Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

Leicestershire have won 2 of the last 3 meetings with Lancashire. In the most recent clash, Leicestershire won by 2 wickets with 1 ball remaining after chasing down Lancashire’s 145/9. The finish was decided in the final delivery, with LEI getting over the line despite losing eight wickets. Across these three games, results have swung, but Leicestershire have edged the recent head-to-head.

LALancashire 145/9

LELeicestershire 146/8

2026-05-29 · LEI won by 2 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

LALancashire 145/7

LELeicestershire 149/5

2025-06-04 · LEI won by 5 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

LELeicestershire 137/9

LALancashire 162/10

2024-06-14 · LAN won by 25 runs

Leicestershire

Leicestershire are 11th in the T20B regular season with 12 points. They come in on a three-match winning streak, including a tight chase against Sussex where they won by 4 wickets with 14 balls remaining. Their latest win over Yorkshire was built on bowling them out for 135 after posting 147/8.

LELeicestershire 147/8

YOYorkshire 135/10

2026-06-07

LELeicestershire 180/6

SUSussex 179/10

2026-06-05 · LEI won by 4 wickets (with 14 balls remaining)

LELeicestershire 146/8

LALancashire 145/9

2026-05-29 · LEI won by 2 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

Lancashire

Lancashire are 16th in the T20B regular season with 8 points. Their last three games have been volatile: a 7-wicket win over Durham sits alongside a 106-run loss to Yorkshire and a last-ball defeat to Glamorgan. The Yorkshire match was the clearest warning sign, with Lancashire bowled out for 107 while chasing 214.

LALancashire 130/3

DUDurham 128/2

2026-06-09 · LAN won by 7 wickets (with 5 balls remaining)

LALancashire 201/8

GLGlamorgan 202/8

2026-06-07 · GLA won by 2 wickets (with 0 ball remaining)

LALancashire 107/10

YOYorkshire 213/7

2026-06-05 · YOR won by 106 runs

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

Models are split: the ML leans Lancashire, but the other models favour Leicestershire, with the model average leaning LEI at 58% vs 42%. Bookmakers diverge sharply from that, pricing LEI at 34% (2.75) vs LAN at 66% (1.45). Key stats are a clean sweep for Leicestershire (8-0), driven by better points, slightly better NRR, stronger recent form, and a head-to-head edge. If this follows the recent pattern, LEI’s momentum and tighter phase-by-phase economy profiles are the swing factors.

Livingstone’s counterpunch settles it

Liam Livingstone took control just when Leicestershire looked set to defend 156, blasting 74 from 43 to steer Lancashire home by five wickets with seven balls remaining. After an early check, his tempo shift in the chase changed the mood instantly, turning a manageable ask into a target that felt smaller with every over. Leicestershire’s bowlers created a flicker of late pressure, but the damage had already been done.

Middle overs decide the chase

The match swung in the middle phase, where Lancashire scored 86/3 at 8.6 an over, outpacing Leicestershire’s 66/4 at 6.6. Leicestershire had started well at 60/1 in the powerplay, yet their innings stalled as wickets arrived and boundaries dried up. In contrast, Lancashire matched the early rate (54/1) and then accelerated through overs 7–15, with Livingstone repeatedly breaking the ring and forcing defensive fields that opened up singles.

Livingstone and Salt set tone

Livingstone was the clear difference-maker, pairing with Phil Salt in an 88-run stand that effectively settled the chase before the final stretch. His hitting didn’t just add runs; it removed pressure, allowing Lancashire to keep the required rate in check even as wickets fell around him. For Leicestershire, Kelly’s anchoring half-century gave them a platform, but the lack of a late surge left their bowlers with too little to defend.

Form favourites, but totals matter

Pre-match indicators leaned on Leicestershire’s momentum and slightly tighter phase profiles, and their powerplay with Nick Kelly’s 50 (44) and Rishi Patel’s 38 (28) briefly matched that script. But the reality was a familiar T20 truth: a strong start only counts if it becomes a par-plus total. Lancashire’s control in the middle overs meant 156 never stretched them, and their chase didn’t require the high-risk finish that can bring an in-form side back into it.