

Match Prediction
Somerset are #15 in the T20B Regular Season on 8 points with a 2W-4L record and NRR -0.621. Gloucestershire are #2 on 20 points with a 5W-1L record and NRR +1.066. Somerset come in off three straight losses, including a defeat to Gloucestershire. Gloucestershire bring momentum from three straight wins and a higher table position.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
Somerset lead the last three meetings 2-1. In the most recent clash, Gloucestershire won by 7 wickets with 35 balls remaining after holding Somerset to 137/8. That game was defined by Somerset losing wickets and failing to post a bigger total, which left Gloucestershire a manageable chase. Across the last three, results have swung, with both teams taking wins in different venues.
Somerset
Somerset are #15 in the T20B Regular Season with 8 points. They are on a three-match losing run, with two of those defeats coming in last-ball finishes. Their most telling recent result was the loss to Gloucestershire where they were restricted to 137/8 and then beaten with 35 balls still left.
Gloucestershire
Gloucestershire are #2 in the T20B Regular Season with 20 points. They are on a three-match winning streak, including a 3-run win over Worcestershire that shows they can close tight games. The most telling recent result is the win over Somerset where they chased with 35 balls remaining after keeping Somerset to 137/8.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Gloucestershire, with the model average at GLO 66% (range 57–74%). Bookmakers diverge, pricing Somerset at 59% (1.60) vs Gloucestershire at 41% (2.25). Key stats lean Gloucestershire 6-2 overall; their stronger season position and current win streak are the main drivers. Somerset’s recent head-to-head edge is a counter, but they need to reverse their current slide to make it matter.
Rew’s rescue act, then control
James Rew flipped the match on its head after Somerset slumped early, counterpunching with a 56-ball 117 that changed the mood of the night. Gloucestershire’s chase briefly looked ahead of the game at 61 without loss, but Somerset kept finding wickets just as the asking rate threatened to settle. In the end, Gloucestershire finished 176/7 and Somerset closed out an 18-run win that was tighter than it looked at the halfway mark.
Middle overs choke the chase
The decisive stretch came straight after the powerplay in Gloucestershire’s reply. From 61/0, they managed only 74/4 through the middle overs, a swing that turned a fast start into a climb. The 79-run opening stand between D’Arcy Short and Miles Hammond gave them a platform, but once the first wicket fell the innings lost shape: boundaries dried up, and singles weren’t enough to offset regular strikes. By the time the death overs arrived, 41/3 at 10.2 an over wasn’t sufficient to undo the earlier squeeze.
Rew and Meredith set the tone
Rew’s innings wasn’t just volume; it was timing, turning a fragile start into a total that forced Gloucestershire to keep attacking. Short nearly made it a double-impact night with 3/24 and a 34-ball 59, and his early dominance in the chase kept Somerset honest. But Riley Meredith’s 3/30 provided the cutting edge when the game threatened to drift, breaking momentum after the powerplay and ensuring Gloucestershire never got a clean run at the target.
Form lines snapped by one innings
Pre-match numbers leaned heavily Gloucestershire’s way on recent form and season momentum, and their powerplay batting showed why. But T20s can ignore trends when one player produces a ceiling game, and Rew’s innings did exactly that after Somerset’s 47/3 powerplay. Gloucestershire’s own bowling matchups also mattered: they were expected to be tighter early, yet the damage came in the middle, where Rew and Craig Overton’s 47-run stand rebuilt and then accelerated.
SOSomerset
215/4
WAWarwickshire
216/4
GLGloucestershire
138/3
SOSomerset
137/8
SOSomerset
202/6
GLGlamorgan
203/6
GLGlamorgan
175/3
SOSomerset
171/9
WAWarwickshire
189/5
SOSomerset
193/3
SOSomerset
160/3
HAHampshire
158/10
SOSomerset
195/4
HAHampshire
194/6
LALancashire
159/10
SOSomerset
182/7
SOSomerset
191/6
WAWarwickshire
190/6
SOSomerset
164/7
GLGloucestershire
148/8
SO6
GL4
GLGloucestershire
138/3
SOSomerset
137/8
SOSomerset
164/7
GLGloucestershire
148/8
GLGloucestershire
135/7
SOSomerset
137/4
SOSomerset
124/10
GLGloucestershire
129/2
SOSomerset
194/6
GLGloucestershire
196/5
GLGloucestershire
190/5
SOSomerset
188/4
SOSomerset
187/6
GLGloucestershire
186/8
GLGloucestershire
151/10
SOSomerset
231/4
SOSomerset
184/6
GLGloucestershire
177/8
GLGloucestershire
101/5
SOSomerset
114/7
GLGloucestershire
148/7
WOWorcestershire
145/10
GLGloucestershire
138/3
SOSomerset
137/8
YOYorkshire
161/10
GLGloucestershire
217/6
NONorthamptonshire
166/3
GLGloucestershire
164/9
GLGlamorgan
157/8
GLGloucestershire
158/8
GLGloucestershire
121/10
WAWarwickshire
74/10
SOSomerset
164/7
GLGloucestershire
148/8
GLGloucestershire
185/5
SUSussex
189/6
GLGlamorgan
135/10
GLGloucestershire
175/6
MIMiddlesex
189/5
GLGloucestershire
166/7
NOR
8
8-0
32
HAM
8
6-2
24
NOT
9
6-3
24
YOR
9
5-3
22
SUR
8
5-3
20
GLO
8
5-3
20
GLA
8
5-3
20
ESS
9
5-4
20
WOR
9
5-4
20
KEN
9
4-5
16
LAN
9
4-5
16
DUR
8
3-5
12
WAR
9
3-6
12
SOM
8
3-5
12
LEI
8
3-5
12
DER
8
2-5
10
SUS
9
2-7
8
MID
8
1-7
4
NOR
8
8
0
—
+2.142
32
HAM
8
6
2
—
+0.594
24
NOT
9
6
3
—
+0.199
24
YOR
9
5
3
—
+0.750
22
SUR
8
5
3
—
+0.734
20
GLO
8
5
3
—
+0.526
20
GLA
8
5
3
—
+0.467
20
ESS
9
5
4
—
+0.149
20
WOR
9
5
4
—
-0.043
20
KEN
9
4
5
—
-0.418
16
LAN
9
4
5
—
-0.605
16
DUR
8
3
5
—
+0.396
12
WAR
9
3
6
—
+0.209
12
SOM
8
3
5
—
-0.563
12
LEI
8
3
5
—
-1.344
12
DER
8
2
5
—
+0.446
10
SUS
9
2
7
—
-1.487
8
MID
8
1
7
—
-2.002
4
NORWWWWW
HAMWWWWL
NOTWWWWW
YORWLLDW
SURLWLWW
GLOWWWLL
GLAWLWWW
ESSWWLLW
WORLLLWW
KENLLLWL
LANLWWWL
DURLLLWL
WARLWWWL
SOMLLLWL
LEIWWWLL
DERWLLDL
SUSLWLLL
MIDLLLLL
