

Match Prediction
Hampshire are third in the T20B regular season on 20 points with a 5W-1L record. Yorkshire are fourth on 16 points at 4W-2L. Hampshire come in off three straight wins, including a 5-run result against Surrey. Yorkshire’s last three include a 106-run win over Lancashire but also two defeats.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
There have been no previous meetings between Hampshire and Yorkshire. This is their first recorded head-to-head in the provided data. With no prior match to reference, there is no recent result or broader pattern between these teams in this dataset.
Hampshire
Hampshire are third in the T20B regular season on 20 points. They are on a three-match winning run, with their most recent result a 5-run win against Surrey. The last three results show Hampshire repeatedly closing games out with wins.
Yorkshire
Yorkshire are fourth in the T20B regular season on 16 points. Their last three matches show mixed momentum, highlighted by a 106-run win over Lancashire but followed by a loss to Leicestershire. Across those three games, Yorkshire have one win and two defeats.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
All four models favour Hampshire, with the model average at HAM 65% vs YOR 35%. The model range for Hampshire runs from 55% to 69%. Bookmakers agree, pricing Hampshire at 58% (1.65) vs Yorkshire at 42% (2.25). Key stats favour Hampshire 5-1, driven by their stronger recent form and edges across multiple bowling-phase economy metrics.
Wood’s spell sets the tone
Chris Wood’s new-ball control and late-over composure were the hinge of the night, keeping Yorkshire to a chaseable total before Hampshire scrambled home by 2 wickets with one ball remaining. The finish was tight enough to make the early advantage feel fragile, but Hampshire had just enough in the bank from the first half of the chase to absorb the wobble and still cross the line at 155/8 in 19.5.
Powerplay burst, middle-overs squeeze
The game was largely won in the first six overs of Hampshire’s chase. They surged to 64/2 in the powerplay at 10.7 an over, with Joe Weatherley instantly putting Yorkshire’s quicks under pressure. That burst mattered because the middle overs became a grind: Hampshire managed only 62/5 through the middle phase (6.2 rpo) as Daniel Moriarty’s 3/27 and disciplined lengths forced miscued hits and soft dismissals. Even so, the powerplay head start meant Hampshire didn’t need a perfect finish.
Weatherley and Wood do the heavy lifting
Weatherley’s 63 off 33 (SR 191) was the innings that made the chase possible, highlighted by the 59-run stand with James Vince that stabilised and accelerated at once. For Yorkshire, Moriarty’s three strikes were the reason the last over even mattered, while Andrew Tye’s 44 off 17 provided the late-innings punch that lifted Yorkshire to 150 and briefly threatened to steal the game.
Favourites, but not comfortable
Pre-match pointers leaned Hampshire’s way on form and bowling efficiency, and the match followed that script in patches. Wood and Scott Currie (3/31) ensured Yorkshire never truly cashed in despite a late spike, and Hampshire’s top order provided the kind of powerplay momentum their numbers suggested. Yorkshire did expose a softer edge, though: their death-overs hitting (45 runs in the final phase) and the middle-overs choke made it a genuine nail-biter rather than a routine chase.
SUSurrey
210/7
HAHampshire
215/5
HAHampshire
173/6
SUSussex
144/10
MIMiddlesex
126/7
HAHampshire
130/2
HAHampshire
177/5
SUSurrey
174/8
HAHampshire
200/4
ESEssex
170/7
SOSomerset
160/3
HAHampshire
158/10
SOSomerset
195/4
HAHampshire
194/6
NONorthamptonshire
158/7
HAHampshire
155/4
DUDurham
195/6
HAHampshire
221/8
ESEssex
222/6
HAHampshire
220/6
LELeicestershire
147/8
YOYorkshire
135/10
YOYorkshire
213/7
LALancashire
107/10
YOYorkshire
161/10
GLGloucestershire
217/6
DUDurham
93/10
YOYorkshire
151/9
YOYorkshire
195/8
DEDerbyshire
194/4
NONottinghamshire
167/7
YOYorkshire
169/3
LELeicestershire
185/10
YOYorkshire
188/8
YOYorkshire
153/10
LALancashire
174/10
YOYorkshire
151/9
DEDerbyshire
157/2
LALancashire
217/7
YOYorkshire
236/6
NOR
8
8-0
32
HAM
8
6-2
24
NOT
9
6-3
24
YOR
9
5-3
22
SUR
8
5-3
20
GLO
8
5-3
20
GLA
8
5-3
20
ESS
9
5-4
20
WOR
9
5-4
20
KEN
9
4-5
16
LAN
9
4-5
16
DUR
8
3-5
12
WAR
9
3-6
12
SOM
8
3-5
12
LEI
8
3-5
12
DER
8
2-5
10
SUS
9
2-7
8
MID
8
1-7
4
NOR
8
8
0
—
+2.142
32
HAM
8
6
2
—
+0.594
24
NOT
9
6
3
—
+0.199
24
YOR
9
5
3
—
+0.750
22
SUR
8
5
3
—
+0.734
20
GLO
8
5
3
—
+0.526
20
GLA
8
5
3
—
+0.467
20
ESS
9
5
4
—
+0.149
20
WOR
9
5
4
—
-0.043
20
KEN
9
4
5
—
-0.418
16
LAN
9
4
5
—
-0.605
16
DUR
8
3
5
—
+0.396
12
WAR
9
3
6
—
+0.209
12
SOM
8
3
5
—
-0.563
12
LEI
8
3
5
—
-1.344
12
DER
8
2
5
—
+0.446
10
SUS
9
2
7
—
-1.487
8
MID
8
1
7
—
-2.002
4
NORWWWWW
HAMWWWWL
NOTWWWWW
YORWLLDW
SURLWLWW
GLOWWWLL
GLAWLWWW
ESSWWLLW
WORLLLWW
KENLLLWL
LANLWWWL
DURLLLWL
WARLWWWL
SOMLLLWL
LEIWWWLL
DERWLLDL
SUSLWLLL
MIDLLLLL
