Toss & Conditions

Head-to-Head

The last two meetings are split 1-1. In the most recent match, Worcestershire edged Somerset in a tight finish, winning by 3 runs. The game was decided by fine margins, with Somerset falling just short of the chase. The previous meeting went the other way, with Somerset winning by 16 runs, underlining how little separates these sides in this matchup.

SOSomerset 165/8

WOWorcestershire 168/4

2020-09-11 · WOR won by 3 runs

WOWorcestershire 213/7

SOSomerset 229/8

2020-09-03 · SOM won by 16 runs

Worcestershire

Worcestershire are 12th in the T20B Regular Season with 12 points, a 3W-4L record, and a -0.930 NRR. They are on a three-match losing streak, with each defeat coming by a narrow margin or a clear gap. Their most recent outing was a 59-run loss to Warwickshire, a result that stretched the slide and hurt their net run rate.

WOWorcestershire 165/7

WAWarwickshire 224/10

2026-06-26 · WAR won by 59 runs

WOWorcestershire 154/5

NONorthamptonshire 162/4

2026-06-09 · NOR won by 6 wickets (with 12 balls remaining) (D/L method)

WOWorcestershire 145/10

GLGloucestershire 148/7

2026-06-07 · GLO won by 3 runs

Somerset

Somerset are 10th in the T20B Regular Season with 12 points, a 3W-4L record, and a -0.385 NRR. Their last three include two losses followed by a bounce-back win. The most telling recent result is the 18-run win over Gloucestershire, which halted the dip and gave them momentum heading into this fixture.

SOSomerset 194/7

GLGloucestershire 176/7

2026-06-26 · SOM won by 18 runs

SOSomerset 215/4

WAWarwickshire 216/4

2026-06-07 · WAR won by 6 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

SOSomerset 137/8

GLGloucestershire 138/3

2026-06-05 · GLO won by 7 wickets (with 35 balls remaining)

Playing XI

Key Stats

Verdict

All four models favour Somerset, with the average projection at SOM 61% vs WOR 39% (range 58–64% for SOM). Bookmakers agree, pricing Somerset at 64% (1.60) vs Worcestershire at 36% (2.75). Key stats lean Somerset 4-1 overall, driven by advantages in net run rate, Elo, and the bowling economy outside the powerplay. Worcestershire’s immediate task is to arrest a three-match losing run, while Somerset’s edge is built on the broader statistical profile.

Waite slams the brakes

Matthew Waite’s spell was the match’s hard stop: just as Somerset tried to build momentum, he kept striking to leave the chase wobbling. Worcestershire’s 180/5 always looked defendable once the early wickets fell, and Waite ensured it stayed that way, finishing with 3/23 as Somerset slid to 144/9 and lost by 36 runs.

Death overs flip the script

The decisive phase was Worcestershire’s finish. After a steady 131/4 through 16 overs, they detonated at the death with 49 runs in the last four overs (RR 12.2), turning a par total into a demanding one. Sikandar Raza’s 42 off 22 and Brett D’Oliveira’s 41 off 25 meant Somerset were chasing a rate that hovered around nine an over, and they never found a sustained boundary run to reset it.

Raza, D’Oliveira, Waite deliver

Raza provided the late-innings acceleration Worcestershire had been missing in recent losses, and D’Oliveira set the tempo so the finish could be explosive. For Somerset, James Rew’s 36 off 28 held the chase together during the middle overs, but the key moment arrived late in the powerplay-to-middle transition: once Worcestershire had Somerset 42/2 in the first six, Waite and company could attack the stumps and protect the rope.

Somerset’s edge never landed

Pre-match numbers leaned Somerset: stronger recent profiles, better projected control at the death, and Worcestershire arriving on a three-match skid. But this game leaned on moments, not reputations. Worcestershire were cleaner in the high-leverage overs, while Somerset’s innings kept getting interrupted — even their best passage, the Banton-Rew partnership of 59, didn’t translate into a launchpad because wickets around it kept the pressure on.