platform Gloucestershire couldn’t dent, and the hosts’ 203 proved beyond reach despite a brisk opening to the chase. Gloucestershire threatened early, but Warwickshire’s bowlers held their nerve to close out a 30-run win.

Tariq’s middle-overs squeeze

The game was decided in Gloucestershire’s middle overs: from 56/0 in the powerplay, they slid to 117/4 as wickets and dots piled up. Usman Tariq was the key, conceding just 12 in his four overs while taking 3 wickets, repeatedly forcing batters to hit against the turn rather than through the line. Even when the required rate spiked, Gloucestershire couldn’t rebuild a partnership big enough to match Warwickshire’s earlier surge.

Webster sets, Tariq finishes

Webster’s 79 off 44 was the innings that changed the ceiling of the match, and Mousley’s 72 off 36 ensured it wasn’t a lone effort — their stand turned a manageable total into a daunting one. The decisive moment came as Gloucestershire tried to reset after the powerplay: Tariq’s spell cut through momentum and options, leaving too much for the final phase. Jack Taylor’s 48 off 28 provided a late flicker, but the damage was already done.

Why the script flipped

Pre-match numbers leaned Gloucestershire: better recent head-to-heads and a stronger season profile suggested they’d control the key moments. They even began like it, racing at 9.3 an over in the powerplay. But Warwickshire’s recent uptick showed in how they dominated the match’s most volatile period — the middle. Gloucestershire’s attack also couldn’t contain the Webster-Mousley counterpunch, and once that stand landed, the chase needed near-perfect execution.