

Match Prediction
Kent are 8th in the T20B regular season on 12 points with a 3W-3L record and a +0.121 NRR. Nottinghamshire are 9th on 12 points at 3W-3L, but with a -0.471 NRR. Kent come in off back-to-back defeats, while Nottinghamshire have won their last three. With both sides level on points, this game is about who turns recent momentum into table movement.
Toss & Conditions
Head-to-Head
There have been no previous meetings between these teams.
Kent
Kent are 8th in the T20B regular season on 12 points with a 3W-3L record. Their last three matches show a swing from a comfortable chase win to two narrow defeats, including a three-run loss most recently. The immediate question is whether they can turn close games back into wins after letting two finishes slip.
Nottinghamshire
Nottinghamshire are 9th in the T20B regular season on 12 points with a 3W-3L record. They come in on a three-match winning run, including a one-ball finish in their last three that underlined their ability to close tight chases. The form trend is clear: they’re stacking wins even without a positive net run rate.
Playing XI
Key Stats
Verdict
Models are split, leaning Nottinghamshire at 52% on average, with picks ranging from Kent 55% to Nottinghamshire 58%. Bookmakers diverge from the model average, pricing Kent at 45% (2.10) vs Nottinghamshire at 55% (1.75). Key stats favour Nottinghamshire 4-2, driven by their stronger recent form and better powerplay and middle-overs economy. Kent’s edge comes from net run rate and slightly better death-overs economy, so the finish phases look decisive.
Munsey blasts chase open
George Munsey’s clean striking in the middle overs was the moment the chase stopped being a question and became a countdown. Nottinghamshire, two down early, kept their nerve and then surged past Kent’s 184/7 to win by four wickets with eight balls remaining. Kent had enough on the board through Sam Billings’ late acceleration, and Matt Milnes’ wickets created a flicker of doubt, but Munsey ensured the target never got away.
Middle overs swing it
The game was won in Nottinghamshire’s middle-overs surge: 108/4 at 10.6 an over after a cautious powerplay of 42/2. Kent, by contrast, were steady rather than explosive through the same phase, adding 90/3 at 9.0 an over after racing to 58/2. That extra gear from Munsey, especially as the field spread, meant the required rate stayed manageable even when wickets fell, setting up a death phase of 37 without loss at 13.1 an over.
Munsey and Billings stand out
Munsey was the clear difference-maker, his 83 off 47 forcing Kent to defend straighter lines and shorter boundaries than they wanted. His 61-run partnership with Tom Moores provided the bridge from recovery to control, and the late hitting finished the job without drama. For Kent, Billings’ 64 off 38 gave their innings purpose after the top order’s start-and-stall, while Milnes’ 3/30 kept Nottinghamshire honest until Munsey’s momentum proved too strong.
Form and phases tell
Pre-match talk centred on Nottinghamshire’s stronger recent form and their ability to control the key overs, while Kent’s hopes leaned on a tight finish. The match followed that script in a different way: Kent didn’t implode, but they also didn’t land the decisive death-overs squeeze their numbers hinted at. Once Nottinghamshire got through the early wobble, their batting matchups and confidence showed, turning a competitive total into a chase dictated on their terms.
NONottinghamshire
183/6
DEDerbyshire
173/9
NONottinghamshire
143/7
WAWarwickshire
139/10
NONottinghamshire
157/4
DUDurham
156/8
DEDerbyshire
234/4
NONottinghamshire
211/6
LALancashire
208/4
NONottinghamshire
172/9
NONottinghamshire
167/7
YOYorkshire
169/3
NONottinghamshire
127/6
LALancashire
126/10
WOWorcestershire
206/7
NONottinghamshire
161/10
NONottinghamshire
159/3
DUDurham
156/10
NONottinghamshire
189/9
LELeicestershire
188/2
NOR
8
8-0
32
HAM
8
6-2
24
NOT
9
6-3
24
YOR
9
5-3
22
SUR
8
5-3
20
GLO
8
5-3
20
GLA
8
5-3
20
ESS
9
5-4
20
WOR
9
5-4
20
KEN
9
4-5
16
LAN
9
4-5
16
DUR
8
3-5
12
WAR
9
3-6
12
SOM
8
3-5
12
LEI
8
3-5
12
DER
8
2-5
10
SUS
9
2-7
8
MID
8
1-7
4
NOR
8
8
0
—
+2.142
32
HAM
8
6
2
—
+0.594
24
NOT
9
6
3
—
+0.199
24
YOR
9
5
3
—
+0.750
22
SUR
8
5
3
—
+0.734
20
GLO
8
5
3
—
+0.526
20
GLA
8
5
3
—
+0.467
20
ESS
9
5
4
—
+0.149
20
WOR
9
5
4
—
-0.043
20
KEN
9
4
5
—
-0.418
16
LAN
9
4
5
—
-0.605
16
DUR
8
3
5
—
+0.396
12
WAR
9
3
6
—
+0.209
12
SOM
8
3
5
—
-0.563
12
LEI
8
3
5
—
-1.344
12
DER
8
2
5
—
+0.446
10
SUS
9
2
7
—
-1.487
8
MID
8
1
7
—
-2.002
4
NORWWWWW
HAMWWWWL
NOTWWWWW
YORWLLDW
SURLWLWW
GLOWWWLL
GLAWLWWW
ESSWWLLW
WORLLLWW
KENLLLWL
LANLWWWL
DURLLLWL
WARLWWWL
SOMLLLWL
LEIWWWLL
DERWLLDL
SUSLWLLL
MIDLLLLL
